Quote:
Originally Posted by iron81
I don't know how, NY is one R district in Staten Island, one or two in exurban LI and everything else is D.
New York has 18 Democratic districts and nine Republican districts. There are two Republican districts on Long Island (CPVI R+3 and R+5 I believe), and Staten Island is R+3. The Staten Island one is easy, it already includes some of Western/Southern Brooklyn (neighborhoods that are predominantly white upper/middle class I believe). Expand it a little farther in and that turns blue.
Long Island is chopped up in the most sensible way - the Eastern half is one district, then as it gets more populated they split the middle into North/South. If all the lines were drawn horizontally to split it into slivers, each could extend into Queens and the whole island would be blue as the Republican voters on Long Island would have all of their votes diluted.
North of NYC, you have 18 (held by a Democrat but slightly right leaning) and NY-19 (held by Faso, the ******* who lied to the woman with the brain tumor on camera). You can carve those so that they extend down toward Yonkers or the Bronx until you get enough blue votes there.
Good news is you still didn't have to dig into Albany, and can probably afford to swing a few blue votes from that district to NY-21, north of there. Throw in some of Utica and you have probably turned 21 blue. Finally, let NY-23 extend a little up to Buffalo and you can probably flip that.
So without even looking at county level data, or street level data, just looking at the map and the CPVI's, I bet I could flip NY from 18-9 Democrat to 24-3.
Edited to Add: I could do this without even making the districts look that goofy/gerrymandered. They'd all be pretty naturally connected geographically, it's just making some districts longer and narrower.