I'm just making a slightly educated guess. Since there was a game changing event the polls explicitly didn't cover and the postmortems are looking at flaws in individual demos rather than the whole thing, the math adds up; a 20 point off result is just much more likely to come from a late electorate shift.
If you can get 1/1 on Hil in Ohio by all means take it, Betfair has like 1/3 right now. MO is unpolled and I'm not touching it on either side.
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
The debate was not late breaking news.
It was for the polling. Nobody polled afterwards.