Quote:
Originally Posted by Demonic16
Change those numbers around and you might be close. The amount of new people that got money back from ftp that would allow them to go to Vegas is tiny, many guys who got big chunks are current professionals and any other type of guy is just going to put it in the bank.
Good point. I guess FTP remissions will have a negligible effect on the turnout.
I think the biggest factor will be how much a casual O8 player's disposable income is. The US economy has been improving over the past year, so I'd expect an increase in disposable income for that reason. Plus, the $1500 buyin is not inflation adjusted, so you'd expect more players comfortable putting up this amount, as it will represent a smaller % of their disposable over time.
Looking at last year's PLO8 events, they are slightly different from this year's schedule. They started with the more expensive $5k event first and had it on a Thursday (June 13-15). The more affordable $1500 ran on the following Monday (June 17-19). There's a one day gap (June 16) between the two tournaments.
This year, they removed the one-day gap between the two tournaments, meaning players who want to book a vacation can plan a six day trip without having to book an extra night at a hotel during the break day between tournaments.
More importantly, the cheaper event is first (which allows players with a 3k bankroll to play the 1500 first and if they cash, then play the 3k). If the 3k was first (and pays fewer % of players than the 1500), they'd just spend the 3k and only play the 1500 if they cashed.
I would expect this to attract more regs who grind online. I am definitely intrigued by the schedule to book a week-long Vegas trip!
After looking at it in detail, I'd set a line at 1025 runners (last year's was 936) in the $1500 and 370 runners in the $3k (last year's $5k got 241).