I'm in the uk, so I can bet as much as I want at the going rate.. thought there might be an option for me to get better odds whilst offering someone in the US a way of betting more who'd maxed out their other options.

I think the 'actual' odds are 10-1+ on CM tbh

Typed it as I thought it.. probably makes no sense in hindsight

Barca + Real.

Las Vegas, boxing, hundreds of millions of dollars, betting, IRS problems, Floyd is 40 and hasn't fought in a while and Conor is not someone from the street either etc. It is pretty unlikely Floyd loses, but I don't trust all the things surrounding this fight and I can comfortably wait to bet on football pretty much every weekend for the next 10 months, with way better odds and pretty much no risk whatsoever.

Wtf are you talking about

Barca and Real won 75% of their league games last season. There is a significant risk that they don´t win and I believe soccer odds are generally fairly priced. The soccer betting market is too big and there is too much data for systemic mispricing to occur.

yeah, maybe just stay in your lane and don't talk about "soccer" anymore

I´m a Real Madrid fan and have gone to several La Liga, Premier League and UCL matches. I know what I´m talking about. I used the term soccer to avoid possible confusion and because most users here are american. I tried to politely explain why your idiotic football betting strategy won´t work but go ahead, use your strategy and let´s see how well you will do.

you sound like a big winner, both in life and in sports betting, mate

Anyone who says "stay in your lane" is ironically probably guilty of being a terrible driver.

And person.

just stay in your lane, worry about handegg and golf, soccer is not really for you. go watch some nascar now

this last episode was awesome, hopefully the UFC makes the Embedded next week

Conor - " i'm a 170lb irish gorilla & i'm going to rip his head off & play football with it", 49-1!!!

what's the o/u on total punches Conor lands? even with a generous ticker it's gotta be u40 yes?

Not really sure because the count is never 100% accurate. I mean if they clinch and Conor throws 5 piddy-pat punches to Floyd's ribs, are those 5 landed or 0? Compubox usually counts them.

In terms of power shots landed cleanly, it's probably under 10

Dude...there is no sports bet in our lifetimes that will have such a discrepancy between the odds and the real probability. Your suggestion is to bet on football the most liquid sport where the market is the most efficient? Are you ******ed?

He's a Real Madrid fan from Romania. Tells you all you need to know.

Everything that *both* sides have done publicity-wise has played up the idea that Conor can win... Money could be trying to drive PPV, but as a gambler he knows what effect the news has on the line, so... he's trying to hook up his fans and we're safe? The switch to 8 ounce gloves makes me think he's found several fatal flaws in Conor's style, because it doesn't make sense re his brittle hands.

Don't have an official roll to sweat over but will probably bet at least 2k at -400 or better. The under seems pretty safe too. Still, it's truly crazy that this is where the line is at.

listening to some of these mma guys rationalize how conor could win is "trumps a great businessman'-level stupid. its hilarious. nate diaz probably has a better shot at beating floyd than connor

I'll eat the crow if I'm wrong, but this is probably as close as we'll see to a legitimate "cash out the 401k" bet.

Re: 8 oz. gloves and Floyd's brittle hands

To be ckear, Floyd has fought all but 3 of his 49 pro fights in 8 oz. Gloves and he's had **** hands for years.

McGregor scores the 2nd RD KO.

Where are you planning to get "-400 or better" ?

If Floyd wins, there's no chance of a rematch.
If Conor wins, there's 100% going to be a rematch.

It'll be fixed as a win for Conor so they can make more money on a rematch.
Pantomime.

No. Conor winning would make this the most scrutinized sporting event since the 1919 World Series.

You fix small events that few people care about since they often fly under the radar due to their obscurity.

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No, I don't have a very unfortunate mental illness that causes a lot of suffering for millions of people, their families and friends, not cool to use it as an insult. What are you trying to say? That Floyd beating Conor is a bigger lock than Barcelona winning v Betis at home this weekend? Because the odds are the same. There is an absolute 0% chance the Barcelona match is rigged, whereas that fight could easily be. If you had to bet everything you own, would you do it on Floyd, or on RM beating Depor this weekend, at actually better odds? What makes you think that everything is so black and white when it comes to boxing, Vegas, Floyd, Dana, Conor and hundreds of millions of dollars? You have a 0-0 novice fighting Floyd for hundreds of millions of dollars just because. Yeah, there's nothing that can be shady there.
cool, let's make a bet on who made the most money from betting in the last 2 years, let's see if you put the money where your mouth is

Wait RITS is your whole betting "model" to just indiscriminately back massive favourites in la liga?