Quote:
Originally Posted by ogallalabob
I guess we can agree to disagree on this one. But a State has a duty to make sure only people who are eligible to vote, vote. Allowing indviduals extra votes deligitimizes the voting process just as much as turning people away from the polls.
OK, I agree with you this far.
Quote:
Tieing the states hands to prevent them from taking even minimal steps to insure the process is fair and accurate is wrong.
And then you go and contradict yourself. If "allowing indviduals extra votes deligitimizes the voting process just as much as turning people away from the polls," then a measure that turns more people away from the polls is itself also bad. If it turns away more legit voters than it prevents illegit voters, then it's bad on balance.
Quote:
Putting a very small burden on the voting public (that does not have id's maybe 1%- .5% of the population)
This is two to three orders of magnitude more people than the number of people voting illegitimately.
Quote:
to show up at a designated place to 1) show they are eligible to vote 2) have their picture taken 3) obtain a free id is not going to cause "millions" to be prevented from voting. It is no more strenuos then the voting itself.
Yes it is. Voting you show up, wait in line, and then vote. At the DMV, you show up, wait in a longer line, and then you have to have all manner of documentation. And if you forget your marriage certificate, you have to do it again.
Quote:
In fact it can be done after the fact so no one is turned away from the polls.
But if you don't do it in the proscribed window, your vote still gets canceled.
Quote:
I think it is amusing that when the Dems challenged the Indiana law they could really not show how it would prevent 1 person from voting or turn 1 person away from the polls and it was clear that it is a very tiny number of people that would be effected or placed with any sort of burden of coming back to show id/obtain id. But you spout off that it will be "millions", without any facts and act like it's gospel. I would think that if it was "millions" they could have presented a little better case in Indiana.
Dude you granted me the "millions" number in your own post! If, as you said yourself, 0.5% of the population doesn't have ID, the population is 308 MILLION people. People of voting age is around 230 million. 0.5% of that is, guess what, 1.15 million people. Even if we assume a below-average 40% turnout for this crew, that's 460,000 people nationwide who'd be prevented from voting. That's four orders of magnitude larger than the number of people who've actually been prosecuted for vote fraud over the last 10 years (so effectively, it's more like 5 orders of magnitude larger), three orders of magnitude larger than most estimates of ineligible voters who've voted per election (but who weren't prosecuted), and still two orders of magnitude larger than the largest example of ineligible people voting, a scenario which, mind you, would not have been prevented by an ID law.
Based on
your own estimates, the number of people who'd be prevented from voting due to ID laws is much larger than the number of people who vote ineligibly. You are advocating preventing 100 if not 1000 people from voting legally to stop one person from voting illegally.
Quote:
You also spout the "couple 100" over 10 years as gospel when no one has any idea. The voting polls have very little if any security. Due to the feds requirements on how voting rolls are kept, it is clear that a large number of people are on the rolls who should not be and it would be easy to cast ballots in their name. Easier then showing up and obtaining a free id. I think that the Supreme Court got this issue right.
Dude, read the reports. People are pouring over the voter records, scrutinizing every signature, and crossreferencing every registration. At the behest of the republicans trying to trump up fear of ineligible minorities voting en masse for democrats, they've invested a ton of time in this. The methodologies are laid out in the links you and Inso0 provided. Sure, there's some uncertainty, but in every case but the Colorado example, the number of ineligible people who voted is dwarfed by human error in record keeping, and best estimates of how many people who voted ineligibly is in the hundreds. You can try to say that "No one knows how much fraud is going on!" Sure. You know what that is? Guess what, it's a logical fallacy. It's called the
argument from ignorance. But guess what, not everyone is ignorant here. Sure, there are some large error bars on the exact numbers of ineligible voters, but we can be quite confident that the order of magnitude is correct because of how counting people works. The order of magnitude of the level of ineligible voting is small compared to the order of magnitude of the numbers of people who'd be prevented from voting, even according to your sources and your estimates.