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LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163
View Poll Results: GOAT?
labron
181 30.42%
MJ (Michael or Maple)
317 53.28%
Therapist
8 1.34%
George Mikan
5 0.84%
Shaq Attaq
21 3.53%
Wilt the Stilt (100 pts yo)
13 2.18%
Timmy "Big Fundamentals" Duncan
20 3.36%
"Roger Murdock"
3 0.50%
Enchanted AIDS Wang (er, HIV+?)
9 1.51%
Larry Legend (+ HM to Bill Russell's laugh)
18 3.03%

05-23-2017 , 04:24 PM
Btw my thinking on the subject is this.
Jordan had the best peak performance and the longest.
Career wise, LeBron can still beat Jordan but imo not yet.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 04:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Montrealcorp
Kobe won without shaq twice being final MVP.
And did Kobe always had the better team ( when shaq left) when he won compare to LeBron ?
If I am right , LeBron was the season MVP that year in 2009 when Kobe won so ...
Not saying LeBron below Kobe but it is close and it is a bit of a counter arguments of the :
Well LeBron reach 7 final and Jordan 6 ( better to lose in first round than the final ..)
Well Kobe reach as much of LeBron but with a better score.
Now LeBron reach a 8th final and if he won will be 4 and 4 and would beat a monster team so yeah makes sense he would "definitely surpass Kobe".
Kobe won 1 MVP; possibly in an career achievement type way. But I think Kobe was possibly the best player in the NBA during the Lakers' years were they were struggling.

Lakers were very good when they had Phil, Kobe, Pau, Bynum, Odom.

There were some weird years where Nash won B2B MVPs; Lebron was kind of young and Lakers were marginal for a few years where Kobe couldn't have won the MVP when he might have been the best player. in 2008, Lebron was arguably better but the Cavs were just an okay team at the time and you can't win MVP when your team is just okay although RWB is about to do it this year for the first time in a long time.

The finals thing is kind of mute because 4 times Kobe went to the finals with Shaq being the best player. The last 3, Kobe was good; although you could argue Pau was nearly as valuable especially in the finals. I know Kobe won both finals MVPs so he does have that but unlike most series where it unquestionably went to someone there were many questions during those series..

Kobe with his big 4 were definitely better than 1st run with the Cavs; I'm not sure how the Lakers would have fared against the Miami Big 3. If the Lakers would have stayed together, I think by the peak Miami years you could argue the Heat were better than the Lakers at their peak during the Lakers mini run, although I'm not sure the rest of the Heat were better than the rest of the Lakers sans Kobe.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 05:06 PM
Looking at some advanced stats:

PER:

MJ-27.91-1st (includes Washington years)
Lebron-27.61-2nd (includes younger years--he hasn't faded yet)
Kobe-22.9-24th (includes HS/fade years)

Single Season PER

MJ has 4 in Top 10-31.71, 31.63, 31.18, 31.14-7 in the top 50
Lebron has 2 and 4 in the top 13; 6 in the top 50
Kobe highest is 63rd-27.97

So peak MJ is slightly better than peak Lebron by PER; Kobe isn't that close when it comes to these alltime greats when it comes to career or peak PER.

PPG is a little closer for Kobe although this is where MJ edges Lebron and Kobe by a bunch; Career 30.12 for MJ, Lebron is at 27.13 and Kobe is at 24.99. Peak Kobe does have one in the top 10--35.4 (8th), Lebron's highest is 31.37 (35th), MJ has 2 in the top 10 (37.09/34.98).

MVPs-5 for MJ, 4 for Lebron, 1 for Kobe; Finals MVPs--which everyone loves 6 vs 3 vs 2.

WinShares/48-MJ is #1--.2505 vs .2389 for Lebron (6th) and Kobe is at .1705 (57th); Win Shares-Lebron is already 7th all time (205.4) vs MJ (214) vs Kobe (172).

TS%-Lebron 58.38% (46th all time) vs 56.86% (83rd all time) vs Kobe .5496 (204th)

So one of these things is not like the other. TS% is tough for non bigs to be at the top so all 3 are pretty damn good despite not being top 10 all time. Kobe does have the high ppg outlier season. Win Shares doesn't love Kobe.

Last edited by capone0; 05-23-2017 at 05:11 PM.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 05:14 PM
Playoffs stats are nuts as well: 28.6 PER for MJ; 27.7 for Lebron (3rd)--Mikan slips in at 2nd; Kobe is 22.4. MJ is 1st in WS/48 in playoffs--.2553; Lebron .2406 (3rd); Kawhi is 4th (.2099) there is a big gap between top 3 and 4; Kobe is 55th (.1570).
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 05:26 PM
BPM and VORP >>>> WS/48 and WS. PER is a garbage stat. BPM with some correction for where this may fall short (all-around defensive impact, coaching, fraudulent stat-whoring, i.e. Westbrook/Harden this year) with some calibration using actual RPM/RAPM where available is probably the best way to measure players historically.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 05:37 PM
LEbron is already number one in vorp all time. I'm not sure how far basketball-reference goes, but mj is second and Kobe is 16th. Bron is number one by far on basketball-reference's bpm stat 9.15 to mjs second 8.09 and Kobe 35th at 3.88. It tells almost the same story as the other stats. You can look at most of the advanced ones and almost all align with bron/mj at or near the top and Kobe lagging far behind.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 06:08 PM
kobe thing is a total derail. asking random sports fans who is better between kobe and lebron is probably the easiest way to figure out if they are totally braindead.

montrealcorp I don't think you followed the entire context of my comments wrt barkley.


it was like 1 night i heard him say lebron was "*maybe* the best player in the league" then a few nights later say emphatically that he's "the best player on the planet", and then a few nights later apparently say "kobe > lebron". i guess barkley just rolls with skip bayless level over-reactions to whatever the most recent game result was.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 06:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Assani Fisher
Its cool to see mainstream media starting to entertain this debate. Especially in contrast to the absurd Kobe/Lebron debates of prior years, its clear that everyone has gotten a lot sharper and that makes for a much more entertaining discussion.

If forced to pick a side I'd go with this long-winded, caveat-filled response: Right now its really close if you're talking who was actually better over the course of their careers. If you want to neglect the inherent variance in sports and give more weight to accomplishments over simply asking "who was better at basketball?", then MJ certainly pulls ahead. But I think that in 10 years from now it won't be particularly close- I predict Lebron to have an elite aging curve(his size/passing/court vision/bball IQ/ability to hit 3s well enough to force D to guard it will all age great and his body type seems to be >>> all other humans in regards to holding up to wear and tear...he'll basically be some crazy Karl Malone/Nikola Jokic hybrid late into his 30s). The Jordan/Kobe player type, meanwhile, seems to age horribly due to the inability to thrive as a second or third option(perhaps in large part due to an ego which was initially necessary to spur them on to their greatness).

With all that said, I don't feel super strong about those opinions. I mostly just wanted to chime in with a few talking points which I feel like gone somewhat overlooked. These are all pro-Lebron points, but thats only because popular opinion seems to still greatly favor MJ and the points in MJ's favor tend to already get mentioned by the mainstream....

1. This doesn't really apply to MJ or Lebron, but we should stop using "number of rings" in the GOAT argument and start using "number of rings as the undisputed best player on the team." Everyone seems to intrinsically understand this when discussing someone like Robert Horry, but it never gets brought up with Kobe's first 3 titles or Shaq's last or quite a few other examples. Obviously those players deserve more credit than Horry for their team success in those years, but I don't think you should get to "point to the rings" when some of the rings came as the second best player on your team.

2. Players were allowed to hand-check(and play much more physical in general) in MJ's era. Players are not allowed to hand-check in Lebron's era. This somehow gets used as a talking point against Lebron, and that blows my f*cking mind. I mean, I get it- people pay way more attention to offense than defense, so they only think of the disadvantage MJ had(having to be defend by players who could hand-check him) rather than the advantage it gave him(getting to hand-check when you're defending). Regardless, this shouldn't be all that complicated- allowing players to be more physical benefits the bigger/stronger/more athletic players. It benefits Lebron perhaps more than anyone else in NBA history. This should be common sense.

3. I think its legitimate to criticize MJ's shot selection/3 point shooting. The pro-MJ crowd will argue that "the league didn't shoot 3s back then like they do now, so naturally this shouldn't be used against MJ." I get that, but I'm not sold on it. There wasn't some rule against shooting 3s back in the day- the players didn't execute optimal strategy because neither they nor the coaches understood optimal strategy. This unawareness of optimal strategy is a part of how MJ performed, and I don't think it should necessarily be excused because his contemporaries were similarly unaware. Its not comparable to something like evaluating old movies where certain filming techniques weren't even invented yet so you must only judge in comparison to contemporaries. Nothing prevented Jordan from shooting more 3s other than his own incompetence at understanding proper strategy. "Would Jordan be better than Lebron if he had all of the advantages of modern training/coaching?" is a different question than "Was Jordan better than Lebron?".

4. "MJ was the best player of all time."

"There is ample evidence to suggest that MJ got lucky to run higher than expectation in high leverage situations which allowed media/fans to create after-the-fact narratives pertaining to an ability to raise his level of play in clutch situations which may or may not actually be true."

I think its important to note that these two statements are in no way mutually exclusive.
3 is ridiculous. That's like saying I'm smarter than Newton because I know E=mc^2. LeBron didn't come up with the idea of shooting threes himself, he was just lucky enough to exist after someone else worked it out. I think the implied question IS the coaching one. We're comparing them in the metrics that they actually deserve credit for.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 09:11 PM
Unfortunately there is no stat for "would get punked by Jonas jerebko" but if there was LeBron could check that one off.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 09:53 PM
LOL kOBE.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 11:01 PM
Gerb ILL try harder bro.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-23-2017 , 11:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
LOL kOBE.
Kobe will go down as the most overrated athlete in history.

I think one of the posters summed it up best. Jordan had the best peak but Lebron will have the best career.

Last edited by jwd; 05-23-2017 at 11:12 PM.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 01:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by capone0
Looking at some advanced stats:

PER:

MJ-27.91-1st (includes Washington years)
Lebron-27.61-2nd (includes younger years--he hasn't faded yet)
Kobe-22.9-24th (includes HS/fade years)

Single Season PER

MJ has 4 in Top 10-31.71, 31.63, 31.18, 31.14-7 in the top 50
Lebron has 2 and 4 in the top 13; 6 in the top 50
Kobe highest is 63rd-27.97

So peak MJ is slightly better than peak Lebron by PER; Kobe isn't that close when it comes to these alltime greats when it comes to career or peak PER.

PPG is a little closer for Kobe although this is where MJ edges Lebron and Kobe by a bunch; Career 30.12 for MJ, Lebron is at 27.13 and Kobe is at 24.99. Peak Kobe does have one in the top 10--35.4 (8th), Lebron's highest is 31.37 (35th), MJ has 2 in the top 10 (37.09/34.98).

MVPs-5 for MJ, 4 for Lebron, 1 for Kobe; Finals MVPs--which everyone loves 6 vs 3 vs 2.

WinShares/48-MJ is #1--.2505 vs .2389 for Lebron (6th) and Kobe is at .1705 (57th); Win Shares-Lebron is already 7th all time (205.4) vs MJ (214) vs Kobe (172).

TS%-Lebron 58.38% (46th all time) vs 56.86% (83rd all time) vs Kobe .5496 (204th)

So one of these things is not like the other. TS% is tough for non bigs to be at the top so all 3 are pretty damn good despite not being top 10 all time. Kobe does have the high ppg outlier season. Win Shares doesn't love Kobe.
Great post.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 01:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmill
4. "MJ was the best player of all time."

"There is ample evidence to suggest that MJ got lucky to run higher than expectation in high leverage situations which allowed media/fans to create after-the-fact narratives pertaining to an ability to raise his level of play in clutch situations which may or may not actually be true."

I think its important to note that these two statements are in no way mutually exclusive.
An overlooked piece of the narrative is how lucky it is that it fits into something human brains love for whatever reason - "3", two three-peats. People don't quite feel the same about Duncan's 5 even compared to Kobe, I'd bet largely because they're all split up. MJ could have won 6 all broken up from the late '80s to the late '90s and it would not be as impactful. Manu/Parker/Duncan would be a huge thing in the public consciousness had they won 3 straight.

And of course, there's the free pass for 1995.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 01:35 AM
3-0 + 3-0 = 6-0!

[+2-0 = 8-0!]

GOAT
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 02:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jwd
Kobe will go down as the most overrated athlete in history.
Him and Derek Jeter are like the exact same guy in 2 different sports. Both good for a long time. Both hall of famers. Both lauded like they are inner circle all time greats which they aren't. For mostly similar reasons. Both played entire career for one team, the highest profile team in the league. Both had a 3 peat early in their career, then won 2 more titles later.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 04:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
Him and Derek Jeter are like the exact same guy in 2 different sports. Both good for a long time. Both hall of famers. Both lauded like they are inner circle all time greats which they aren't. For mostly similar reasons. Both played entire career for one team, the highest profile team in the league. Both had a 3 peat early in their career, then won 2 more titles later.
Wow this is good.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 05:13 AM
The thing is players probably have a different definition of what Great means compared to a fan. I can totally see how, as a player to another player, as one man to another, they would laud Kobe as an All-time Great. They probably value longetivity and consistency (as having a killer drive in such a pressure-cooker over an extended amount of time AND winning) is a much more admirable personality trait than "who goes #1 in a fantasy draft".
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 05:17 AM
Aka we fans are on the outside judging by paper stats and 2k logic, players in the field recognize the human achievement behind careers.

In that world, one-team guys like Kobe Duncan Dirk really mean more, give more points to Greatness, than actual bucket points. Not to say the rings argument is invalid. These players wouldn't be who they are without rings (see: john Stockton) but I think success (in the overall sense) might be a better metric than rings. As in CP3 is still an all time great, even without a ring. He just never had the right team. Imagine him replacing Curry or even Lebron. Those aren't bad teams... and we should judge a player accordingly.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 05:46 AM
I disagree with the negativity about Kobe and the Jeter analogy. People have fond memories of Jeter because he performed well in the world series and was on winning teams. Kobe is easily top five all time at his position and is probably #2.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 06:06 AM
But hes not near lebron.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 10:02 AM
Interesting. Kobe is the second best shooting guard. I didn't realize that position was not as impactful in the NBA. I mean Kobe is barely in the top 20 and he's the second best at his position.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 10:11 AM
Isn't pretty much every position other than maybe point guard and center (and even then sometimes) pretty much arbitrary?

I mean, what's the difference between the position Kobe plays and the one Lebron plays? Or Jordan for that matter? I don't really see a difference other than the label. As far as I'm concerned they all play the same position. Lebron is more of a passer than the other 2, but any of them can be called a shooting guard, point guard, or small forward, I don't see how it matters. They all handle the ball a lot, shoot a lot, drive, get fouled, are about 6'6", etc.

Positions in basketball are very unclear in many cases. John Stockton/Steve Nash was definitely a point guard, and Shaq/Hakeem was definitely a center, but I don't see any meaningful positional difference amongst Lebron/Jordan/Kobe.

Last edited by Carnivore; 05-24-2017 at 10:20 AM.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 10:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Banzai-
3 is ridiculous. That's like saying I'm smarter than Newton because I know E=mc^2. LeBron didn't come up with the idea of shooting threes himself, he was just lucky enough to exist after someone else worked it out. I think the implied question IS the coaching one. We're comparing them in the metrics that they actually deserve credit for.
Yea this is a bit of a semantic argument. I see what you mean.

Personally I don't think its like saying you're smarter than Newton because you know E = mc^2. I think its like saying that if you conduct an experiment that takes into account E = mc^2, while Newton did a similar experiment but he didn't at all account for this, then your scientific experiment is better than Newton's(assuming all else being equal). Thats all I'm saying. I'm comparing Michael Jordan's actual real life performance(which contained a ton of long 2s) to Lebron's actual real life performance(which exhibits a clear understanding of optimal shot selection).

"deserve credit for" is a weird debate. Does MJ deserve credit for being born tall and athletic any more than Bron deserves credit for being born in an era in which his coaches helped him optimize his shot selection?



Quote:
Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones
An overlooked piece of the narrative is how lucky it is that it fits into something human brains love for whatever reason - "3", two three-peats. People don't quite feel the same about Duncan's 5 even compared to Kobe, I'd bet largely because they're all split up. MJ could have won 6 all broken up from the late '80s to the late '90s and it would not be as impactful. Manu/Parker/Duncan would be a huge thing in the public consciousness had they won 3 straight.

And of course, there's the free pass for 1995.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
Him and Derek Jeter are like the exact same guy in 2 different sports. Both good for a long time. Both hall of famers. Both lauded like they are inner circle all time greats which they aren't. For mostly similar reasons. Both played entire career for one team, the highest profile team in the league. Both had a 3 peat early in their career, then won 2 more titles later.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
Isn't pretty much every position other than maybe point guard and center (and even then sometimes) pretty much arbitrary?

I mean, what's the difference between the position Kobe plays and the one Lebron plays? Or Jordan for that matter? I don't really see a difference other than the label. As far as I'm concerned they all play the same position. Lebron is more of a passer than the other 2, but any of them can be called a shooting guard, point guard, or small forward, I don't see how it matters. They all handle the ball a lot, shoot a lot, drive, get fouled, are about 6'6", etc.

Positions in basketball are very unclear in many cases. John Stockton/Steve Nash was definitely a point guard, and Shaq/Hakeem was definitely a center, but I don't see any meaningful positional difference amongst Lebron/Jordan/Kobe.


agree with all of this

Last edited by Assani Fisher; 05-24-2017 at 10:43 AM.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote
05-24-2017 , 10:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Assani Fisher
Yea this is a bit of a semantic argument. I see what you mean.

Personally I don't think its like saying you're smarter than Newton because you know E = mc^2. I think its like saying that if you conduct an experiment that takes into account E = mc^2, while Newton did a similar experiment but he didn't at all account for this, then your scientific experiment is better than Newton's(assuming all else being equal). Thats all I'm saying. I'm comparing Michael Jordan's actual real life performance(which contained a ton of long 2s) to Lebron's actual real life performance(which exhibits a clear understanding of optimal shot selection).

"deserve credit for" is a weird debate. Does MJ deserve credit for being born tall and athletic any more than Bron deserves credit for being born in an era in which his coaches helped him optimize his shot selection?
Yeah, can't blame MJ for not taking 3s. At the time players would have been benched for throwing up a bunch of 3s. Long rebounds were tough to defend as it led to fast breaks etc. Teams have morphed a lot more to be better in transition (defensively). Teams have learned to handle it better.

The game is always evolving. Should LeBron get blamed because in 10 years from now teams are doing something completely different? Of course not.
LeBron = GOAT Containment Thread: SABR42, LuckyLloyd, & borg23 Co-MVPs b/c of post #20163 Quote

      
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