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Are these numbers accurate? (Welfare stats) Are these numbers accurate? (Welfare stats)

10-14-2013 , 09:05 AM
http://www.statisticbrain.com/welfare-statistics/

I'm not interested in the racial breakdown, so much as the total spending as well as what they say you can get on welfare in terms of an hourly wage..

I was pretty blown away by all of this, and don't see how the US can continue to have this as an expense.
10-14-2013 , 09:10 AM
One of these days someone will wonder in here and post defense contractor numbers and ask if those are sustainable, at least that's my dream.
10-14-2013 , 09:19 AM
Hi guys, I'm well aware the military is out of control. I kind of wish I left my last statement off of the post, cause I'm more interested in someone debunking these stats as I really wish they weren't true.

** let me reiterate, I'm not really interested in the politics of it, just whether or not the numbers are accurate, or if it's some sort of BS that someone came up with. It seems from a legit source.
10-14-2013 , 09:38 AM
$131 billion, which is the figure cited as the annual cost of welfare, is less than 1% of U.S. GDP. (I assume this number doesn't include EITC, because tax breaks are TOTALLY NOT LIKE WELFARE, so it may not be accurate.) It hardly seems unreasonable that we would spend less than 1% of GDP on helping the poor. Indeed, I can imagine spending 2 or 3% of GDP on helping the poor.
10-14-2013 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobman0330
$131 billion, which is the figure cited as the annual cost of welfare, is less than 1% of U.S. GDP. (I assume this number doesn't include EITC, because tax breaks are TOTALLY NOT LIKE WELFARE, so it may not be accurate.) It hardly seems unreasonable that we would spend less than 1% of GDP on helping the poor. Indeed, I can imagine spending 2 or 3% of GDP on helping the poor.

SS disability is well over $100 billion. lets add em all up and see if we can hit that 3%.
10-14-2013 , 09:46 AM
I'll have to do some digging but I know the 1+ year on welfare largely goes to mentally challenged and other wise incapacitated individuals.
10-14-2013 , 09:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DickPound
Hi guys, I'm well aware the military is out of control. I kind of wish I left my last statement off of the post, cause I'm more interested in someone debunking these stats as I really wish they weren't true.

** let me reiterate, I'm not really interested in the politics of it, just whether or not the numbers are accurate, or if it's some sort of BS that someone came up with. It seems from a legit source.
I apologize for my snark.
10-14-2013 , 09:47 AM
Yea, because federal disability is totally worthless.

Those people can work, they're just mentally lazy!
10-14-2013 , 09:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakinmecrzy
Yea, because federal disability is totally worthless.

Those people can work, they're just mentally lazy!

Well, I wasn't taking a stand against it, leftist, just pointing out that there are other types of welfare than just welfare.

Then again 60 minutes, the dirty right wing shills, did a nice little piece on SS disability fraud just one week ago. Shockingly enough poor rural areas are suing for benefits (and paying judges to get them) at a record pace, but heh, they aren't going on welfare.
10-14-2013 , 09:57 AM
The numbers look both too low and too high. Top of the page says "Aid could include general Welfare payments, health care through Medicaid, food stamps, special payments for pregnant women and young mothers, and federal and state housing benefits. " But Medicaid alone is 430 (? ballpark) billion.

Under welfare statistics "Number of US States where Welfare pays more than a $12 per hour job: 6"

Under top 10 hourly wage equivalent welfare states in US, starting with Rhode Island, 8 states are listed with higher than 12.

They are probably drawing the numbers from somewhere. I would however take these numbers, as I would take any number without clear definition, with a salt lick.

Last edited by grizy; 10-14-2013 at 10:09 AM.
10-14-2013 , 10:07 AM
The are real economic benefits to giving people money so they can get back on their feet and back into the workforce after a layoff rather than throwing them out on the street. Of course there's fraud, but it's well worth the cost.
10-14-2013 , 12:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by losing all2
Well, I wasn't taking a stand against it, leftist, just pointing out that there are other types of welfare than just welfare.

Then again 60 minutes, the dirty right wing shills, did a nice little piece on SS disability fraud just one week ago. Shockingly enough poor rural areas are suing for benefits (and paying judges to get them) at a record pace, but heh, they aren't going on welfare.
We should defund the whole damn thing because a minute percentage may possibly be gaming the system.

WELFARE!!!11
10-14-2013 , 12:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
One of these days someone will wonder in here and post defense contractor numbers and ask if those are sustainable, at least that's my dream.
Quote:
Originally Posted by losing all2
SS disability is well over $100 billion. lets add em all up and see if we can hit that 3%.
Not only that but the huge amount we spend on veteran affairs is conveniently included in general "entitlement spending". So when conservative rage on "entitlement spending" growth, they conveniently ignore, one of the biggest entitlement growth areas in the last decade is veteran affairs spending, and we have them to thank for it.

The annual budget for the Department of Veterans Affairs has more than doubled since 2003 to a requested $132.2 billion for fiscal 2012. That amount is expected to rise sharply over the next four decades as lingering health problems for veterans become more serious as they grow older.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ira...iou-2011-12-15
10-14-2013 , 01:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakinmecrzy
We should defund the whole damn thing because a minute percentage may possibly be gaming the system.

WELFARE!!!11
I should have a better understanding of this, but why would SS disability be thought of as "welfare". Part of the taxes pays the premiums of this "insurance". No?
10-14-2013 , 01:04 PM
I highly doubt making more money on welfare than the average teacher is accurate.
10-14-2013 , 01:06 PM
Looks like those numbers are similar to what Cato did. They include Medicaid and housing so the "wages" are not what people are taking home.
10-14-2013 , 01:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sweep single
I highly doubt making more money on welfare than the average teacher is accurate.
Depends on how they are counting. With enough children, working teachers would qualify for welfare programs too.

I am not trying to blow a racist dog whistle here. The system, justifiably, try to ensure food, education, and healthcare are provided for.
10-15-2013 , 12:11 AM
I see the US budget is 3.5 Trillion.. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:U...._-_FY_2011.png

I had no idea it was that much..I remembered when it was like 750 Billion I think, so at first glance, the 100+ Billion figure seemed huge. Quick calculation shows that it's a little less than 3%.
10-15-2013 , 12:36 AM
Yeah the other thing most people forget is that "welfare" is not a blanket benefit that's dispersed to just anyone who wants it. So someone on "welfare" might be receiving like $50/month in SNAP assistance, or it might be a family of 5 pulling in a much larger haul via AFDC or disability. A good number of people on these programs are employed or working toward a college degree (a good number of my students would not be able to attend classes without federal and state benefits that allow them to get food, subsidized education, and childcare), so when people deride those on welfare as uniformly lazy, shiftless, and hauling in boatloads of cash, it's a safe bet they haven't got the slightest ****ing clue what they're talking about.
10-15-2013 , 04:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
The are real economic benefits to giving people money so they can get back on their feet and back into the workforce after a layoff rather than throwing them out on the street. Of course there's fraud, but it's well worth the cost.
People who don't believe in government welfare help these people out just as much by dropping change in their cups.
10-15-2013 , 07:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by markksman
People who don't believe in government welfare help these people out just as much by dropping change in their cups.
Interesting. So you'd rather people accept a handout, charity even, rather than work for their living.

Quite an incentive structure you've set up there.
10-15-2013 , 12:32 PM
Don't know if we should have more welfare spending or not, but disability rolls have been rising even as our environment/work places are getting safer. States have an incentive to push people on to federal disability and off state funded plans as well. Everybody wins.
10-15-2013 , 02:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by losing all2
Well, I wasn't taking a stand against it, leftist, just pointing out that there are other types of welfare than just welfare.

Then again 60 minutes, the dirty right wing shills, did a nice little piece on SS disability fraud just one week ago. Shockingly enough poor rural areas are suing for benefits (and paying judges to get them) at a record pace, but heh, they aren't going on welfare.
60 minutes says there are no jobs in those poor rural areas. Most are barely getting a little over $1,000 a month. The lawyers are the ones getting fat on this 'fraud'.
10-15-2013 , 02:53 PM
These numbers are through FY2011 and accounted for 4.2 percent of GDP in FY2011 (obviously a much broader definition of "welfare" than OP)...of all the things that the federal gov't does it always is a little surprising that ppl harp so much on "welfare" but rarely mention VA spending...Also the sequester is bound to lower the outlays on these programs so the percentage of GDP is bound to be lower this year.

Quote:
•Medicaid/CHIP. Medicaid provides medical assistance to needy families with dependent children and the aged, blind, and disabled who have low incomes. Beginning in 2014, states will be required to expand coverage to able-bodied individuals under age 65 with incomes below 133% of the federal poverty guidelines. A large share of Medicaid expenditures pays for nursing home care for the elderly and disabled. The State Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) allows states to cover targeted low-income children with no health insurance in families with income above Medicaid eligibility levels. In addition, when certain conditions are met, states may extend CHIP coverage to pregnant women and parents of Medicaid and CHIP-eligible children. In FY2011, Medicaid/CHIP outlays of $284 billion accounted for 7.9% of all federal outlays and 1.9% of GDP.
•The health insurance tax credit, created by the 2010 health care reform law,3 will help certain individuals and families purchase health insurance beginning in 2014. Under the 2010 health reform law, individuals and families not otherwise covered will be able to purchase health insurance from state-based "exchanges." Families with incomes below 400% of the poverty line will have their out-of-pocket premium payments capped at a certain percentage of their incomes.4 The remainder of the premium cost would be paid for through an advance-payable, refundable tax credit. The refundable portion of that tax credit is considered a federal outlay.
•Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, the program formerly known as food stamps) provides low-income families with an income supplement to enable them to purchase a minimal cost, nutritious diet. SNAP is available to all low-income households regardless of their demographic composition, though benefits for able-bodied adults without dependents and who are not working is time-limited and certain noncitizens are excluded.5 SNAP benefits are uniform nationwide for families of a given size except in Alaska, Hawaii, and the territories. In FY2011, SNAP outlays of $78 billion accounted for 2.2% of all federal outlays and 0.5% of GDP.
•Student Financial Assistance, mostly Pell Grants, provides funds to students from low-income families to help meet the cost of post-secondary education. Awards are based on a need analysis that considers both the cost of education and financial resources of the student's family. In FY2011, outlays for student financial assistance of $38 billion accounted for 1.1% of all federal outlays and 0.3% of GDP.
•Compensatory Education (Title I-A of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act) provides aid to school districts based on their number and percentage of economically disadvantaged children. The purpose of this aid is to ensure that each child has a high-quality education and reaches, at a minimum, proficiency on state academic achievement standards and assessments under the No Child Left Behind Act. In FY2011, total outlays for compensatory education grants of $19.5 billion accounted for 0.5% of all federal outlays and 0.1% of GDP.
•Housing Assistance, as categorized for this report, includes federal outlays for project-based rental assistance and tenant-based vouchers (under the Section 8 program); other support for public housing; and housing assistance for the elderly, the disabled, and American Indians. In FY2011, housing assistance outlays of $40 billion accounted for 1.1% of all federal outlays and 0.3% of GDP.
•The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) represents the refundable portion of the earned income tax credit. It provides an earnings supplement for low-wage earners, with the size of the credit dependent on family type and earnings. The bulk of EITC dollars goes to families with children. Historically, the bulk of refundable EITC dollars was delivered through tax refund checks. Beginning in 2012, all "advance payments" of EITC benefits are ended, and all refundable EITC dollars will be paid through refund checks. In FY2011, EITC outlays of $56 billion accounted for 1.5% of all federal outlays and 0.4% of GDP.
•The Additional Child Tax Credit (ACTC) represents the refundable portion of the child tax credit. It assists eligible parents of children who have earned income above a certain threshold but whose tax liability is too small to fully benefit from the regular non-refundable child tax credit. It is delivered to families through refund checks when they file their taxes. In FY2011, ACTC outlays of $23 billion accounted for 0.6% of all federal outlays and 0.2% of GDP.
•Supplemental Security Income (SSI) provides a federally funded cash income floor for low-income persons or couples who are aged, blind, or disabled. Federal SSI benefits are based on uniform nationwide eligibility and benefit rules, and they are paid with federal funds. States may supplement SSI with their own funds. In FY2011, SSI outlays of $56.5 billion accounted for 1.6% of all federal outlays and 0.4% of GDP.
•Family Support, as categorized for this report, includes outlays for the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) block grant, the Child Support Enforcement (CSE) program, and federal grants to help support state child care subsidy programs. In FY2011, family support outlays of $28.4 billion accounted for 0.8% of all federal outlays and 0.2% of GDP.

      
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