Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
Well, simply that I don't really understand why you say you would "never" bet this flop that's all.
Because I never would. Because I don't think you need a leading range in this spot.
Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
If he has KJ or KK on that flop you are crushed already right?
Right
Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
So if you bet the flop you are announcing a Jxxx hand and he'll probably raise you and you'll be able to see he has his boat and that you are beaten. At minimum he'll hit you hard on the turn and you can fold then. I don't think people slowplay big hands very often (especially when you had position) at all since there are so many times you start out ahead and if you try to get too tricky you get outdrawn and lose.
I don't think it's good to announce a hand like that. Why can't he/they raise as a bluff?
Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
So you landed trips on the flop, you are probably ahead, but don't you want to make someone with a drawing hand pay to get another card? Plus see if anyone else has a Jxxx hand except you? Since you are out of position on the flop, by not betting you are risking everyone with a drawing hand getting a free card on the turn. You may be able to take the pot down right then.
I mean, on the flop if he had the perfect drawing hand of (say) A2(d)Q10 giving him both a nut flush draw AND a straight draw, you still have 58% equity on the flop. Don't you want to protect that and make him pay to continue if he has a hand like that? You are only focusing on the KJ/KK hands cause of how it played out.
OK. Things like this are exactly why I called some of your previous arguments "dilettantish" and why I have a hard time believing you have played these guys in cash a lot. However, people do seem to think in different ways.
If my equity is higher than villain's, yes it is good for me when we put money in. If CO has a big draw, he will bet it very often. If SB has a big draw, he will bet blank turns very often. I don't really see why leading the flop would make that big of a difference.
Of course, on the river talk should focus on KJ/KK/bluff.
Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
But what about hands like A9(d)10Q or AA3Q (w a diamond draw) that he would love to see develop? You would still have about 57-60% equity on that flop against those sorts of hands even if they BOTH had one.
Shouldn't you protect that? That's my thinking anyway, but I'm happy to listen to yours.
I am happy to put money in against those hands. Worst case scenario is that the flop gets checked through with Hero having something like 60% equity. Protecting hands is good, but it is not everything.
Like I said earlier, you don't seem fully understand the consequences of having a lead range on the flop.
- we take cbet away from CO (bad for us when we have a hand)
- in the long run, we need to be at least somewhat "balanced" i.e we can't just bet trips in such spots
- our check-range is severely weakened, which makes it harder to continue after check
Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
Also, if you HAD bet the flop, thereby representing the Jxxx hand, do you think the hand would have played the same?
If I do something different, it will not play the same.
Quote:
Originally Posted by shane536
You would have got a fold from the CO right then at least allowing you to continue against Vandir in position right?
Likely yes, but that is results-oriented. When checking, I had no idea if CO would cbet or not and so on.
For me, pondering how this exact hand would have played out had I bet the flop is moot. I know that this is difficult to understand for many people.
I can guarantee that I understand what you are saying, so you don't need to waste your time trying to re-explain it. I do "get it", but I don't agree with many of your points, because your thinking seems to revolve around protecting equity, while my thinking revolves around ranges.