Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
MLB Offseason 2016 MLB Offseason 2016

11-18-2016 , 11:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gary Wise
He's at 52.6 fWAR, which is pretty low by present SP standards. He needs at least another couple of 5 WAR seasons or a monumental shift in SP voting philosophy, considering Mussina (whose case is exceptional because he lacks a signature season or peak) finished with 82.2 WAR and hasn't sniffed it. A second Cy would have gone a long way towards getting him there...could literally be a difference maker.
You know who would have impressed Tampa Bay area writers? Bob Lemon. Pitching to contact is a lost art.

Mussina always had trouble pitching at the Trop. If he can't handle Tampa, what makes us think he deserves Cooperstown?
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 11:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hall of Fame Voter
You know who would have impressed Tampa Bay area writers? Bob Lemon. Pitching to contact is a lost art.

Mussina always had trouble pitching at the Trop. If he can't handle Tampa, what makes us think he deserves Cooperstown?
This entirely brand new poster has promise.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 11:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AcTiOnJaCsOn
Verlander is kind of a choke artist in the big spots. The bigger the spot the worse he does. Kind of like kershaw/price.
He hasn't been good in the World Series, but I think any do-or-die game is a big spot. Check out his work in the Game 5s of 2012 and 2013 Division Series.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VarianceMinefield
People have started to undervalue wins as a pitcher stat. You pitch to win the game. What the score is completely changes the type of pitches you will throw in what spot.

Thats not to say Porcello deserved to win, I did not compare the pitchers.
I do agree with this. I think some people view wins as a negative, like they couldn't possibly have done anything to deserve that win.

Not that it's the same, but I played catcher my first two years in college, and I don't think I ever called pitches based on the score, and don't think I have ever heard that in any of the camps I ever went to. Obviously not the same, maybe the big leagues are different.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 12:30 PM
I guess it's kind of a classic "peak vs compiler" argument, but who do you think has a BETTER hall of fame case, Halladay or Mussina?
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 01:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gary Wise
This entirely brand new poster has promise.
Brand new? Has had an account since 2014 and has two other posts, one baseball, one NBA.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 01:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TJ Eckleburg12
I guess it's kind of a classic "peak vs compiler" argument, but who do you think has a BETTER hall of fame case, Halladay or Mussina?
which one is the compiler?
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 01:44 PM
well Mussina pitched full seasons through age 39 and had a worse peak than Halladay, so...
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 03:10 PM
oh ok, cause one had a 0 WAR in his last 2 seasons, and the other had a 5.2 in his last season, so I was confused.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 04:19 PM
So I looked at some numbers.

IP FIP WHIP K/9 AS CY WS bWAR
Mussina 3652.2 3.57 1.223 7.1 5 0 0 82.7
Halladay 2749.1 3.39 1.178 6.9 8 2 0 65.6
K. Brown 3256.1 3.33 1.222 6.6 6 0 1 68.5

I include Kevin Brown because he had a Hall of Very Good career, got 2.1% of the vote his one year on the ballot, and dropped off into obscurity.

By almost every statistical measure, Kevin Brown was a vastly superior pitcher to, say, Jack Morris, but that's a whole other post. And he never sniffed the Hall.

I think the only thing that makes me lean Moose > Halladay in this exercise is giving Moose some credit for being in the AL East his whole career.

But my point is Mussina wasn't THAT much better than Kevin Brown.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 04:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EddyB66
I do agree with this. I think some people view wins as a negative, like they couldn't possibly have done anything to deserve that win.
This is a completely unfair characterization.

While it's true that a win is worth less than a no decision or a loss, it isn't so bad as to be a negative.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 04:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TJ Eckleburg12
So I looked at some numbers.

IP FIP WHIP K/9 AS CY WS bWAR
Mussina 3652.2 3.57 1.223 7.1 5 0 0 82.7
Halladay 2749.1 3.39 1.178 6.9 8 2 0 65.6
K. Brown 3256.1 3.33 1.222 6.6 6 0 1 68.5

I include Kevin Brown because he had a Hall of Very Good career, got 2.1% of the vote his one year on the ballot, and dropped off into obscurity.

By almost every statistical measure, Kevin Brown was a vastly superior pitcher to, say, Jack Morris, but that's a whole other post. And he never sniffed the Hall.

I think the only thing that makes me lean Moose > Halladay in this exercise is giving Moose some credit for being in the AL East his whole career.

But my point is Mussina wasn't THAT much better than Kevin Brown.
20.7% more war in 12.2% more innings

Seems THAT much better to me
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 05:03 PM
Mussina has been trending upward in voting, up to 43.6%. Just looking at the 2016 voting, I guess Trevor Hoffman will probably get in next year. I hate to sound like Mad Dog Russo, but the guy never got a big out in his life lol.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-18-2016 , 10:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Empire Man
TJ I think if they had both placed him 3rd then Verlander would have won. Tied if one was 3rd and the other was 4th.

Wish KB had gone unanimous but whatever. Got in debate with Cubs fan buddy today who said he wouldn't trade Russell, Javy, Almora Jr, Soler, and Montgomery for Trout. I would. No idea if $ etc works out, we were just talking.

Fist pump snap call trade for Cubs.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 01:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EddyB66
I do agree with this. I think some people view wins as a negative, like they couldn't possibly have done anything to deserve that win.

Not that it's the same, but I played catcher my first two years in college, and I don't think I ever called pitches based on the score, and don't think I have ever heard that in any of the camps I ever went to. Obviously not the same, maybe the big leagues are different.
It is not about pitch choice to me, it is more about the location change. A pitcher stops trying to paint the corners if they have a strong lead. You know as a reliever to never walk a guy when you have a 3 run lead. I am not saying a win is huge, I just think it is undervalued stat compared to the idea of worthless
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 03:41 AM
For those of you who somehow may have missed it, at 1 pm local time tomorrow, the Surprise Saguaros do battle with the Mesa Solar Sox for Arizona Fall League supremacy. This may be my only chance for quite some time of having my local team win a baseball championship, so let's go Saguaros! Do the damn thing!
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 03:44 AM
Sidebet?
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 03:46 AM
Absolutely. What did you have in mind?
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 03:48 AM
You pick. I get the Mesa team.

$20
2 drinks at a Dbacks game
Dbacks tickets (for 1 of us) to a game next season
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 03:54 AM
Well duh you get the Mesa team. Ticket to a game(price point similar to my season tickets), and 2 of those wonderful $4 value beers. About a $20 value.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 10:25 AM
Deal. We aren't doing the 10 game pass next season, so I'll be more likely to say yes if/when you invite me.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 05:04 PM
Cecil to St. Louis. Enjoy him cards, he's awesome.
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 07:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VarianceMinefield
People have started to undervalue wins as a pitcher stat. You pitch to win the game. What the score is completely changes the type of pitches you will throw in what spot.

Thats not to say Porcello deserved to win, I did not compare the pitchers.
Just for the sake of argument, over the course of 200 innings, how often do you think this is happening?
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-19-2016 , 07:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNoodleMan
Just for the sake of argument, over the course of 200 innings, how often do you think this is happening?
Every pitch and location could be different depending on the score and situation. Anytime you have a 3 run lead and a guy at a 2-0 count, it is highly likely to be a fastball in zone.

Not sure here is really an argument here. I have played plenty of MLB the show to not only understand a lot of situational baseball, but I have some up with ways to increase equity that I have never seen teams do.

Wins should not determine CY young, as I think I need to make that clear again to you guys, but it does matter getting the win and people should pitch different and defenses shift differently depending on the score.

Every stat that goes into a game is to try to accomplish a win, you are not trying to accomplish the lowest exist velocity off your pitches or the highest strike out rate

MLB Offseason 2016 Quote
11-20-2016 , 02:57 PM
I much prefer "can not play with em. can not win with em. can not coach with em can't do it."
MLB Offseason 2016 Quote

      
m