Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee? Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?

03-26-2010 , 09:47 PM
On Intrade, the current Top 10 as of this writing.

1.) Mitt Romney - Traded last at 26.1%
Former Governor of Massachusetts, 2008 Republican Presidential Contender, 2nd in Iowa Caucus, 2nd in New Hampshire.

2.) Sarah Palin - Traded last at 22.0%
Former Gov. of LOL Alaska and VP candidate in 2008 Presidential Election.

3.) John Thune - Traded last at 11.0%, Min Bid is 11.4%
Senator from South Dakota

4.) Tim Pawlenty - Traded last at 7.5%
Gov. of Minnesota(Battleground state), probably on VP Short List.

5.) Scott Brown - Traded last at 4.1%
Senator from Massachusetts, 41st Republican Senator. Defeated Democratic replacement for Ted Kennedy. He used to be a model.

6.) Jeb Bush - Traded last at 3.9%
Former Republican Gov. of Florida. Still popular, brother of 43rd President George W. Bush and son of 41st President George H.W. Bush.

7.) Mitch Daniels - Traded last at 3.5%
Gov. of Indiana (Battleground State), George Will's pick for 2012 Republican Nominee.

8.) Newt Gingrinch - Traded last at 3.0%
Former Speaker of the House, led Republicans in 1994 Congressional takeover known as the "Republican Revolution" or "Contract with America." Had an affair on his wife.

9.) Mike Huckabee - Traded last at 2.7%
2008 Republican Winner of Iowa Caucus, Host of Fox News show, former Gov. of Arkansas. Fun facts - Used to be really fat and can play the guitar.

10.) Bobby Jindal - Traded last at 2.1%
Gov. of Louisiana.
03-26-2010 , 09:48 PM
11) Zombie McCain
03-26-2010 , 09:49 PM
How many times has Gingrich been a potential Republican candidate? 50?

THIS IS HIS YEAR!
03-26-2010 , 10:22 PM
I think (Pr Romney|bad economy) is quite high, while the same is true for (Pr Palin|good economy). If the economy's doing well, the technocratic argument loses appeal and so the primary base is more likely to be motivated by right-wing populism that has little appeal in the electorate at large.
03-26-2010 , 10:29 PM
Romney.
03-26-2010 , 10:32 PM
Didn't we already elect Scott Brown President a couple of months ago?
03-26-2010 , 10:33 PM
lol descriptions
03-26-2010 , 10:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The 13th 4postle
8.) Newt Gingrinch - Traded last at 3.0%
Former Speaker of the House, led Republicans in 1994 Congressional takeover known as the "Republican Revolution" or "Contract with America." Had an affair on his wife.
You write this as if he only did this once to only one wife.
03-26-2010 , 10:39 PM
There are flip flops and there are flip flops. If Romney can win a single state after health care, he should get an award imo. Merit badge of some kind.

Edit: But there's hardly anyone else that will run and can win. Tim Pawlenty has a better shot of getting drafted into the NBA.

Last edited by istewart; 03-26-2010 at 10:44 PM.
03-26-2010 , 10:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
You write this as if he only did this once to only one wife.
I didn't know there was more then one.
03-26-2010 , 10:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The 13th 4postle
I didn't know there was more then one.
In his defense, he only divorced one of his wives while they were cancer stricken.
03-26-2010 , 11:53 PM
I don't understand how Brown can be number 5, but the margins are pretty close on 5-10. Still don't understand how he is really the number 5 most likely to win. What exactly has he done? Maybe the Mass win was bigger than I thought. I thought it came more down to what Coakley didn't do than he did.
03-27-2010 , 12:08 AM
There are pawlenty of people that support MN's governor.

Anyone?

Bueler?
03-27-2010 , 12:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jah7_fsu1
I don't understand how Brown can be number 5, but the margins are pretty close on 5-10. Still don't understand how he is really the number 5 most likely to win. What exactly has he done? Maybe the Mass win was bigger than I thought. I thought it came more down to what Coakley didn't do than he did.
Well, he got a lot of free publicity out of his win, so he gets an instant name recognition advantage over most of the second tier candidates. If Obamacare didn't pass he'd be in much better shape with a "I singlehandedly stopped Obamacare" slogan, although he can't really be blamed for not doing more.
03-27-2010 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayTeeMe
There are pawlenty of people that support MN's governor.
This ranks pretty high (if not #1) in the worst puns I've ever seen.
03-27-2010 , 01:11 AM
I've said this before, but Mitt Romney will never be the Republican nominee for President. Obama's health care reform plan is nearly identical to the one Romney passed in Massachusetts.

Anyone running against him in 2012 will put out direct mail pieces saying "Chairman Mitt of the People's Republic of Taxachusetts" and he's done with the base.
03-27-2010 , 01:49 AM
Wow, I really wish I had a ton of extra cash to drop against Palin right now.
03-27-2010 , 01:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PoBoy321
I've said this before, but Mitt Romney will never be the Republican nominee for President. Obama's health care reform plan is nearly identical to the one Romney passed in Massachusetts.

Anyone running against him in 2012 will put out direct mail pieces saying "Chairman Mitt of the People's Republic of Taxachusetts" and he's done with the base.
Being Mormon doesn't help either. Hey we may have elected a black President, but we aren't ready to take that kind of leap
03-27-2010 , 01:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jah7_fsu1
Being Mormon doesn't help either. Hey we may have elected a black President, but we aren't ready to take that kind of leap
Just imagine if he were atheist.
03-27-2010 , 01:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexM
Just imagine if he were atheist.
Pete Stark '16 (even if he'll be 85)!
03-27-2010 , 01:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PoBoy321
Pete Stark '16 (even if he'll be 85)!
What % of the vote does he get against Generic R?
03-27-2010 , 02:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nichlemn
What % of the vote does he get against Generic R?
I was cracking a joke. Pete Stark is an avowed atheist from CA-13 who's been in office since 1973 and generally gets ~70% of the vote in the district, but would never stand a chance statewide, nevermind nationwide.
03-27-2010 , 02:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PoBoy321
I was cracking a joke. Pete Stark is an avowed atheist from CA-13 who's been in office since 1973 and generally gets ~70% of the vote in the district, but would never stand a chance statewide, nevermind nationwide.
I knew that. A serious answer as to what % of the vote you think he would receive still interests me.
03-27-2010 , 02:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nichlemn
I knew that. A serious answer as to what % of the vote you think he would receive still interests me.
You mean assuming that he got the Democratic nomination? I'd say 40-45% of the popular vote, win the electoral college in the northeast with the exception of new hampshire, maine, pennsylvania and delaware, then california and oregon, maybe minnesota, but get trounced otherwise.

EDIT: Should have said "would win the states of" not "win the electoral college in." I figure that barring absolute disaster, either party has about 40% of the popular vote and a number of states locked up, regardless of who runs.

Last edited by PoBoy321; 03-27-2010 at 02:34 AM.

      
m