There Will Be RESONANCE: 2016 Iowa Caucus Gameday Thread - Page 6 - Politics and Economics

fox is all in for rubio right now. had the luntz focus group where they highlighted for a long time and interviewed the one voter who switched from trump to cruz to rubio. now "Could Rubio pull off IA surprise even if he doesnt win caucus" is the topic.

"Trump not showing for debate hurt him in IA.
If Rubio goes up, he can thank Trump"

These are the quotes. So must be true its on the news.

02-01-2016 , 06:24 PM

#128

anatta

diamond sharp wisdom

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 35,729

"Turning to the Democrats now, many are Now Feeling the Bern. Do the students really understand what socialism really is? An important lesson from Greg when we return." Greg would be that "comedian" frat boy guy i think not sure.

02-01-2016 , 06:28 PM

#129

bills217

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The two polls that include the most recent data (not necessarily the most recently released) show clear Rubio-mentum.

I think Rubio may be nearly even money to finish ahead of Cruz now.

02-01-2016 , 06:31 PM

#130

anatta

diamond sharp wisdom

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 35,729

actually i kinda feel rubio for those reasons too. and think it was Cruz who hurt himself in the debate and Rubio benefits. And since Cruz was a close 2nd, Trump also benefits in the IA game.

02-01-2016 , 06:35 PM

#131

anatta

diamond sharp wisdom

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 35,729

and who know a big showing by rubio maybe he can start polling over 11% nationally.

02-01-2016 , 06:52 PM

#132

Onlydo2days

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Around what time will we know who wins Iowa?

02-01-2016 , 06:57 PM

#133

anatta

diamond sharp wisdom

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 35,729

i dunno. My TV says they close caucus doors in 2hr 4 mins. Gonna get a nap in imo. i am not sure about what we will know and when, but i feel like we wont know everything for a long time.

02-01-2016 , 07:10 PM

#134

vixticator

clutch

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 117,339

Do you have to be at the caucus at a specific time? I assume they aren't open all day, because how does that work..? So, what, you show up at like 7pm, hang out for a few hours and then vote?

02-01-2016 , 07:14 PM

#135

ogallalabob

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Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 2,448

Quote:

Originally Posted by vixticator

Do you have to be at the caucus at a specific time? I assume they aren't open all day, because how does that work..? So, what, you show up at like 7pm, hang out for a few hours and then vote?

Pretty much.

http://www.npr.org/2016/01/30/464960...-caucuses-work

02-01-2016 , 07:18 PM

#136

ASAP17

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 5,882

Quote:

Originally Posted by anatta

Remember FOX News has been wrong most of this campaign so far, they are desperately pumping Rubio as much as they can. Not saying he isn't gaining momentum but to say their slant is helping Rubio maybe counter intuitive.

02-01-2016 , 07:24 PM

#137

ASAP17

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 5,882

I have a feeling the gap between Trump & Cruz will be a lot closer than Clinton & Sanders.

02-01-2016 , 07:27 PM

#138

seattlelou

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I wonder what would be worse for Trump's equity, a narrow loss to Cruz or a narrow win over an outperforming Rubio? My gut says the latter.

02-01-2016 , 07:32 PM

#139

Onlydo2days

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I dunno about that. W is a W and Trump's whole thing is he is a winner that doesn't lose because he crushes the comp. Coming in 2nd would be like a undefeated boxer getting cut for the 1st time.

02-01-2016 , 07:33 PM

#140

seattlelou

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Onlydo2days

I dunno about that. W is a W and Trump's whole thing is he is a winner that doesn't lose because he crushes the comp. Coming in 2nd would be like a undefeated boxer getting cut for the 1st time.

My instincts have been proven to be less than reliable.

02-01-2016 , 07:35 PM

#141

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,721

Don and Bernie

02-01-2016 , 07:36 PM

#142

Onlydo2days

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Iowa Caucus - Republican Winner
Mon 2/1 851 Donald Trump wins Republican Iowa Caucus
-310
8:00PM 852 Field wins Republican Iowa Caucus
+230
Iowa Caucus - Democratic Winner
Mon 2/1 861 Hilary Clinton wins Democrat Iowa Caucus
-310
8:00PM 862 Field wins Democratic Iowa Caucus
+230
New Hampshire Primary - Republican Winner
Tue 2/2 871 Donald Trump wins New Hampshire Primary
-600
12:00PM 872 Field wins New Hampshire Primary
+400
New Hampshire Primary - Democratic Winner
Tue 2/2 881 Bernie Sanders wins N.Hampshire Primary
-750
12:00PM 882 Field wins New Hampshire Primary
+450

the latest per 5D

Trump keeps rising in Iowa

02-01-2016 , 07:39 PM

#143

ogallalabob

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 2,448

Quote:

Originally Posted by seattlelou

I wonder what would be worse for Trump's equity, a narrow loss to Cruz or a narrow win over an outperforming Rubio? My gut says the latter.

Would agree. Think Cruz is more worried about finishing behind Rubio, then losing to Trump as well.

02-01-2016 , 07:39 PM

#144

seattlelou

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Onlydo2days

Have the odds moved in Trump's favor today? What is your time frame for "keeps rising"?

02-01-2016 , 07:41 PM

#145

parttimepro

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 1,281

What are the limits at 5D for politics bets these days?

02-01-2016 , 07:42 PM

#146

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,721

Quote:

Originally Posted by Onlydo2days

Iowa Caucus - Democratic Winner
Mon 2/1 861 Hilary Clinton wins Democrat Iowa Caucus
-310
8:00PM 862 Field wins Democratic Iowa Caucus
+230

the latest per 5D

I'm liking that field line.

02-01-2016 , 07:43 PM

#147

Onlydo2days

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Quote:

Originally Posted by parttimepro

What are the limits at 5D for politics bets these days?

Like $100, bookmaker has bigger limits with similar odds tho.

@Lou.....It was like -210 4-5 days ago and -280 yesterday.

02-01-2016 , 07:44 PM

#148

seattlelou

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Onlydo2days

Like $100, bookmaker has bigger limits with similar odds tho.

@Lou.....It was like -210 4-5 days ago and -280 yesterday.

Thanks!

02-01-2016 , 07:45 PM

#149

Onlydo2days

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There is BM....Hope it C &Ps ok...

2K USD NO PARLAY/BUY
5:00 PM
DEMOCRATIC NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY WINNER
31609 HILLARY CLINTON +450
31610 BERNIE SANDERS -700
2K USD NO PARLAY/BUY
5:00 PM
DEMOCRATIC IOWA CAUCUS WINNER
31617 HILLARY CLINTON -240
31618 BERNIE SANDERS +200
31620 MARTIN O'MALLEY +15000
2K USD NO PARLAY/BUY
5:00 PM
REPUBLICAN NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY WINNER
31623 JEB BUSH +1957
31624 DONALD TRUMP -500
31625 MARCO RUBIO +704
31626 CARLY FIORINA +35000
31627 BEN CARSON +25000
31628 JOHN KASICH +1041
31629 TED CRUZ +826
31630 CHRIS CHRISTIE +5000
2K USD NO PARLAY/BUY
5:00 PM
REPUBLICAN IOWA CAUCUS WINNER
31635 JEB BUSH +10100
31636 DONALD TRUMP -288
31637 MARCO RUBIO +1184
31638 CARLY FIORINA +22878
31639 BEN CARSON +9050
31640 JOHN KASICH +11938
31641 TED CRUZ +201
31642 CHRIS CHRISTIE +27500