Over/Under On Republicans Losing The House?
I've been accused of starting too many new threads, so I'll plant this one in an existing thread. (Besides, it's probably more appropriate for this to go here anyway ...)
Under the banner headline "
DEM HOUSE TARGETS GROW" the Huffington Post is linking to a New York Times article full of arguments/counterarguments speculating on the question of whether the GOP is in danger of losing the House - as well as the Senate. (The article seems to take it for granted that the Senate is a lost cause for the GOP.) Of course, Donald Trump is the scapegoat for all the nail biting and worry. If Republicans manage to lose control of both the House and the Senate, Mr. Trump will get all (or most) of the blame.
Democrats must harvest a net gain of 30 seats in order for Mrs. Pelosi to wrest the Speakers gavel away from Paul Ryan. That's a tall order, but some Democrats think (hope?) they're within striking distance. So the big question is: Will they do it?
To make this really interesting and test the PPP - Political Prediction Prowess - of all you "in the know" politically sophisticated pundocrats, I'm proposing a contest. (If somebody wants to create a separate poll thread on this question, be my guest.)
Rather than an Over/Under number, maybe we can have a contest where you predict how many House seats [net] the GOP will lose. Since I'm the one proposing this contest, I'll start the ball rolling with my prediction. Following the scientific method of pulling a guess straight out of my a**, I predict Republicans will lose a net of 20 House seats. (When my "prediction" turns out to be true on election night, my avatar will be immediately upgraded to "Political Savant".
EDIT: On second thought, maybe the best way to do this would be for my 20 number to be the O/U line. Participants wishing to venture a guess will take the "Over" if they think (believe) Republicans will lose more than 20 House seats. Those who think the GOP will lose less than 20 House seats will take the "Under".
Last edited by Alan C. Lawhon; 08-29-2016 at 07:40 AM.