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Originally Posted by Hero Value
Buzz, why do you say that betting disguises his hand?
Because I think betting this flop more likely represents some other hand, a low draw, a heart draw, a straight draw, a higher set, nothing...
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It's checking that disguises his hand here imo.
That's evidently what OP (deadpeddler) thinks too.
And I'll concede checking this flop does disguise 22** (bottom flopped set). However, as Villain, although 22** would be included in Hero's possible range if Hero bet this flop, there are many other stronger possibilities (nothing, a low draw, a heart draw, a straight draw, two pairs, a higher set).
Basically, I don't think 22** is worth concealing, compared to the value of possibly taking this pot with a pot sized bet... and if Villain does call, well... Hero's probably ahead, so fine.
I don't want Villain to be drawing after this flop. It's not too far fetched for Villain to have a couple of uncounterfeited low cards or a couple of hearts. I'd much rather Villain folded such hands (or paid to draw for them) after this particular flop.
I think of hands with low pairs as trap hands in Omaha-8... that is, they can be expensive losers, especially when the board pairs and Hero ends up with bottom boat... but after this particular flop, if the board doesn't subsequently pair, low, a straight, or a flush will tend to be possible and then Hero, with bottom set, will be in the awkward position of guessing what Villain has when Villain bets. I'd much rather win this hand with a pot sized bet on round #2 than take a chance on my opponent not improving.
Hero (deadpeddler) raises pre-flop with A
10
2
2
. Without knowing how Hero plays, the pre-flop raise doesn't mean much to me. Could be this, could be that. Unsophisticated players tend to raise with A2** and AA** hands, but there's no guarantee Hero has one of those. More sophisticated players who raise with A2** or AA** hands tend to also raise with various other hands, perhaps every hand they'll play, in order to make their starting hands less obvious.
I'll agree A2** stands out as a possibility, and is at least included within Hero's range, when Hero raises on round #1, and then when Hero checks on round #2, depending on how Villain reads Hero, in general A2** looks like a stronger possibility.
Actually, Hero with (AT2)2 including the spade draw misses (1) the heart draw, (2) the low draw, (3) a low straight draw, and (4) top set on the flop. What he has is that ****ty bottom set (which would be very strong if we were playing Texas hold 'em... but we're not... instead we're playing Omaha-8... where a flopped set of twos sucks, especially with a flush draw, a low draw, and a low straight draw present on the flop).
What about disguising 22**? I'll concede a check on the flop does tend to disguise 22**. But meh. That's sort of like disguising that you have a chocolate eclair to use as a possible weapon in a street fight. (To my way of thinking, a chocolate eclair is not much of a weapon in a street fight).
Buzz