Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > Other Topics > Politics

Notices

Politics political discourse

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-15-2012, 10:14 PM   #61
pvn
King Emeritus
 
pvn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: he must be a popular dude.
Posts: 51,690
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

JPMC took TARP funds but the consensus is that they didn't need them.

The trades in question never threatened the solvency of the bank. $2B sounds like a lot but it's an easily swallowable hit for JPMC which otherwise seems to have more than sufficient bankroll management.
pvn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:16 PM   #62
old hand
 
longmissedblind's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: the fairest portion of the Earth
Posts: 1,872
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

It's easy to ask small questions about big problems as though they are simple and isolated.

I've made no statement as to my position itt, but I think one could easily draw some correlations to things brought about by "we don't need no stinking regulations" bankers who's job is to sell ideas to people who have no clue what's actually going on, while making their [s]marks[/s] clients feel comfortable and secure as the dice tumble down the felt.

I get Krugman's motivation for his propaganda. I don't get yours.
longmissedblind is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:17 PM   #63
old hand
 
longmissedblind's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: the fairest portion of the Earth
Posts: 1,872
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by pvn View Post
JPMC took TARP funds but the consensus is that they didn't need them.

The trades in question never threatened the solvency of the bank. $2B sounds like a lot but it's an easily swallowable hit for JPMC which otherwise seems to have more than sufficient bankroll management.
comment 1:
Quote:
The direct loss was $2 billion. But the immediate consequence was a loss of $14 billion of market capitalization.
longmissedblind is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:20 PM   #64
adept
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 812
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak View Post
You're acting like this happened in a vacuum.

If JP Morgan had a squeaky clean past, you might have a point.

If the entire world economy hadn't recently gone off the rails in no small part due to trades exactly like this one, you might have a point.
JP Morgan lost money in derivatives trading. In derivatives trading for every dollar lost, someone else makes a dollar. No wealth disappears or is made.

In the financial collapse where the government encouraged risky mortgage and in fact sponsored risky loans through Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae money was just lost. Real Estate is not a zero-sum game. When real-estate loses value the money doesn't go to anyone.

So this is absolutely nothing like the financial collapse of 07-09.

In this case the Democrat Jamie Dimon is a member of the Federal Reserve that is supposed to be regulating his bank.

The head of the Federal Reserve bank of NY is another Democrat (William Dudley) who used to work for JP Morgan.

The Federal Reserve regulates what banks do with their capital and the amount of risk they are allowed to take.

This incident is a perfect example of why regulation is ineffective.
au4all is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:21 PM   #65
pvn
King Emeritus
 
pvn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: he must be a popular dude.
Posts: 51,690
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by longmissedblind View Post
It's easy to ask small questions about big problems as though they are simple and isolated.

I've made no statement as to my position itt, but I think one could easily draw some correlations to things brought about by "we don't need no stinking regulations" bankers who's job is to sell ideas to people who have no clue what's actually going on, while making their [s]marks[/s] clients feel comfortable and secure as the dice tumble down the felt.
OK, who were the marks in this case?
pvn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:23 PM   #66
pvn
King Emeritus
 
pvn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: he must be a popular dude.
Posts: 51,690
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by longmissedblind View Post
comment 1:
So, company did something dumb, investors took a hit.

What's the problem here? Isn't that what's supposed to happen? Taxpayers didn't have to bail anyone out. The company lost less than 10% of it's market cap.

This isn't anything at all like 2008. All losses are not the same. Quit pretending that they are.
pvn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:24 PM   #67
pvn
King Emeritus
 
pvn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: he must be a popular dude.
Posts: 51,690
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by longmissedblind View Post
It's easy to ask small questions about big problems as though they are simple and isolated.

I've made no statement as to my position itt, but I think one could easily draw some correlations to things brought about by "we don't need no stinking regulations" bankers who's job is to sell ideas to people who have no clue what's actually going on, while making their [s]marks[/s] clients feel comfortable and secure as the dice tumble down the felt.

I get Krugman's motivation for his propaganda. I don't get yours.
BTW, one can hold that this particular incident is not a justification for more regulation without arguing that all regulation is bad.
pvn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:27 PM   #68
veteran
 
USC Cheats's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,494
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

This trade doesn't matter.

What does matter is every major player in the financial world knowing two things:

1. If I am big enough, I will be bailed out before going bankrupt.

2. If the threat to the 'system' (i.e. will connected players, i.e. Goldman Sachs) is large enough, I'll be made whole even when my counterparty is broke.
USC Cheats is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:32 PM   #69
self-banned
 
Case Closed's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: pooping my big boy pants
Posts: 19,112
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by bobman0330 View Post
Trusting Krugman's stated evaluation of something is pretty much a sucker's play. Did you think he was going to say anything other than "this proves that Republicans are evil and we need more financial regulation"?
If it was not a good example and people were gushing over it incorrectly I think he would point that out.

Quote:
Originally Posted by pvn View Post
well now I'm confused, because you said it was a good article, and in it Krug calls for more regulation and says explicitly that this particular incident illustrates why more is necessary, which doesn't seem to be the position you want to embrace.
Yeah, nothing new as far as regulations are concerned. He just advocates for some old ones that have worked in the past. I was wrong about existing regulations. He wanted to use old ones again. Still a fan though.
Case Closed is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:33 PM   #70
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
seattlelou's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: 6'20" and killing for fun.
Posts: 12,181
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

I have a different spin on it. Every financial firm is afraid of making a bad trade, a bad loan, anything that the current political environment can use to further there "hate the banks, soak the rich" agenda. The banks had a once in a generation crisis, got some liquidity from the government, and paid the man his money.
seattlelou is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:37 PM   #71
veteran
 
USC Cheats's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,494
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Wat? AIG is at -140b. Fannie is at god knows how many hundreds of billions in the red.

Those losses didn't just pass to shareholders, the taxpayers made good on them to the tune of 100 cents on the dollar.
USC Cheats is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:51 PM   #72
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
seattlelou's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: 6'20" and killing for fun.
Posts: 12,181
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by USC Cheats View Post
Wat? AIG is at -140b. Fannie is at god knows how many hundreds of billions in the red.

Those losses didn't just pass to shareholders, the taxpayers made good on them to the tune of 100 cents on the dollar.
AIG is expected to make full payment and TARP is expected to turn a profit. Freddie/Fannie are a different story. The government decided to get into the loan guarantee program that's on the government not private industry.
seattlelou is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 10:57 PM   #73
veteran
 
USC Cheats's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,494
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL at AIG paying back 140b and TARP making a profit. You really believe that?
USC Cheats is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 11:14 PM   #74
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
seattlelou's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: 6'20" and killing for fun.
Posts: 12,181
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

Quote:
Originally Posted by USC Cheats View Post
LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL at AIG paying back 140b and TARP making a profit. You really believe that?
The Government thinks it's going to get its money back and when it does it will have turned a nice little profit if you throw out the money given to GM.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...322143252.html

I can't find numbers without the auto's cause the CBO is not combining the two in an oh so clever way of hiding the fact that the only cost is gonna be for the auto's.
seattlelou is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2012, 11:56 PM   #75
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
krmont22's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Buenos Aires
Posts: 7,475
Re: Chase Bank Trading Fiasco

TARP will show a profit, because the government said it will is a really funny argument.
krmont22 is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:56 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive