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Old 05-25-2012, 06:14 PM   #1
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Club 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Im bb with As7sAc2c. UTG straddles. UTG +1, a so so player calls. Folded to SB, aggressive bad player 3 bets. I 4 bet. Straddler folds lol. All call. Flop is Kd 5h 6s. Sb checks I bet, utg +1 calls, sb raises, I?
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Old 05-25-2012, 07:01 PM   #2
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

I'm almost indifferent between flatting and 3b'ing. I'm more interested in the turn/river play in hands like these.
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Old 05-25-2012, 07:36 PM   #3
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Oh, I forgot to add in post that this is limit O8
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Old 05-25-2012, 11:27 PM   #4
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

UTG+1 pre-flop - so-so players are probably only flating A2 and A3 type-hands here (AA they probably raise, the rest are folds, maybe flat very good high hands). A re-raise on the flop by you will probably get a fold from A3 and a call from A2 and a re-raise from slow-played monsters. The raise is good for defining UTG+1 range, but you probably miss out on a chance to raise the turn. If you flat the flop and raise the turn, and there is no low, UTG+1 may fold A2 with a bad high (+ most A3 hands, fearing a possible cap against aggro player), plus you get more equity in as the bet size doubled.
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Old 05-28-2012, 09:28 AM   #5
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Put me in the 3 balling like there's no tomorrow camp.
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Old 05-28-2012, 06:58 PM   #6
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

OP, you have a clear value 3-bet on the flop, IMO...
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Old 05-28-2012, 07:21 PM   #7
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Quote:
Originally Posted by papermoon View Post
UTG+1 pre-flop - so-so players are probably only flating A2 and A3 type-hands here (AA they probably raise, the rest are folds, maybe flat very good high hands). A re-raise on the flop by you will probably get a fold from A3 and a call from A2 and a re-raise from slow-played monsters. The raise is good for defining UTG+1 range, but you probably miss out on a chance to raise the turn. If you flat the flop and raise the turn, and there is no low, UTG+1 may fold A2 with a bad high (+ most A3 hands, fearing a possible cap against aggro player), plus you get more equity in as the bet size doubled.
+1. A 3-bet on the flop won't shut UTG+1 out of the pot like facing 2 bets on the turn would (Especially if low misses). Even if the low hits, he would be forced to make a tough call on the turn with a naked A2 out of fear of getting quartered.

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Old 05-15-2013, 09:41 PM   #8
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This is the type of hand you should be getting pulled on. I don't think your getting value on the flop from raising with one pair and a low draw. Most of your low cards bring in straights and have you getting 1/2 sometimes a 1/4. And I highly doubt you will win this pot with AA alone. I would wait for a good turn to raise, preferably a low spade. Otherwise it's a check-call to me.
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Old 05-16-2013, 02:39 AM   #9
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

3!
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Old 05-16-2013, 06:37 PM   #10
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Quote:
Originally Posted by LUCIUS VARENUS View Post
Put me in the 3 balling like there's no tomorrow camp.
Why?

Quote:
Originally Posted by str8 or better View Post
OP, you have a clear value 3-bet on the flop, IMO...
Why?

Quote:
Originally Posted by RolldUpTrips View Post
3!
Why?

I don't find posts like these all that helpful. I would really like to hear the reasoning behind these posts. They could very well be the correct answer, but I don't know why and I'd like to learn.

I generally don't like to put in a lot of money with a low draw without counterfeit protection. I generally don't like to put in a lot of money with only an overpair. On the other hand, it might be nice to push UTG+1 out of the pot and get heads up against the aggro-bad-SB. But if that is your goal, wouldn't a turn raise do a better job at that?
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Old 05-16-2013, 07:26 PM   #11
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I think calling or raising are roughly the same. Where is this game being spread?
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Old 05-17-2013, 01:15 PM   #12
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+1 to the turn raise on a relative blank if your trying to push the third player out.
IMO in these games if they will call one on the flop they have no problem calling two fishing for a good pivot card.

I don't have a O8 calculator like stove to run numbers but I'm wondering what what hands people think nut low and an over pair has equity against. The only one we are a big favorite against is A2Kx, some broadway wraps that have single kings with no low but even those hands have 14 outs and basically every time we miss the low AA is no good against those hands.

I'm guessing the game is at CP? Mix game?
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Old 05-20-2013, 11:34 PM   #13
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Ive been in this situation many times so I have some solid advice for ya.

first ask the dealer to call the floor over and tell him to stop the game.

then run out to your car, open the trunk and grab your trusty shovel.

return to the game, call time in and begin shoveling your chips into the pot.
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Old 05-21-2013, 01:21 AM   #14
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Quote:
Originally Posted by kennydawgg View Post
This is the type of hand you should be getting pulled on.
Oh, I disagree (or am misunderstanding). AA has good high equity against anything but a set or 3 pair, but it loses value rapidly with each player that stays in. It's definitely a pushing hand, trying to leverage the nut draw for the low half to justify aggression in order to win the other half.

Quote:
And I highly doubt you will win this pot with AA alone.
Occasionally AA does win ui -- and it doesn't have to happen too often to make a raise correct -- but aces up often win when a blank pairs and no one made trips on the blank.

As many have noted, the problem is pushing may not work on the flop. Waiting for the turn makes some sense. I'm not used to playing in games where anyone's folding a live NL draw, ever ever, so the idea we could fold out another A2 is novel (but probably valid here).

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Originally Posted by daveopie View Post
Why?



Why?



Why?

I don't find posts like these all that helpful. I would really like to hear the reasoning behind these posts. They could very well be the correct answer, but I don't know why and I'd like to learn.
Agreed, and this is a huge problem with present day 2+2. We could just post a poll and everyone could vote on each street, which would be informative, but not as informative as a couple of great teaching replies with good reasoning.

Also, OP, I'd appreciate it if you could calculate the pot size at each street.
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Old 05-21-2013, 01:29 AM   #15
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Re: 40-80 aa27 ds flop decision

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raizin_Azian View Post
+1. A 3-bet on the flop won't shut UTG+1 out of the pot like facing 2 bets on the turn would (Especially if low misses). Even if the low hits, he would be forced to make a tough call on the turn with a naked A2 out of fear of getting quartered.

RA
I don't do calculations when OPs don't give them, so the number of bets in this capped multiway pot is "a lot." I'd be surprised if the math justifies anything but calling down for a quarter with a made NL on the turn. With three players, putting in say 4 more bets (raised on turn and river) to win back 3 of those 4 bets is a no-brainer if there's anything in the pot at all, and there's a little bit of money in this pot.
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