Quote:
Originally Posted by Husker
Part of the Tory bounce will also be UKIP members heading back there.
Labour on a downward slope since April and it's continuing.
Hmm not so sure about this. Obviously a lot of UKIP voters will be going back to the Tories, but I think you would also expect an inverse relationship between the Tories and Labour too, i.e. when the Tories get a bounce, Labour suffers and when the Tories suffer, Labour do better. This seems to be roughly expressed in the graph and would expect the next downturn to be met with the Labour upturn.