Originally Posted by henway
The Obama campaign is approaching potential freefall. The sharks are circling on many different fronts and they are not all republican by a long shot. The next five months could be very ugly for him.
I just noticed this post of mine elicited a wager offer and multiple comments concerning the topic of wagers and political opinions. Anyone interested in this type of thing should check out intrade although it's not comprehensive and it's a relatively small illiquid market.
I'm not looking to place a wager with anyone on this site but if I were I'd have to get pretty good odds on my original post. I think Obama is approaching a potential freefall as I said but the most likely scenario is a close election either way. After this week's events an Obama freefall has increased dramatically, maybe from 1% to 10%. Things can spiral out of control quickly in politics.
I do think the sharks are circling around him and if he doesn't make significant changes soon he is likely to become a solid underdog.
For instance within the past couple hours Holder has appointed 2 prosecuters to hold an investigation into potential criminal leak's coming from the administration. This was prompted by calls for an investigation from the democrat and republican leaders of the intelligence committee in both the house and senate. These are generally the type of things that precede a potential freefall. Obama has less friends than most realize.