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The Great ObamaCare Debate, Part 237: Back to Court The Great ObamaCare Debate, Part 237: Back to Court

06-23-2017 , 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
Maybe we need a society that for, whatever dozen reasons, doesn't generate so many incredibly sick people in the first place?
im just guessing here, dunno if true or not, but maybe americans aren't massively more sick than euros and instead maybe your medical professionals are massively more incentivised to diagnose everyone with everything
06-23-2017 , 06:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
I wasn't saying its too expensive in relative terms (compared to other healthcare policies), but on absolute terms.

No one else thinks it's insane that reasonable people are estimating we need the equivalent of 40 years productivity growth to fund universal Medicare for a decade? Just me?
Single payer would pave the way for America to spend much less on healthcare. You are really hung up on the absolutely wrong things.
06-23-2017 , 06:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by synth_floyd
Can't they just offer a government run single payer system that people have the option to buy into? If you like your current employer healthcare or whatever healthcare you already have then you don't have to do anything and nothing will change for you. I know Obama said "If you like your current healthcare you can keep it" and that ended up being not true but I don't know what happened with that.
Even with universal care there would likely be an augmented coverage market.

As for Obama's lie he did say that and ultimately they made some changes to allow people to keep their plans for a couple more years.

The biggest problem was some people claiming it somehow entitled them to the same plan forever.
06-23-2017 , 06:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by markksman
To be fair people just used to die. So I guess the republicans are trying to go back there and the result will be a lot less people with chronic diseases (and people).
If you can handle John Oliver's accents, watch this.

Cliffs:
  • In 1972 the Federal government signed up to pay for universal dialysis.
  • Since then we have a 46-fold increase in patients needing it.
  • So today treating end-stage kidney disease takes up 1% of the entire Federal budget (compare with the 2% of the budget devoted to the Department of Education.)
  • We could certainly drive down costs by nationalizing the for-profit private treatment facilities.
But IMO we should be far more concerned about why the **** we have a 46x-fold increase in dialysis patients in 45 years (vs. 1.5x increase in total population); rather than why we haven't fixed the incentive structure for the dialysis treatment providers.

Last edited by Subfallen; 06-23-2017 at 06:33 PM.
06-23-2017 , 06:35 PM
I know it probably isn't happening here anytime soon but what do people think of the Swiss system? It has a hardcore mandate that makes pretty much everyone buy in and you still have to pay for a lot out of pocket which keeps costs down (gov't mandates prices are all listed), then it has subsidies for the poor that can't afford it.

And obviously it decouples employment from healthcare.
06-23-2017 , 06:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by markksman
Single payer would pave the way for America to spend much less on healthcare. You are really hung up on the absolutely wrong things.
Somehow this is the consensus of everyone ITT, and I just don't get it at all.

Take the dialysis example. Nationalizing all treatment providers would reduce costs by x%. We should devote some energy to doing this.

But it seems truistic that we should devote far, far more energy to doing something about the root cause of the explosion in chronic kidney disease. What am I missing here?
06-23-2017 , 06:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
Clearly single-payer is the most efficient health care model, I did not mean to suggest otherwise.



It just seems to me that the absolute cost of healthcare (and its projected growth rate under any system) should be utterly shocking and alarming to everyone, and get way more coverage.


But a lot of these people will be way more productive when they're healthy. And more productive then if they died. So it's still a net win.
06-23-2017 , 07:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
Maybe we need a society that for, whatever dozen reasons, doesn't generate so many incredibly sick people in the first place?
Yes, but if you think the 1930's didn't generate sick people, I think you may have a problem of survivorship bias.
06-23-2017 , 07:12 PM
And what do you want to do about preventing the explosion of people needing dialysis that doesn't involve letting people die younger before they have problems?
06-23-2017 , 07:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hobbes9324
Well, Heller just announced he's out on the Senate bill, and if he sticks to what he said in his press conference, it's hard to see how they're going to change it enough to get his vote.

Weird. Nevada has two relatively reasonable GOP's - Heller and the soon-to-be ex gov. Sandoval. Not where you'd expect to see such an endangered species.

MM MD
Nevada is a pretty moderate state these days, largely due to the growth of Las Vegas (its population nearly doubled from 1990 to 2000 and went up another 22% from 2000 to 2010), and immigration in the region.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BOIDS


i obv realise that preventing some of your neighbors from accessing healthcare is a great laff, but is it really worth an extra 7% of gdp
A lot of this has to do with the Western diet, and food additives that are used a ton in the US compared to the rest of the world... High fructose corn syrup being the prime example.

Quote:
Originally Posted by synth_floyd
Can't they just offer a government run single payer system that people have the option to buy into? If you like your current employer healthcare or whatever healthcare you already have then you don't have to do anything and nothing will change for you. I know Obama said "If you like your current healthcare you can keep it" and that ended up being not true but I don't know what happened with that.
Nevada is actually considering something similar to this. Everyone would have an option to buy into the state Medicaid program at cost.

Obviously the risk is that employers see this, drop coverage, and view it as a cost-saving mechanism without increasing wages, which makes people lose the coverage they want to keep. My proposal would be:

1. Anyone can buy into "single payer," style coverage (Medicaid, Medicare, whatever) at cost.

2. Anyone who's employer drops their coverage can also buy into that plan, in other words the insurer must accept them at the same cost as before.

3. Any employer who drops coverage must increase their employee's salary by the cost of the plan they dropped.

Then you may get people laying off employee A to hire employee B, but ultimately there is going to be a path for the greedy and heartless to benefit, and we can fight that one on the living wage front.
06-23-2017 , 07:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
If you can handle John Oliver's accents, watch this.

Cliffs:
  • In 1972 the Federal government signed up to pay for universal dialysis.
  • Since then we have a 46-fold increase in patients needing it.
  • So today treating end-stage kidney disease takes up 1% of the entire Federal budget (compare with the 2% of the budget devoted to the Department of Education.)
  • We could certainly drive down costs by nationalizing the for-profit private treatment facilities.
But IMO we should be far more concerned about why the **** we have a 46x-fold increase in dialysis patients in 45 years (vs. 1.5x increase in total population); rather than why we haven't fixed the incentive structure for the dialysis treatment providers.

Better detection and understanding of conditions that require dialysis? Expanded awareness of treatment options?
06-23-2017 , 07:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
Doesn't this ignore like the whole brief Democratic majority from '08 to '10?

Democrats used reconciliation in passing Obamacare.

Democrats removed the filibuster on judicial appointments for non Supreme Court stuff.

Edit: And they would absolutely have removed the filibuster on supreme court nominations if they were in the Republican position now. And I'd have been pissed if they didn't.
They needed 60 votes to pass obamacare, unless I'm going crazy?
06-23-2017 , 07:52 PM
It did. Some modifications had to be passed by reconciliation which limited the amount of tweaks they could do. A lot of people have the false memory that the whole Obamacare bill was passed via reconciliation because Republicans made a big stink about the modifications being passed by legislative trickery or whatever.
06-23-2017 , 07:53 PM
They needed 60 obviously. Otherwise we would have...a public option. That's right, Democrats are so ****ing spineless and inept that they didn't even try for UHC when they had the house, 60 senate seats, and the presidency.
06-23-2017 , 07:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
If you can handle John Oliver's accents, watch this.

Cliffs:
  • In 1972 the Federal government signed up to pay for universal dialysis.
  • Since then we have a 46-fold increase in patients needing it.
  • So today treating end-stage kidney disease takes up 1% of the entire Federal budget (compare with the 2% of the budget devoted to the Department of Education.)
  • We could certainly drive down costs by nationalizing the for-profit private treatment facilities.
But IMO we should be far more concerned about why the **** we have a 46x-fold increase in dialysis patients in 45 years (vs. 1.5x increase in total population); rather than why we haven't fixed the incentive structure for the dialysis treatment providers.
because healthcare is a privilege, your increase comes when people are forced to avoid the doctor (for fear of bankruptcy) when their ailments could have been caught and treated and maybe even cured early on, at minimal cost. however because these people cannot afford reasonable access to basic healthcare, they only go to the hospital when their only other option is death.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
I wasn't saying its too expensive in relative terms (compared to other healthcare policies), but on absolute terms.

No one else thinks it's insane that reasonable people are estimating we need the equivalent of 40 years productivity growth to fund universal Medicare for a decade? Just me?
but how can you take serious anyone's estimations when they're being based on grossly overinflated numbers which bear no resemblance to reality?
06-23-2017 , 08:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
They needed 60 obviously. Otherwise we would have...a public option. That's right, Democrats are so ****ing spineless and inept that they didn't even try for UHC when they had the house, 60 senate seats, and the presidency.
06-23-2017 , 08:20 PM
They are seriously a parody of ineptitude. We're 25 years into Republicans being complete pieces of **** and they remain Charlie Brown trying to kick the football.
06-23-2017 , 08:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
They needed 60 obviously. Otherwise we would have...a public option. That's right, Democrats are so ****ing spineless and inept that they didn't even try for UHC when they had the house, 60 senate seats, and the presidency.
They couldn't get to 60 without Lieberman, and they couldn't get Lieberman with the public option, come on this stuff is common knowledge man!

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics...option/347740/
06-23-2017 , 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
A lot of this has to do with the Western diet, and food additives that are used a ton in the US compared to the rest of the world... High fructose corn syrup being the prime example.
The US is certainly more obese than most places, but that it might account for such a massive difference seems ridiculous. And, amazingly enough, it is:

http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publ...al-perspective
Quote:
This analysis draws upon data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and other cross-national analyses to compare health care spending, supply, utilization, prices, and health outcomes across 13 high-income countries: Australia, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Quote:
Higher spending appeared to be largely driven by greater use of medical technology and higher health care prices, rather than more frequent doctor visits or hospital admissions.
http://www.mckinsey.com/industries/h...us-health-care
Quote:
While many might argue that higher health care spending is a consequence of demand due to the fact that Americans are sicker than people in other OECD countries, MGI analysis suggests that Americans are collectively slightly healthier than the citizens of these peer countries.
Lest you accuse me of cherry picking, those were literally the first two results of googling "US healthcare costs analysis".

All these big lads don't seem to be consuming more healthcare, so it's unclear why they're costing you so much. Further even if obesity and diet are risk factors there are plenty of others - like smoking and drinking - where the US does well or perfectly OK compared to its peers.
06-23-2017 , 09:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
They couldn't get to 60 without Lieberman, and they couldn't get Lieberman with the public option, come on this stuff is common knowledge man!

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics...option/347740/
Oh I know. But they never even made the case for UHC. Its negotiating 101 (this is one thing the Republicans are good at). Start way outside where you want to land and make it appear you'll follow through.

Oh, and they didn't shame the **** out of Lieberman for being the worthless POS he is. "Hey, we disagree, that's politics!" ****ing idiots.
06-23-2017 , 09:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Oh I know. But they never even made the case for UHC. Its negotiating 101 (this is one thing the Republicans are good at). Start way outside where you want to land and make it appear you'll follow through.

Oh, and they didn't shame the **** out of Lieberman for being the worthless POS he is. "Hey, we disagree, that's politics!" ****ing idiots.
Republican leadership just promised to run millions of dollars of ads against the Republican Senator who opposed to their bill.
06-23-2017 , 09:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
Republican leadership just promised to run millions of dollars of ads against the Republican Senator who opposed to their bill.
They better hope there are no "tapes" of this being planned.
06-23-2017 , 09:48 PM
Tort reform easy game
06-23-2017 , 09:50 PM
"Republican promise" heh
06-23-2017 , 10:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subfallen
If you can handle John Oliver's accents, watch this.

Cliffs:
  • In 1972 the Federal government signed up to pay for universal dialysis.
  • Since then we have a 46-fold increase in patients needing it.
  • So today treating end-stage kidney disease takes up 1% of the entire Federal budget (compare with the 2% of the budget devoted to the Department of Education.)
  • We could certainly drive down costs by nationalizing the for-profit private treatment facilities.
But IMO we should be far more concerned about why the **** we have a 46x-fold increase in dialysis patients in 45 years (vs. 1.5x increase in total population); rather than why we haven't fixed the incentive structure for the dialysis treatment providers.
So people are scamming the government for free dialysis? Or the dialysis companies are scamming the government by billing them for non-existing treatments?

Or did that many people always need dialysis but couldn't afford it and didn't get diagnosed? I mean there are millions of people in this country that don't get treated for whatever diseases they have simply because they can't afford it or don't go to a doctor for diagnosis.

I honestly don't know but I suspect it's more likely to be the later.

      
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