Quote:
Originally Posted by monikrazy
the main reason i think calling is better is that we don't have tremendous equity for the high to begin with, lots of straights and 2 pairs are possible, we allready have an extra heart in our hand so even less flush outs, raising into certain A3 hands can be an enormous error.
What we have to decide is if we have
fold equity, and, I think we do. I also feel that this is a fairly dry board as the only real draw out there is the flush draw, and we hold it. Sure, there are a
few straight draws(aren't there always?) but they're not draws I'm concerned with when you consider that they're
not hands that will have any potential to scoop even if they do hit. Example, if someone holds a 56xx or T9xx and they're facing a bet and a raise w/only one card to come, are you really that scared that you'll just be bloating the pot for these guys? This would be a horrible call for either one of those hands. And, to say that "2 pair is possible" is honestly, well, silly. I actually ran a sim on two hands, one being ours and I gave the bettor an A3 w/top pair Queens, and then I ran it again with the bettor having A3 but instead of giving him top pair, this time I gave him an open ended straight draw; and you know what? We are only slightly edged out here by a small margin. There is no enormous error here that you speak of.
Keep in mind, and regarding the 2 pair part: let's say someone held an A2 and flopped bottom pair and a nut low draw, but, instead of hitting a low on the turn they get bricked and wind up with bottom two pair and absolutely zero redraw for anything else---let's say their hand is A2T7. Are you calling two big bets on the turn with that hand?
Quote:
Originally Posted by monikrazy
our decision on the river may also be difficult and raising the turn won't neccesarily help us make a better decision on that street anyway
If we got this hand to heads up(and even if someone
did call the raise behind us), the most likely scenario in this type of game, is, the bettor will back off and check to you in fear that you might have nut low/better high. So, when you think about it, that one extra bet that you put in on the turn has actually accomplished
way more than you thought. And, of course, we'll never make a mistake on this street because we're going to accept the free showdown unless we hit trips or the flush; another bonus for having a positional advantage.
Last edited by Rush17; 04-23-2015 at 06:20 AM.