Originally Posted by Sirocko
How do you feel calling vs 3b this hand in position. I would prefer to play it HU or MW I guess.
Once the 8 comes on turn, can you do anything other than call?
Poker Stars $20/$40 Limit Omaha Hi/Lo - 6 players - View hand 1820732
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(1.5 SB) Hero is BTN with Q
, 2 folds
, Hero 3-bets
I probably fold to the double bet. Hero will see a queen or a jack on approximately one flop out of four.
You can approximate this rather easily. Before you see the flop, there are 48 missing cards, enough to make 16 three-card-flops. Only 4 of these three-card-flops can possibly have a queen or a jack. The other 12 three-card-flops don't.
When you have four high cards yourself, low is even more likely than the standard 60%. And you have no draw for low. I don't like your starting hand much. I'd play it if I could see the flop cheaply, but that ain't gonna happen here.
I'd play this if I could see the flop cheaply as a "set mining" hand (meaning I'd be hoping to make a set of queens or jacks on the flop). And I'd want as many opponents as possible seeing the flop with me, so as to get paid off when I flopped my set and went on to make a winning full house or quads. But the part about as many opponents as possible seeing the flop with me ain't gonna happen either.
I'd hate this table and I'd fold to the pre-flop raise.