Re: Slight issue w/ Sticky Situation on Third Street in Stud Eight or Better by Nick Kircher
I agree that when there are two similar door cards in a stud or stud8 game the probability increases that one of the players has that card paired. In the article it is mentioned that the hero is in middle position, and the dead cards are listed out but there is no clarification on whether or not certain cards have been folded or are still left to act. If neither a king or nine had been folded before hero was to act then you are correct imo. If one king and one or both nines have both been folded before the action gets to the hero then, obv, it would decrease the probability of running into a bigger split pair.
The article should have been more clear on this point.