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-   -   Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee? (https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/41/politics/who-will-2012-republican-presidential-nominee-745368/)

The 13th 4postle 03-26-2010 09:47 PM

Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
On Intrade, the current Top 10 as of this writing.

1.) Mitt Romney - Traded last at 26.1%
Former Governor of Massachusetts, 2008 Republican Presidential Contender, 2nd in Iowa Caucus, 2nd in New Hampshire.

2.) Sarah Palin - Traded last at 22.0%
Former Gov. of LOL Alaska and VP candidate in 2008 Presidential Election.

3.) John Thune - Traded last at 11.0%, Min Bid is 11.4%
Senator from South Dakota

4.) Tim Pawlenty - Traded last at 7.5%
Gov. of Minnesota(Battleground state), probably on VP Short List.

5.) Scott Brown - Traded last at 4.1%
Senator from Massachusetts, 41st Republican Senator. Defeated Democratic replacement for Ted Kennedy. He used to be a model.

6.) Jeb Bush - Traded last at 3.9%
Former Republican Gov. of Florida. Still popular, brother of 43rd President George W. Bush and son of 41st President George H.W. Bush.

7.) Mitch Daniels - Traded last at 3.5%
Gov. of Indiana (Battleground State), George Will's pick for 2012 Republican Nominee.

8.) Newt Gingrinch - Traded last at 3.0%
Former Speaker of the House, led Republicans in 1994 Congressional takeover known as the "Republican Revolution" or "Contract with America." Had an affair on his wife.

9.) Mike Huckabee - Traded last at 2.7%
2008 Republican Winner of Iowa Caucus, Host of Fox News show, former Gov. of Arkansas. Fun facts - Used to be really fat and can play the guitar.

10.) Bobby Jindal - Traded last at 2.1%
Gov. of Louisiana.

Ineedaride2 03-26-2010 09:48 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
11) Zombie McCain

Ineedaride2 03-26-2010 09:49 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
How many times has Gingrich been a potential Republican candidate? 50?

THIS IS HIS YEAR!

Nichlemn 03-26-2010 10:22 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
I think (Pr Romney|bad economy) is quite high, while the same is true for (Pr Palin|good economy). If the economy's doing well, the technocratic argument loses appeal and so the primary base is more likely to be motivated by right-wing populism that has little appeal in the electorate at large.

TomCollins 03-26-2010 10:29 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Romney.

DVaut1 03-26-2010 10:32 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Didn't we already elect Scott Brown President a couple of months ago?

istewart 03-26-2010 10:33 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
lol descriptions

DVaut1 03-26-2010 10:34 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by The 13th 4postle (Post 17768456)
8.) Newt Gingrinch - Traded last at 3.0%
Former Speaker of the House, led Republicans in 1994 Congressional takeover known as the "Republican Revolution" or "Contract with America." Had an affair on his wife.

You write this as if he only did this once to only one wife.

istewart 03-26-2010 10:39 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
There are flip flops and there are flip flops. If Romney can win a single state after health care, he should get an award imo. Merit badge of some kind.

Edit: But there's hardly anyone else that will run and can win. Tim Pawlenty has a better shot of getting drafted into the NBA.

The 13th 4postle 03-26-2010 10:46 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DVaut1 (Post 17769368)
You write this as if he only did this once to only one wife.

I didn't know there was more then one.

DVaut1 03-26-2010 10:50 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by The 13th 4postle (Post 17769607)
I didn't know there was more then one.

In his defense, he only divorced one of his wives while they were cancer stricken.

jah7_fsu1 03-26-2010 11:53 PM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
I don't understand how Brown can be number 5, but the margins are pretty close on 5-10. Still don't understand how he is really the number 5 most likely to win. What exactly has he done? Maybe the Mass win was bigger than I thought. I thought it came more down to what Coakley didn't do than he did.

JayTeeMe 03-27-2010 12:08 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
There are pawlenty of people that support MN's governor.

Anyone?

Bueler?

Nichlemn 03-27-2010 12:13 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jah7_fsu1 (Post 17770655)
I don't understand how Brown can be number 5, but the margins are pretty close on 5-10. Still don't understand how he is really the number 5 most likely to win. What exactly has he done? Maybe the Mass win was bigger than I thought. I thought it came more down to what Coakley didn't do than he did.

Well, he got a lot of free publicity out of his win, so he gets an instant name recognition advantage over most of the second tier candidates. If Obamacare didn't pass he'd be in much better shape with a "I singlehandedly stopped Obamacare" slogan, although he can't really be blamed for not doing more.

Nichlemn 03-27-2010 12:15 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JayTeeMe (Post 17770882)
There are pawlenty of people that support MN's governor.

This ranks pretty high (if not #1) in the worst puns I've ever seen.

The 13th 4postle 03-27-2010 12:56 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Petraeus on Prez Talk: No Means No

PoBoy321 03-27-2010 01:11 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
I've said this before, but Mitt Romney will never be the Republican nominee for President. Obama's health care reform plan is nearly identical to the one Romney passed in Massachusetts.

Anyone running against him in 2012 will put out direct mail pieces saying "Chairman Mitt of the People's Republic of Taxachusetts" and he's done with the base.

AlexM 03-27-2010 01:49 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Wow, I really wish I had a ton of extra cash to drop against Palin right now.

jah7_fsu1 03-27-2010 01:50 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by PoBoy321 (Post 17771629)
I've said this before, but Mitt Romney will never be the Republican nominee for President. Obama's health care reform plan is nearly identical to the one Romney passed in Massachusetts.

Anyone running against him in 2012 will put out direct mail pieces saying "Chairman Mitt of the People's Republic of Taxachusetts" and he's done with the base.

Being Mormon doesn't help either. Hey we may have elected a black President, but we aren't ready to take that kind of leap :rolleyes:

AlexM 03-27-2010 01:51 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jah7_fsu1 (Post 17772053)
Being Mormon doesn't help either. Hey we may have elected a black President, but we aren't ready to take that kind of leap :rolleyes:

Just imagine if he were atheist.

PoBoy321 03-27-2010 01:53 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexM (Post 17772064)
Just imagine if he were atheist.

Pete Stark '16 (even if he'll be 85)!

Nichlemn 03-27-2010 01:57 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by PoBoy321 (Post 17772075)
Pete Stark '16 (even if he'll be 85)!

What % of the vote does he get against Generic R?

PoBoy321 03-27-2010 02:07 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nichlemn (Post 17772118)
What % of the vote does he get against Generic R?

I was cracking a joke. Pete Stark is an avowed atheist from CA-13 who's been in office since 1973 and generally gets ~70% of the vote in the district, but would never stand a chance statewide, nevermind nationwide.

Nichlemn 03-27-2010 02:11 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by PoBoy321 (Post 17772225)
I was cracking a joke. Pete Stark is an avowed atheist from CA-13 who's been in office since 1973 and generally gets ~70% of the vote in the district, but would never stand a chance statewide, nevermind nationwide.

I knew that. A serious answer as to what % of the vote you think he would receive still interests me.

PoBoy321 03-27-2010 02:29 AM

Re: Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nichlemn (Post 17772275)
I knew that. A serious answer as to what % of the vote you think he would receive still interests me.

You mean assuming that he got the Democratic nomination? I'd say 40-45% of the popular vote, win the electoral college in the northeast with the exception of new hampshire, maine, pennsylvania and delaware, then california and oregon, maybe minnesota, but get trounced otherwise.

EDIT: Should have said "would win the states of" not "win the electoral college in." I figure that barring absolute disaster, either party has about 40% of the popular vote and a number of states locked up, regardless of who runs.


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