Quote:
Originally Posted by mw828
Yeah, everyone is a little different. There is no stat you can point to from the past that says what the future will be for someone. The fact that some great goalscorers weren't scoring much at a young age doesn't carry any weight for me.
The idea is that each skill has a distinct aging curve, and that pure goalscoring (like plate discipline in baseball or something) is one where players can start out poor and often improve considerably during their career as they add timing, polish, etc.
Look at the evolution of Bale's game, for example. He's a dramatically more threatening goalscorer now than he was when he first broke through. His shots per game went from 1.7 at age 20 to 2.1 at age 21 to 3.8 at 22. In this season, his goalscoring breakthrough, he averages 4.6 shots per game, almost three more than he did at 20. (set pieces but whatever, point still stands.)
In contrast, separate skills (pace/quickness, or power hitting in the baseball analogy) are going to peak early and then fall off, or are gonna be "either you have them, or you don't" types. Bale's dribbles per game over the past four years: 2.0, 2.1, 1.8, 2.1.