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Brexit Referendum Brexit Referendum

03-29-2017 , 12:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LektorAJ
Foreign relations are not devolved to either of those two nations.

Both of those countries are part of the UK (a situation that was confirmed in the case of Scotland as recently as 2014) and the votes of people resident there counted the same as the votes of any other UK citizen. If the Scottish government did not intend to go along with the result of the referendum it would have been more honest to call upon their residents not to vote, to let the rest of the UK decide what they want to do and then to decide on Scotland's response - rather than to encourage them to participate in the UK referendum and claim it invalid after they fail to get the result they want.

In the case of Northern Ireland my understanding is that the majority there continue to wish to be part of the UK - which includes going along with union-wide decisions on foreign policy even if they disagree with them (or were sufficiently afraid of Project Fear's statements about the hard border and resumption of IRA terrorism). It's true that a large number of people in Northern Ireland do not profess loyalty to the British state and the special nature of the devolution arrangements and parties operating there are a result of that situation.

In any case, when the "electoral college" system you seem to think should decide the referendum has returned a 2-2 split, then whatever happens is going to disappoint the narrow majority groups in 2 countries and large minorities in two others. That's why voting works on the basis of disappointing the fewest people - i.e. "one person one vote".
So the UK is only pretending to be a democratic nation.

Can't see how SNP telling their supporters not to vote helps tbh as everyone else that wanted to leave would still have taken part, leaving the way open for brexiters to claim an overwhelming victory.

I seem to think we should all have our sovereignty, that's for Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England if they want it. Not some crap about the score being 2-2.

Tbh as an Irishman born and raised in NI, I get more protection and benefits from the EU than Westminster ever provided.
03-29-2017 , 12:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by plexiq
@db: Unless I'm mistaken, legislative powers are split between council and parliament and the parliament is indeed elected directly. But if your issue is with the council: People vote for their national governments, national governments then select the members of the council. There is no direct election for the UK chancellor either, is there?

@chez: I agree for the most part. My bigger point is that the difference is largely about perception and what people are used to, but that there is little difference about the structures conceptually - it's just on a different scale. My issue is that posters here claim certain concepts to be inherently undemocratic and flawed on European scale, yet they have no issue with the very same concepts on a national scale.
The parliament has no power to propose new legislation.
03-29-2017 , 12:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
The EU is failing badly on a few fronts, and the general populace seem to have zero power to change it. Only the EU itself seems to have that power, and it continually doesn't do anything to correct itself.

EU lovers argue for people to point out what Court rulings etc they dint agree with, and totally fail to see the danger in investing powers in an organization that continually creeps away from democratic process.

And the solution for the EU is always more EU.

Am I lying?
yeah the idea that there's an "eu itself", divorced from the populace, driving things is silly. the power is with the member states in the council and the democratic parliament. with the commission appointed by them to execute their ideas.

the treaties set up the structure and lay down basic principles (liberal democracy, human rights, freedom of movement, single market etc.). they are hard to change, but without them there wouldnt be an union at all. constitutions are hard to change too.

the eu also isnt failing at much imo. the euro just sucks.
03-29-2017 , 12:39 PM
Merkel immediately vetoes Britain's plan to have parallel divorce and trade discussions.

Given May's refusal to even slightly condemn the behaviour of the clown in the White House and that administration's desire to destroy the EU, I can see a huge rift developing.
03-29-2017 , 01:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by diebitter
The parliament has no power to propose new legislation.
This is exactly what I was talking about earlier. You have no issue about the most powerful political position in the UK not being directly elected. But on European level it's somehow intolerable that the people proposing new legislation are not directly elected.
03-29-2017 , 01:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by plexiq
This is exactly what I was talking about earlier. You have no issue about the most powerful political position in the UK not being directly elected. But on European level it's somehow intolerable that the people proposing new legislation are not directly elected.
not only that, but the anti-eu types would be furious in the parliament could propose and pass new legislation on its own. it's an entirely disingenuous argument.

the reason the parliament isnt stronger is to not take away more power from the member states.
03-29-2017 , 02:02 PM
03-29-2017 , 02:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by martymc1
Majority voted against Brexit in NI, the unionists lost their ingrained majority for first time ever.

I'd say your understanding is a bit off.
Well, the fact it's the first time ever would suggest it's just differential turnout, but in any case I would be fine with the newly elected government in Stormont holding a referendum on leaving the UK to join the Republic.

I'd agree with you btw that the creation of this artificial 6-county "demos" a hundred years ago was disingenuous and a terrible mistake, but no British government is going to ignore the will of that demos if it wants reunification and NI being in the UK is valid at least to the extent that NI is a valid demos.

Quote:
Originally Posted by martymc1
So the UK is only pretending to be a democratic nation.

Can't see how SNP telling their supporters not to vote helps tbh as everyone else that wanted to leave would still have taken part, leaving the way open for brexiters to claim an overwhelming victory.
The point is it's pretending to be a nation with a common citizenry, not something like the V4.

Leave would have won and the SNP could say "clearly rUK have decided to leave and we shouldn't follow them". Look, if the result had gone the other way and they'd tipped the balance we would have had to accept it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by martymc1
I seem to think we should all have our sovereignty, that's for Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England if they want it. Not some crap about the score being 2-2.
Agreed. I'd be fine with another Scottish referendum about 10 years after the last one - also one on rejoining the EU around 2030.

I don't support either continually holding referenda until the get the "right" result or seeing a referendum as having closed an issue for a full 40 years as happened with our 1975 referendum. 10-15 years is a good gap if the issue is still live (so Wales or NI could hold one now as far as I'm concerned.)
03-29-2017 , 03:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by davmcg
Merkel immediately vetoes Britain's plan to have parallel divorce and trade discussions.
Can a German speaker help out on this please.

Reports I read had a 'big' headline but then I read it reported as Merkel saying that clarification of how the divorce would be handled was required before trade talks could start. Depending on what she actually said the statement could range from the very mild defense of the known negotiating position to a very serious 'the divorce details must be finalised before trade negotiations start'
03-29-2017 , 03:24 PM
The following snip (from FT) is a good translation of the relevant part:
Quote:
Ms Merkel said she wants the Britain and the EU to remain close partners but added that the negotiation must focus first on disentangling the close links developed in 44 years of EU membership. The UK’s rights and obligations had to be addressed first, she said.

“Only when the relevant questions are clarified can we subsequently — but hopefully soon — talk about our future relationship,” the chancellor said in a speech in Berlin.
The segment is only a few sentences and the FT snip is basically a literal translation. To me it implies that the divorce talks need to be *completed* before negotiations about the future relationship can be started, but it's not worded entirely clear in German either. (If another German speaker wants to give it a shot, it's @2min mark here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_Tpu15zlmo&t=120)

Last edited by plexiq; 03-29-2017 at 03:40 PM.
03-29-2017 , 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by plexiq
@chez: I agree for the most part. My bigger point is that the difference is largely about perception and what people are used to, but that there is little difference about the structures conceptually - it's just on a different scale. My issue is that posters here claim certain concepts to be inherently undemocratic and flawed on European scale, yet they have no issue with the very same concepts on a national scale.
I agree and the democratic institutions in the EU will strengthen as the project develops. Otherwise it's exactly the same argument as the first Scottish independent vote - I'm not sure many who could see why many Scottish people wanted 'to take back control' can see why many Brits feel the same about the EU.
03-29-2017 , 03:39 PM
My attempt of a transcript of Merkel's statement:

"The federal government (of Germany) has prepared itself well for this process and will take a position regarding every upcoming question. To name just a few points that appear important to me: First, for many people in Europe the aspired EU exit of Great Britain is linked with concrete worries about their own personal future. This is especially true for the many German and European nationals living in Great Britain. Therefore the federal government will intensely campaign for the consequences to be as small as possible for the everyday life of those affected. Secondly, we know that between Great Britain and the European Union and Germany,of course, exist close (tight-knit) commitments that resulted from the 44 year membership. During the negotiations we will first have to settle how we will disentangle these commitments in an orderly fashion and it will also be about the handling of the many rights and obligations that are associated with the membership to date. Only when these questions have been answered can we subsequently but nevertheless hopefully soon talk about our future relationship."
03-29-2017 , 03:51 PM
plexiq presumably spricht deutsch

Last edited by davmcg; 03-29-2017 at 03:54 PM. Reason: langsam pony
03-29-2017 , 06:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by daca
yeah the idea that there's an "eu itself", divorced from the populace, driving things is silly.
Are you kidding?
03-29-2017 , 07:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by plexiq
The following snip (from FT) is a good translation of the relevant part:


The segment is only a few sentences and the FT snip is basically a literal translation. To me it implies that the divorce talks need to be *completed* before negotiations about the future relationship can be started, but it's not worded entirely clear in German either. (If another German speaker wants to give it a shot, it's @2min mark here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_Tpu15zlmo&t=120)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Louis Cyphre
My attempt of a transcript of Merkel's statement:

"The federal government (of Germany) has prepared itself well for this process and will take a position regarding every upcoming question. To name just a few points that appear important to me: First, for many people in Europe the aspired EU exit of Great Britain is linked with concrete worries about their own personal future. This is especially true for the many German and European nationals living in Great Britain. Therefore the federal government will intensely campaign for the consequences to be as small as possible for the everyday life of those affected. Secondly, we know that between Great Britain and the European Union and Germany,of course, exist close (tight-knit) commitments that resulted from the 44 year membership. During the negotiations we will first have to settle how we will disentangle these commitments in an orderly fashion and it will also be about the handling of the many rights and obligations that are associated with the membership to date. Only when these questions have been answered can we subsequently but nevertheless hopefully soon talk about our future relationship."
Txs.

Hopefully wise heads on both sides will prevail although I'm half expecting the EU to insist on absolutely no trade talks until the bill is agreed and the UK to then walk out of talks (maybe not literally) before the wise heads step in. The EU has to realise that it's probably politically impossible for the UK to agree a big settlement figure with no sort of trade deal - so it must be a negotiating tactic.
03-29-2017 , 08:29 PM
Pure speculation obviously, but the wording makes me think that this is more likely to be a negotiation tactic than a strict insistence. They had plenty of time to craft that specific statement, so the slight ambiguity is probably not accidental.
03-29-2017 , 08:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
I agree and the democratic institutions in the EU will strengthen as the project develops. Otherwise it's exactly the same argument as the first Scottish independent vote - I'm not sure many who could see why many Scottish people wanted 'to take back control' can see why many Brits feel the same about the EU.
Both are ridiculous concepts frankly. Being ruled by an EU elite, an Edinburgh elite or a Westminster elite makes no practical difference. The rhetoric is different but the policies largely identical except on largely meaningless stylistic issues.

None of these groupings give a **** about their populations. They exist solely for the benefit of their corporate donors and self-interested.

What I particulary loathe about the working/middle-class Brexiteers is that they are so f***ing stupid that they believe because they share a nationality with their political elite that they will be looked after. In fact the reverse is the case: political elites of foreign ethnicity will placate their populations to some extent, elites of the same ethnicity know they can get away with murder.

It is interesting that amongst the elite themselves there is very little discrimination and prejudice on an ethnic basis. They don't care about your skin. They care about how much money and power you have. If you don't have any, you can f*** off.
03-30-2017 , 04:29 AM
^This is pretty cynical and dark. There are plenty of EU countries with well functioning re-distributive policies that help the poorer parts of the population in very significant ways.

The UK is closer to the US model than to your typical European social democracy, but this wasn't magically set in stone. Exiting the EU and repeatedly electing conservatives is probably only going to intensify that trend though.
03-30-2017 , 05:14 AM
Arguing whether the EU is more or less democratic than the UK is not quite the right question, in my opinion, because being the most 'democratic' does not seem to be what people want, they want a bigger weight in the democratic decision.

As an example, if we had a perfect global democracy, UK policy would be decided by the preferences of India and China. It would be democratic, but we would not want that.

It's the same problem with the EU. We have policy determined by a population in which we are not a cultural majority, so whatever we think about current policy, its a framework in which we end up in a country we do not want to live in in the long run.

Unlike Scotland from the UK, the balance of long term costs and benefits for the UK from the EU are probably not in our favour either. Even if they are, it is close, so it isn't worth being miserable because we have to live in someone else's culture instead of building our own.
03-30-2017 , 05:26 AM
Manfred Weber was in radio 4 this morning, virtually crying about it all.

Lol
03-30-2017 , 05:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexdb
Arguing whether the EU is more or less democratic than the UK is not quite the right question, in my opinion, because being the most 'democratic' does not seem to be what people want, they want a bigger weight in the democratic decision.

As an example, if we had a perfect global democracy, UK policy would be decided by the preferences of India and China. It would be democratic, but we would not want that.

It's the same problem with the EU. We have policy determined by a population in which we are not a cultural majority, so whatever we think about current policy, its a framework in which we end up in a country we do not want to live in in the long run.

Unlike Scotland from the UK, the balance of long term costs and benefits for the UK from the EU are probably not in our favour either. Even if they are, it is close, so it isn't worth being miserable because we have to live in someone else's culture instead of building our own.
All DB has done though is regurgitate his second hand middle brow newspaper opinions about the democratic structure and processes of the EU.

Actual processes by which the EU can effect culture etc are few and far between and most control over such remains patriated.

Can you give a specific example of a how the EU has legislated in such a way that the culture of the UK somehow become other than how the population would want it, which of course is a nonsense in and of itself, but never mind, can you give an example?

Obviously their is immigration, if you want to just come out and say it, would be better.
03-30-2017 , 05:55 AM
Remember that we aren't comparing the EU's current effect on UK policy, but rather what it would do in future under 'ever closer union'. They wouldn't be reevaluating if we hadn't voted out, and Cameron proved he couldn't influence anything at the time.

An example that worried me was employment law like the Working Time Directive. We fashioned an opt out then, but we could forecast a rising tide of oppressive employment law driven by overly socialist, uncompetitive, unsuccessful European cultures that would prevent British entrepreneurship.

Corbyn calls them 'protections', but they are really a ban on free adults contracting consensually, and I want to try to maintain system where too much of that is unlikely to be enforced, and if it is enforced, it is unlikely to last.

Running a business in Germany and Italy sucks, you can't risk trying to scale up headcount in case you need to cut back again. They seem to prefer a company to shut down than be able to cut headcount quickly and survive. I know these aren't laws that currently affect the UK, but I forecast this as a huge risk, much more than than a dodgy short term treasury forecast.

I like that we have Uber and self driving cars and screw top wine bottles, I don't want an averaged-out European approach to progression.
03-30-2017 , 05:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexdb
Running a business in Germany and Italy sucks, you can't risk trying to scale up headcount in case you need to cut back again. They seem to prefer a company to shut down than be able to cut headcount quickly and survive.
I'd always wondered why Germany was such an economic failure.
03-30-2017 , 06:01 AM
So they had not really done anything in X years but could do something to influence our culture in the future.

Also the only "culture" you are expressing are those of your singular personal preferences and employment law is a bit of tangent to culture.

The next block buster from Hollywood will have more effect on our "culture" than the EU did.

Your arguments are a total nonsense.
03-30-2017 , 06:05 AM


Speaking of which, there hasn't been much mention of this. I'd change my vote to Remain under with #2 or #4. Which I think is pretty much all the UK government had a mandate to join given the prior referendum.

Quote:
Scenario 1: Carrying On - The EU27 focuses on delivering its positive reform agenda in the spirit
of the Commission's New Start for Europe from 2014 and of the Bratislava Declaration agreed by
all 27 Member States in 2016. By 2025 this could mean: Europeans can drive automated and
connected cars but can encounter problems when crossing borders as some legal and technical
obstacles persist.Europeans mostly travel across borders without having to stop for checks.
Reinforced security controls mean having to arrive at airports and train stations well in advance of
departure.
-
Scenario 2: Nothing but the Single Market – The EU27 is gradually re-centred on the single
market as the 27 Member States are not able to find common ground on an increasing number of
policy areas. By 2025 this could mean: Crossing borders for business or tourism becomes difficult
due to regular checks. Finding a job abroad is harder and the transfer of pension rights to another
country not guaranteed. Those falling ill abroad face expensive medical bills.Europeans are
reluctant to use connected cars due to the absence of EU-wide rules and technical standards.
-
Scenario 3: Those Who Want More Do More – The EU27 proceeds as today but allows willing
Member States to do more together in specific areas such as defence, internal security or social
matters. One or several "coalitions of the willing" emerge. By 2025 this could mean that: 15
Member States set up a police and magistrates corps to tackle cross-border criminal activities.
Security information is immediately exchanged as national databases are fully
interconnected.Connected cars are used widely in 12 Member States which have agreed to
harmonise their liability rules and technical standards.
-
Scenario 4: Doing Less More Efficiently - The EU27 focuses on delivering more and faster in
selected policy areas, while doing less where it is perceived not to have an added value. Attention
and limited resources are focused on selected policy areas. By 2025 this could mean A European
Telecoms Authority will have the power to free up frequencies for cross-border communication
services, such as the ones used by connected cars. It will also protect the rights of mobile and
Internet users wherever they are in the EU.A new European Counter-terrorism Agency helps to
deter and prevent serious attacks through a systematic tracking and flagging of suspects.
-
Scenario 5: Doing Much More Together – Member States decide to share more power,
resources and decision-making across the board. Decisions are agreed faster at European level and
rapidly enforced. By 2025 this could mean: Europeans who want to complain about a proposed EUfunded
wind turbine project in their local area cannot reach the responsible authority as they are
told to contact the competent European authorities.Connected cars drive seamlessly across Europe
as clear EU-wide rules exist. Drivers can rely on an EU agency to enforce the rules.

      
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