Quote:
Originally Posted by AKQJ10
Odd that you mentioned nut high outs but not wheel outs.
|
My brain is fried, so I'm not sure I'm making sense. I almost edited my post to include a river 5, but that still chops us with A3 (which is the odds I was trying to calculate).
Quote:
|
Also, if the likelihood of another A3 devalues our low (and I agree it does), then it also diminishes the probability of a counterfeiting river card.
|
Good point that I hadn't thought of.
Quote:
Originally Posted by str8 or better
good river (just) call.
i'm not even sure if we should raise A36.
we make more money if SB overcalls and we get 3/4 than if we raise, SB folds, BB calls and we get 3/4...
A67, I raise, because BB might 3-bet 367 (or even bare 67 for that matter. hey, he's an holdem player  )
|
I think you're right. A67 we raise because SB probably doesn't it's unlikely BB has a better high and low.
Quote:
Originally Posted by RedHot
Its the 3 rather than the 2 that is the counterfeiting card, no?
|
Sorry, yes.
Quote:
|
On the river - I wonder if there is a chance SB might call two with a non nut hand. Its not too likely I guess. I have been turbo-raising in this spot lol.
|
I think raising in this spot is bad, because I think we almost always get an overcall from the SB.