I'd say it hurts the objectionable candidates who rely on their solid base (Le Pen and Fillon) but who knows. The slight increase compared to polls is a good sign but probably not enough to get Asselineau over 50%.

#RadioLondres on twitter used to be the place to get results in advance but it seems like it has been taken over by trolls and is worthless now. lesoir.be could be a good alternative, they have announced that they dont care about silly french laws and will publish reliable results has soon as they have them.

I'll take Asselineau at over 2% for any amount, pollsters had him between 0,5 and 1.

https://www.rtbf.be/info/monde/detai...ect?id=9587638

Melenchon wins oversea territories. Macron wins big in the US (45%). I'm scared.

Résultats définitifs à St-Pierre et Miquelon:
Mélenchon : 35.45%
Le Pen : 18.16%
Macron : 17.97%
Fillon : 9.32
Hamon : 8.24
Dupont Aignan : 3%
Arthaud1.06%
Poutou2.43%
Cheminade0.34%
Lasalle2.05%
Asselineau1.37%


Resultats en Martinique:
Participation 39,88% contre 52,42 en 2012 :
Melechon 27,36
Macron 25,53
Fillon 16,85
Lepen 10,94
Hamon 9,75
Poutou 2,95
Arthaud 2,06
Dupont 2,14
Asselineau 1,29
Lassale 0,80
Cheminade 0,34
Blancs et nuls 11,7% des votants

Résultats définitifs en Guyane:
Mélenchon 24,72
Le Pen 24,29
Macron 18,75
Fillon 14,66
Hamon 5,69

Guadeloupe :
Sur 86% des inscrits
40,05 % de participation
Macron 30,32
Mélenchon 23,99
Fillon 14,87
Le Pen 13,47
Hamon 9,72

That rtbf live is solid. They posted an exit poll:

Macron 24%
Le Pen 22%
Fillon 20,5%
Mélenchon 18%

French comma decimal points are barbaric. That and the way you write phone numbers. Just a brutal affront to my 'Murican eyes.

i dont think Asselineau will win this one tbh. what is youtube saying?

Sorry about that. I'll try to make it easier to read for you guys:

Macron: 2 furlongs and 5 gallons
Le Pen: 1 quart of a perch
Fillon: 2 nautical miles and 5 non-nautical miles
Mélenchon: 1 gill 1 cable and 4 feet

And how many stone is Asselineau?

YouTube is saying Asselineau will over perform I think, der markets seem to agree.

They didnt give his score. I assume they dont have the technology to display very large numbers.

French in Americas (except Montreal)

Dupont- Aignan : 1,20 ;
Marine Le Pen : 6,29 ;
Macron : 45,35 ;
Hamon : 5,94 ;
Arthaud : 0,18 ;
Poutou : 0,42 ;
Cheminade : 0,14 ;
Lassalle : 0,37 ;
Mélenchon : 14,05 ;
Asselineau : 0,73 ;
Fillon : 25,33.

Cliffs request for under-informed American, please: If I want to avoid Le Pen at all costs, what exactly am I hoping to see today? Of the likelier outcomes, what are the best and worst-case scenarios?

The best would be that she does not qualify obviously. If she qualifies, the best scenario is versus Macron followed by Mélenchen followed by Fillon. I think it's 65/35 for macron le pen and only 55/45 for fillon le pen.

Results come in when, 2pm EST? Any idea how long it'll take to get a full picture?

Macron is soaring in the bookie's odds. Like 66.7% now.

Macron just went up 10% on Betfair. Apparently some exit polls see him as the winner, but I have no clue how trustworthy they are...

RTBF is now announcing Macron ahead and a close 3-way fight for second place, based on several sources.

French media will be allowed to publish numbers 1h30 from now.

Dream scenario: Macron is immediately qualified, second place cant be decided for several days and the hopes of Le Pen and Fillon eventually get crushed by Melenchon (who gets trounced in the second round).

Turnout seems to be high, almost 80%. This might help Macron who's the "independent" candidate and hurt Fillon, who has a loyal but not very big base.

it's a shallow market but betfair has le pen at roughly 80% to make the second round. that has been the same for ages.

Never really seen much evidence that we can ascertain whom a high turnout may be beneficial for.

80% turnout. Other countries apparently know how to do this voting thing correctly; US has fluctuated between 49% and 57% since 1972 and hasn't been above 63% since 1908.

I want to believe

Macron further surging, now at over 90% to qualify for 2nd round and 75% to win it all...pls no déjà-vu from the US election...

Trump didn't win any debate imho.

True. But turnout seems to be down in traditional right-wing areas:

https://twitter.com/mathieugallard/s...70328006983680