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Are There Flaws In Daniel Negreanu's Israel/Palestine Post? Are There Flaws In Daniel Negreanu's Israel/Palestine Post?

08-01-2014 , 08:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
That I don't have any alternative says nothing about the truth of the following: wantonly targeting civilians
if you think Israel is intentionally targeting civilians you really haven't been paying much attention to what's actually going on. Furthermore, what in the world would they have to gain from such an action? The criticism is heavy enough as it is.
08-01-2014 , 08:20 PM
Riverman is correct.
08-01-2014 , 08:20 PM
2/325Falcon,

I don't understand this like "end of story" stuff. What's the end of the story? I said clearly:

Quote:
Maybe that's not the empirical reality; maybe Israel isn't behaving recklessly. I will listen to that question play out.
Maybe there's more of the story to tell about that. Go for it.

Or like, you want to debate the axiom, like wantonly targeting civilians or behaving recklessly such that they die is open for debate? Go for it chief. That story can also continue. I think you *are* clearly trying to have that debate, but just by burden shifting any kind of argument for assuming that if no one can come up with some better plan you like, then armies should be able to wantonly targeting civilians or behaving recklessly such that they die. That's not an argument, it's a fallacy; it's called a false dilemma. If you have an argument to make, please proceed. It's the internet, bandwith is cheap.
08-01-2014 , 08:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2/325Falcon
Minus,

Yes, you should be able to articulate what the carpenter should have done before you **** all over him. There are a bunch of reasons for the house falling down that aren't the carpenter's fault. Was the foundation poured badly? Earthquake? Etc.
Introducing external factors that were clearly not part of the original question isn't really a good answer. Yes, if the house fell down because someone brought a wrecking ball to it, it clearly wasn't the carpenters fault.

However - if no one did, if the foundation was sound and no earthquake or other factor was registered, you do not have to know how to do a better job than the carpenter to criticize him.

It's not your job to build a house. That does not mean you can't see when someone has done a bad job when doing it.
08-01-2014 , 08:21 PM
"Hey, is that city block packed with innocent civilians?"

"Yeah. I guess we shouldn't launch an airstrike there."

#AlternateIsraeliWarStrategies
08-01-2014 , 08:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2/325Falcon
Riverman is correct.
Now that we can agree on. 100% even.
08-01-2014 , 08:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2/325Falcon
And if you can't articulate a better plan for Israel even in general you don't really have a good grasp of this do you?
This too, of course. Israel should just take it if they can't prevent civilian casualties in Gaza?

You guys do realize Hamas has tried to tunnel numerous times into Israeli civilian areas using tunnels that have existed for years, right? In fact today they popped out and detonated a suicide vest, killing two soldiers and capturing another before retreating back underground.

Israel should just let these tunnels be? What should they do otherwise?
08-01-2014 , 08:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
I don't think anyone would disagree with this. But how are we defining reckless? Obviously in absolutely any military engagement there is a super high likelihood of bombs/missiles/whatever going slightly off target. Is engaging in any military engagement whatsoever, knowing that possibility, reckless?
I don't think so, no. I'm not arguing for pacifism.

Quote:
When you are firing huge numbers of weapons, obviously a small percentage, but a significant absolute number nonetheless, may go off target. Is this acceptable or is it reckless?
Not enough information to answer the question.
08-01-2014 , 08:25 PM
Quote:
Maybe that's not the empirical reality; maybe Israel isn't behaving recklessly. I will listen to that question play out.
Pretty clear you've already come to the decision that Israel is wanton and reckless here even though you won't say what you think they should be doing instead. Are you going to show your work here or not?
08-01-2014 , 08:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
if you think Israel is intentionally targeting civilians you really haven't been paying much attention to what's actually going on.
If you say so.

Quote:
Furthermore, what in the world would they have to gain from such an action? The criticism is heavy enough as it is.
People and groups act irrationally all the time. Like I said, one of the beauties the justice system has when adjudicating recklessness is that you don't have to wade into questions about mens rea. I don't hazard to guess what Israel thinks X or Y does to its reputation, or if it cares about the criticism it faces.
08-01-2014 , 08:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aislephive
"Hey, is that city block packed with innocent civilians?"

"Yeah. I guess we shouldn't launch an airstrike there."

#AlternateIsraeliWarStrategies
"Hey, that city block has fired 20 rockets at us today, causing extensive damage in Israel proper and potentially injuring or killing Israeli civilians. There are terrorists mixed in with the civilians on the block. What do we do?"

Serious question. Just let them continue to shoot the rockets?
08-01-2014 , 08:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
People and groups act irrationally all the time. Like I said, one of the beauties the justice system has when adjudicating recklessness is that you don't have to wade into questions about mens rea. I don't hazard to guess what Israel thinks X or Y does to its reputation, or if it cares about the criticism it faces.
Sure, people act irrationally. But is it in Israel's best interests to kill civilians? I think that's a pretty clear no and when has Israel done ANYTHING that isn't in its best interest? There's just no motive for some massive conspiracy to target and kill Palestinians. Israel could have wiped out all the Palestinians in Gaza or the West Bank by now if they wanted to, and pretty easily. You are reaching here or relying on some pro-Palestinian propaganda.

Also, are we talking about recklessness or intentional targeting of civilians? Or are you saying the two are linked now? I read your initial post as separating them out, at least for the purposes of discussion.
08-01-2014 , 08:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
I don't think anyone would disagree with this. But how are we defining reckless? Obviously in absolutely any military engagement there is a super high likelihood of bombs/missiles/whatever going slightly off target. Is engaging in any military engagement whatsoever, knowing that possibility, reckless? When you are firing huge numbers of weapons, obviously a small percentage, but a significant absolute number nonetheless, may go off target. Is this acceptable or is it reckless?
Israel airstrikes have devastating precision which makes the high percentage of civilian deaths even more unacceptable. They may not be targeting civilians directly, but they're making next to no effort to minimize collateral damage. Basically, they're operating against Hamas as if civilians aren't even part of the equation. You could argue otherwise but the proportion of militant deaths to innocents leaves no other conclusion.
08-01-2014 , 08:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
Pretty sure Montanans have rockets. Them's some crazy-ass muther****ers in Montana.
They do, indeed. Montana is home to one of a few intercontinental nuke silos.

Sent from my VS980 4G using 2+2 Forums
08-01-2014 , 08:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2/325Falcon
Pretty clear you've already come to the decision that Israel is wanton and reckless here even though you won't say what you think they should be doing instead. Are you going to show your work here or not?
Are you for real? *I'm* not showing my work?

sigh

OK. I already gave a link. Let's go to a second one:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/22/wo...i-strikes.html

Quote:
The Palestinian deaths — 75 percent of them civilians, according to a United Nations count — have prompted a wave of international outrage, and are raising questions about Israel’s stated dedication to protecting civilians.
And then lets go back to the total body count:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/21/wo...za-israel.html

Quote:
Throughout Gaza, at least 87 Palestinians were killed by Israeli fire on Sunday, according to the Palestinian Health Ministry, bringing the death toll there since the Israeli air offensive began on July 8 to at least 425, with more than 3,000 injured. The toll includes more than 100 children.
I am suggesting this is entirely reckless based on empirics alone. But unlike when I said I won't debate the moral axiom that wantonly killing civilians or behaving recklessly such that they will die is wrong, I'm happy to at least entertain alternative takes here: maybe there's some truly good reason so many civilians (on a percentage basis) are dying relative to any actual Hamas combatants. I get that "Hamas is hiding amongst them" is a reason but see above: I don't find that very compelling.

And one of the alternative takes I find completely uncompelling is "WHAT'S YOUR ALTERNATIVE?" That's the true 'not showing the work' and just making completely lazy arguments.
08-01-2014 , 08:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
"Hey, that city block has fired 20 rockets at us today, causing extensive damage in Israel proper and potentially injuring or killing Israeli civilians. There are terrorists mixed in with the civilians on the block. What do we do?"

Serious question. Just let them continue to shoot the rockets?
How many people actually get harmed by those rockets after Israel put the Iron Dome in place?

There's a glaring asymmetry in the acrual death tolls that, to me at least, suggests that Israel's response isn't really proportional.
08-01-2014 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aislephive
Israel airstrikes have devastating precision which makes the high percentage of civilian deaths even more unacceptable. They may not be targeting civilians directly, but they're making next to no effort to minimize collateral damage. Basically, they're operating against Hamas as if civilians aren't even part of the equation. You could argue otherwise but the proportion of militant deaths to innocents leaves no other conclusion.
No matter how precise Israeli airstrikes are, no military assault can be perfect. Expecting Israel to be able to hit one dude in a building without touching anyone else is unrealistic. Of course, the obvious followup is how much are you willing to accept potential collateral damage. The bolded is also bull****--they warn pretty much everyone before they strike, drop leaflets warning people to leave, drop roof knockers before actual bombs, etc. You can argue over whether or not these are sufficient measures, but saying they make no effort to reduce collateral and civilian damage just isn't true.

No doubt this is a biased account, but it's also possible the casualty numbers are biased as well.

http://time.com/3035937/gaza-israel-...an-casualties/

Quote:
An informational battle of competing messages directed at international audiences parallels the military fighting between Israel and Hamas. Accompanying a barrage of wrenching images are Palestinian fatality statistics alleging disproportionate numbers of non-combatants. These figures are crucial because they form the basis of accusations that Israel uses excessive and indiscriminate force.


Hamas, the terrorist group controlling Gaza, endeavors to turn Israel’s military superiority to its own advantage by portraying the Israeli response to intense rocket and mortar fire as disproportionate and indiscriminate. In doing so, it hopes to turn public opinion against the Jewish state, as well as bolster its own standing at the expense of the Fatah-led Palestinian National Authority in the West Bank.

No One Knows
Fatality figures provided by Hamas and other groups should be viewed with suspicion. Not only do Israeli figures cast doubt on claims that the vast majority of fatalities are non-combatants, but a careful review of Palestinian sources also raises doubts.

Analyses of the casualties listed in the daily reports published by the Palestinian Center for Human Rights, a Gaza-based organization operating under Hamas rule, indicate that young males ages 17 to 30 make up a large portion of the fatalities, and a particularly noticeable spike occurs between males ages 21 to 27, a pattern consistent with the age distribution typically found among combatants and military conscripts. Palestinian sources attempt to conceal this discrepancy with their public message by labeling most of these young men as civilians. Only a minority is identified as members of armed groups. As a result, the PCHR calculates civilian fatalities at 82% as of July 26. PCHR provides the most detailed casualty reports of the various Palestinian agencies from Gaza that provide figures to the media and to international organizations like the UN. Its figures closely match those of the Hamas-run Gazan Health Ministry and other groups.
08-01-2014 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
Sure, people act irrationally. But is it in Israel's best interests to kill civilians? I think that's a pretty clear no and when has Israel done ANYTHING that isn't in its best interest? There's just no motive for some massive conspiracy to target and kill Palestinians.
I think I've been clear it's entirely possible if not likely they aren't intentionally targetting civilians as much as they are behaving recklessly.

Quote:
Israel could have wiped out all the Palestinians in Gaza or the West Bank by now if they wanted to, and pretty easily. You are reaching here or relying on some pro-Palestinian propaganda.
Seems like a weird non-sequitur. I agree Israel could easily be doing worse.

Quote:
Also, are we talking about recklessness or intentional targeting of civilians? Or are you saying the two are linked now? I read your initial post as separating them out, at least for the purposes of discussion.
They are of course separate. I'm arguing that in either case, Daniel ignored the moral ramifications of either possibility, which seems critical to actually answering the arguments Israel's critics are making.
08-01-2014 , 08:37 PM
So instead of #feelings what Dvaut is basing all this on is #scoreboard, I guess. Shockingly when armed conflict occurs the people living in and around the area closet to the fighting are the ones that wind up dying. That certainly doesn't make Israel wanton and reckless, it just means Hamas is incapable of launching some D-Day style human wave attack into Israel proper.
08-01-2014 , 08:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
Israel should just let these tunnels be?
Is bombing buildings in Gaza stopping the tunnels?
08-01-2014 , 08:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
On a scale of 1-10 how offensive is it to hold the view that the Jewish people should consider moving and setting up their state somewhere a little less controversial? Like give them Montana or something and a few hundred billion to get started and I'm sure they'd have a thriving state up and running in no time just without the rocket attacks.
I for one welcome my new Jewish neighbors
08-01-2014 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by heh
How many people actually get harmed by those rockets after Israel put the Iron Dome in place?

There's a glaring asymmetry in the acrual death tolls that, to me at least, suggests that Israel's response isn't really proportional.
So just because Israel can defend itself with the Iron Dome, they should just suffer the attacks from Gaza? How does that make sense? You do realize that rockets are launched from schools, from hospitals, and smuggled through tunnels. Furthermore, Hamas operatives emerge out of tunnels and try to kidnap or kill Israeli civilians. Do you believe Israel should just let all of this happen?

Why is there little to no outrage over Hamas using civilian shields, or at the very least, setting up their rockets and mortars in civilian areas? Why do you guys never talk about that?
08-01-2014 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
Expecting Israel to be able to hit one dude in a building without touching anyone else is unrealistic.
When I play COD I can target my Predator DRONEZ precisely, I don't see why Israel can't do better than a videogame jockey.

Last edited by goofyballer; 08-01-2014 at 08:39 PM. Reason: since falcon is going to abandon what he's good at and try to make serious posts ITT I'll have to pick up his slack
08-01-2014 , 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Is bombing buildings in Gaza stopping the tunnels?
Yes, because they obviously can't get to the tunnels to blow them up or whatever if people are shooting rockets from these buildings at the people who have to blow up the tunnels. These tunnels are hidden and they have to go around and look for them manually. Or would you prefer they just nuke everything to ensure the tunnels are destroyed?
08-01-2014 , 08:40 PM
goofy,

I might have some gifs cued up #don'tsweatitbro.

      
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