Of course Palin was a good pick. McCain almost always loses that election no matter what. Palin very well could have cost him votes, but also maximized his chances of winning.

'Could have cost him votes' and 'maximized his chances to win' in the same sentence could be the dumbest thing ever said.

Romney could have gotten all the swing votes had he picked MrWookie who is owning this thread.

Imagine two simplified probability distributions:

1) McCain wins 48% of the vote 90% of the time and 51% of the vote 10% of the time.

2) McCain wins 45% of the vote 85% of the time and 51% of the vote 15% of the time.

Which has the higher expected number of votes? Which has the higher expected probability of winning?

Wait, there are people out there still arguing that Palin was a good pick as a running mate?

Yes. And I am scratching my head as to why dessin thinks Palin was a good pick. She was a train wreck.

lol at CNN "Ryan is favoured by the extreme right wing of the Republican Party". Not biased at all.

ex ante she was, ex post she wasn't.

This sentence is sadly not the dumbest thing ever said...but obv very very dumb.

Why do you onside kick when down with little time left in the NFL or foul when you are behind in the in last minute of an NBA game?

Hint:

I don't think certitude is the approach you want to take here.

thing is, it seemed to me like mccain had a very good shot if he would've just played it safe with his VP

Also not inaccurate at all. Ryan has no appeal to anyone on the fence. This is total doubling down on conservative Republicanism. This ticket might well be more right-wing than Bush/Cheney in 2000, and that's really saying something.

Eh, Bush/Cheney 2000 was still on the "compassionate conservative" bull****. Like, they ended up being hard right, but they didn't really run on it, at least not as much as RMoney/Ryan will be running on that.