Quote:
Originally Posted by kidcolin
Agreed.
Not saying those who had Wonderboy winning on points, but mma scoring is broken if that's the case. Woodley was never in trouble.
I think you're overstating it slightly. That was a very close fight by any measure you'd like to use.
No, Woodley was never "in trouble," as in about to be stopped. And he sure shouldn't have been, since he was on the defensive for 80% of the fight. The first 2:00 of the fight he did quite literally nothing (WB didn't do much besides stalk either). At the 3:00 mark he caught the leg and executed a very nice takedown, but didn't land a ton besides the short elbow that clipped WB's nose (I'd argue that this damage was largely superficial as well but that's a minor quibble). Clean win 10-9 for TW, and I'll credit him with 3:00 of "being on offense" even though that's pretty generous.
Rounds 2-3 are best considered collectively in my opinion because they were so similar. Other than about a minute of wall jostling early in Rd 2, these two rounds were almost entirely composed of Thompson walking Woodley down and clipping him with shots. TW countered with single shots exclusively, landed very little flush, and when he did land it was usually with a shot that he hadn't committed full power to. When I saw that one judge had given a 48-47 score I assumed that he'd been impressed with TW's knees in the clinch and given him Rd 2, but in fact it was Rd 3. I find that pretty shocking.
Round 4 was more of the same for the first 1:30. Rogan is practically begging Woodley to do something different -- leg kicks, takedowns, anything. In Rogan's words, "whatever you do, you cant just
stand there doing
this." On cue WB leaves his chin out there and TW blasts him....
***Let's pause for a second to point out that this broke up what was essentially 11:30 in a row (of a possible 25:00) of fight time during which Woodley did not throw a combination, hold the center of the cage, or press the action other than a token, half-hearted burst here or there.***
...So WB is now hurt. He pops immdiately back up, but has way too much faith in his ability to trade in this state and he's down again maybe 20 sec later, and is forced to play D and tie up for half a minute before TW wastes another half minute on the standing choke. Right around 2:00 TW drops down for the guillotine, which he flat out failed to execute. By 1:30 it is clear that WB is safe, and at 1:00 he's out and on top (at which point I agree that he does very little damage himself).
Rd 4 is a round I am comfortable scoring 10-8. But in the big picture let's remember exactly what it amounted to: one big shot followed by a second big follow-up, followed by one of those "please stop it" swarms, an entire sequence that lasted ninety seconds. (Admittedly, how to score the submission attempt is difficult, and how much credit to give WB for "finishing on top" is too).
I'll also pause to point out that an important factor for me in viewing the fight holistically is that Thompson was NOT saved by the bell. It's not like having rounds bailed him out. He survived and turned the tide entirely on his own (or with the help of Woodley, but since the scoring of a fight is essentially the comparing of the two performances it doesn't make much difference.)
Round 5 is all Wonderboy. He cracked Woodley several times, and was landing cleaner and cleaner shots down the homestretch. That's another full 5:00 of fight time that goes easily to WB.
Let's break down the 25:00 as one mass of fight time...
If I give Woodley credit for the entire time he was on top, the entire time WB was hurt, and the first 0:30 of the choke (before it becomes obvious he doesn't have it and is gonna end up gassed and on the bottom) that gets him to about 5:30. They spent another 1:00 jockeying in the clinch. That leaves about 18:30 of standup time that ranges from WB stalking TW without much action to WB picking him apart.
Let's break down the impact the five bells had...
The first bell allowed WB to get up. The fourth bell allowed TW to get up. The other three allowed TW to go back to his corner and regroup after rounds that he clearly lost.
The bottom line for me is that you can't count damage TWICE. You can't say, "Thompson won the volume but Woodley did more damage so it's close.....and Woodley did more damage so that breaks the tie."
The damage has to be pretty extreme to overcome 18 minutes of looking like the tentative, inferior fighter. And for me at least, when the opponent responds to the best you got by decisively winning the very next round (and in the second case turning it around before that even) your damage didn't rise to the necessary level.