Quote:
Originally Posted by diskoteque
What is the rig equity for real though? Don't think odds will grow to more than 25:1 but beyond that I'm not sure it's a great bet even though Floyd would ~never lose a legit match vs cm
that's kind of where i'm at . you can never count out a fix in boxing esp since a rematch would do amazing money if conor won but the thing is floyd has already trademarked 50-0 for his TMT apparel and **** and by every account imaginable he is so proud that i just cannot imagine him ever diving even for that much money. if there were rumors of him going broke like pacquiao or something i could see it but he seems so proud of his TBE bull**** that i just don't see it happening. even if conor had the judges rigged to the gills i would be okay cuz im pretty damn confident floyd knocks him out. i can't imagine any close rounds
the slightest chance of riggage would make me hesitant to bet like 1-25 but 1-8 is just absurd
fwiw the kelly criterion calculator online that i looked at this morning i put in a conservative estimate of floyd winning 95% of the time and the odds at 1-8 and it said bet 25% of roll. i don't know how accurate that is though i wont pretend to be a good sports gambler or anything. i wish i still had more poker money as i feel like as a young person this is a legitimate good investment opp