Originally Posted by camz2895
I had a question for SG and he recommended I post here.
The part of the article that reads:
"Hero will improve an average of 70% of the time, but villain will make the nuts 52% of the time, resulting in roughly 34% pot equity for the hero. Thus, the equation to determine the critical pot size for the hero to call on 6th street would be:"
All i was wondering was how the 70% and 52% was calculated. I assumed he just counted the cards that would help and divide by total remaining cards.
TY for posting here, sir. A lot of people have requested a copy of this article recently (since it's no longer available in the archives of the 2p2 magazine where it originally appeared in the July '10 issue under the title "Calculating the Critical Pot Size in Razz - by Dan Abrams") so I wanted to address any questions in this forum in case others have the same ones.
Answer: I used some tricks with the propokertools simulator, but counting hero's and villain's outs will work too if you know villain's exact hole cards. Since we only have him on a range in that example, the number of outs each player has can only be approximated.