Quote:
Originally Posted by FreakDaddy
And to your point styx, this is essentially why Leak Buster was constructed how it was. It's obviously a complex web of how a certain style effects stats and impacts how or why you get paid off. If someone is playing really nitty, then they aren't going to get paid off if they bet for 3 streets of value, where someone who is double barreling and bluffing a lot will with a higher frequency.
But here's the interesting thing... If you agree that let's say a VPIP% of 54 will not yield long term expected value. Then you have to begin to narrow down, that VPIP will yield positive expected value, and then is there a range that is most ideal and will yield the highest expected value? That's essentially what Leak Buster is attempting to do, is make a case for the absolute best overall strategy for small and mid-stakes games. The stats are just the reflection of that overall style.
thanks for your answer, interesting stuff.
as to the optimal strategy: i believe there are very different strategies that are equally profitable. and even if there is one that is most profitable, i dont think it will be profitable for me to change my game to that strategy (unless i happen to use a somewhat similar strategy already).
i recently had a friend of mine who is a winning player at 5/10NL give me a coaching session at NL100 (he has never done coaching before). i played on a few tables and he just told me what he would do, for instance he would bet more or bet less or stuff like that. but he couldnt really articulate his reasoning behind it, and more importantly he thought that my choices were probably good too, its just a different style (we had mainly small differences like bet sizing).
i also had some other coaching sessions with coaches that got very good reviews on the forum and they basically adjusted to my strategy and the discussion went like "if you 3-bet hands like that, what hands do you flat call?", "if you often fire two barrels in this spot whats the worst hand you would bet for value two times?".
i assume the leak buster thing will work similar to the first one, it will compare my strategy to one winning strategy and it might be hard to learn anything from that, unless you are a beginner.
i didnt try the program yet so i might be totally wrong of course. it still sounds very interesting to me and i think i'm gonna give it a try anyway.
one final question: im not quite sure i understood your point about the optimal strategy right: did you find one best strategy from the data or did you find several? if you havent yet, it might be interesting to find more strategies than just one (local optimum instead of global optimum). then a player could compare his strategy to the "optimal" strategy closest to his own.