I'm the villain from the hand you posted (if I recall correctly) and in Hero Value's well you also asked about a hand where I was the villain in that hand as well (I three bet your raise if I recall with AK95).
I was inclined to not respond to this (since we play in the same game I figured your improvement would hurt my win rate), however you're likeable guy and your attempt to move up mirrors my own of a couple years ago so I'll throw you a half bone.
Background: I was playing the stakes you have been playing, then in Vegas I decided to move up to 15/30 and was moderately successful. I ran bad in a tourney but ran SOCIALLY good in that I sat next to Mark Gregorich and he agreed to let me buy him a beer and pick his brain. I asked him the same philosophical questions and he gave me advice for an hour, specifically that during the LAPC I should take 5/10k and take a shot at the 40/80 game and see how I fared. At the time I felt that was huge, and I can identify with your current journey. I hit the ground running in the 40/80 game, was a solid winner at the HP game, and a very small loser in the commerce 40/80 hk. I was also very lucky in that I was friends with Andrew Barber who I was able to run hand analysis with.
1 - I don't agree with this. I think the better you get at hand reading the more you can open a wider range (assuming it's not total garbage). Frankly if you play too snug then a good hand reader can assign you a very specific range and can maneuver you off your hand, your back door draws, and kill a lot of your equity. In this and other higher limit 08 games, I've seen snug players with your style struggle to have huge wins or stay above even. By playing a wider range you become less readable and get paid off more.
2 - I guess I agree with this if you are going to play a passive game, but I prefer to make my own destiny and play my backdoor draws in a less standard way that allows me to maximize my equity on future streets when I get there and minimize my opponents equity when I whiff and they get there.
3 - I almost NEVER fold my big blind, and the better you get at hand reading and post flop play the more that this is correct. I'm probably still defending multiway just because I didn't come to the cardroom to fold.
4 - Position is important ... I don't know if I would say it's more important at this level ... Part of me thinks it's more important at the lower limits where getting stuck in the middle with unknown callers behind you can really hurt you. At these limits I personally am far more showdown bound with each hand so therefore position matters slightly less other than for pot control and taking the initiative .... However my thinking isn't fully developed in this area.
5 - I think this is your biggest weakness. You are looking too hard for a "formula" to beat "hyper aggressive players." Given the hand you described, and the other one on another post, you must think I'm a hyper aggressive player. But I have nowhere near the level of aggression that some of the toughest opponents I have faced have. The better you get at hand reading, the more that your opponents aggression becomes indicative of whether they are maneuvering the other players or building the pot for when they realize their equity. There are significant differences between a semi bluff, pure steal, and thin value bet ... So you can't have the same counter move for each of those. In some cases I am calling, other cases I am bluff raising or check raising, or finding a fold ... It all depends on my opponent, the action up through previous streets, and how the board texture developed. This is why you can't just develop a formula and stick to it like you can at the lower limits. The sooner you realize that all the players that you have been playing with at the 6/12 oaks game are awful (yes AWFUL - there is not a single good player there), the sooner you realize that everything they are doing is wrong, and that your opponents at the higher level are thinking players who are thinking about not only their own hand, but your hand, and the deeper thinkers are thinking about what YOU are thinking about their hand and acting thusly. Half of the players at the lower limits aren't even fully thinking about THEIR hand.
As you can see, hand reading is critically important to being able to not only survive but to beat games at this level and above for any meaningful amount of money. I read somewhere that a distinguishing characteristic of world class players is that they adapt to their opponents and to the game far more quickly than non world class players. I don't put myself in that class, nor anyone we play with, however this illustrates the point that as you go up in limits you have to always be assessing your opponents and adapting your play faster than they adapt to you.
Case in point the ak95 hand ... Sometimes I'm three betting that pre, sometimes I'm flatting, other times I'm folding ... It all DEPENDS.
Rush gave you some excellent advice. First, check calling is a style of play that "good" players at the lower limits have developed as a default because there are so many atrocious players that donk into you that you can check call to pull other people in and get half a huge pot with a2xx. At the higher limits you have fewer donks, fewer pots are multiway (so getting half with a2 does not get you as many BB as you get in lower limit games), and thus you have to open up your range and play in such a way that allows you to maximize your equity when you get there and pick up some pots when you don't. Gregorich told me that he truly believes that your success in poker is highly related to how well you steal. This is why I made the joke about omaha players who are over 65 ... I really believe that most older players who came up pre 2003 and are not trying to move up are at a disadvantage. Pre Internet poker people were so awful at poker that you could just nut peddle with a2xx and make a tidy profit. To a degree this is still true at 4/8 and 6/12, although the bad players aren't AS bad as they used to be. Post 2003 though there was such an explosion of resources that some of the younger players got really really good, really really fast and moved up in limits and now live there. They developed a skill set that the older players didn't, and they did it at a time when they were in the formative stages of their career and not so stuck in their ways. Gregorich joked to me that back before the mid 2000s, if a young guy sat down at the omaha table, everyone would salivate. Now the default is to give the younger player more credit, and salivate when the older guy sits down because the older guy's play is going to be so standard and nitty that he will never get paid off and he will get pushed off a lot of hands. The moment you realize that a234 has almost NO high equity and is not as pretty as it seems is the precisely the moment that you might be ready to take a shot at higher limits - your success depends on similar paradigm shifts.
Lastly, Rush again touched on bankroll considerations. You CANNOT play scared money. When you first played in the game it was clear your fear of losing money exceeded your willingness to take bigger risks for a win. This will be TOTALLY exploited by any half decent player at these limits. 20/40 with a 30/60 kill ... You can EASILY run bad while playing good aggressive poker and get stuck 2-3k .... I would say that I am usually stuck 1-2.5k during 30% of my sessions at some point before getting even and making a profit ... Though I purposely play a higher variance style. Long bad runs at this limit can hurt - I lost 10k over 6/8 weeks before WSOP and frankly, that's just barely over 200 BB which is a somewhat rare but not realistic downswing ... You have to have the stomach and bankroll to endure that.
Since we live close together and we play in the same game I would possibly consider a coaching arrangement where we go over hands in detail or some such, but it would have to be financially worth it for me since your improvement would unfortunately diminish my win rate. There are some excellent resources online that I have found that aren't the standard Ray Zee / Super System 2 books, but I'm not sure I'm prepared to share all that just yet.
Your pair of 5s were a MONSTER in that hand ... Glad you didn't call
... Next time I'll have 10s full though so find a fold next time
Last edited by Figdog; 09-18-2016 at 04:54 AM.