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05-27-2016 , 09:54 AM
#851
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Alex Wice
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Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 5,951
I like betting Sanders for nominee now. 25-1 seems like there's some value.

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05-27-2016 , 10:07 AM
#852
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Best value on the board seems like Democratic Brokered Convention No for 90 cents. Even if Hillary gets indicted I'm not sure it's possible that it can happen at this stage with nobody else having any pledged delegates.
05-27-2016 , 02:03 PM
#853
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zimmer4141
Best value on the board seems like Democratic Brokered Convention No for 90 cents. Even if Hillary gets indicted I'm not sure it's possible that it can happen at this stage with nobody else having any pledged delegates.
I agree brokered is basically impossible.

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05-27-2016 , 02:04 PM
#854
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Biden?
05-27-2016 , 02:38 PM
#855
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It seems nobody in the world is putting chance of Biden for VP, which in my view has a realistic chance (albeit unlikely).
05-27-2016 , 02:42 PM
#856
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VP is a real crapshoot for both sides. I don't think Hillary picks Warren or Sanders. Other than that, ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
05-27-2016 , 02:50 PM
#857
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I offer to bet that Hillary Clinton will not be the Democratic presidential nominee as of 5pm ET on July 31, 2016. Whoever accepts this offer will pay me $250 if I am correct and will win $10 if I am not. This offer is good only until four posters have accepted it or until 5pm ET on June 3, 2016 or until revoked, whichever of those happens first. Acceptances from posters with a join date after Feb 2016 are not valid.
05-27-2016 , 02:55 PM
#858
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Nobody is laying those odds, no matter what they are spouting off IRT Hillary sure thing nomination.
05-27-2016 , 04:34 PM
#859
CarbonIsTheNutLow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex Wice
I like betting Sanders for nominee now. 25-1 seems like there's some value.

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Where are you finding 25:1? See a betfair "ask" around there but not anywhere else. You can get decent odds with Hillary "no" + Biden "no" on predictit, but not for much money.
05-27-2016 , 04:48 PM
#860
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Alex: I offer you 5 to 1 Trump wins New York
05-27-2016 , 04:55 PM
#861
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
Where are you finding 25:1? See a betfair "ask" around there but not anywhere else. You can get decent odds with Hillary "no" + Biden "no" on predictit, but not for much money.
Euro books range from 12:1 to 25:1, e.g. betred, skybet.
05-27-2016 , 07:02 PM
#862
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roger Clemens
Nobody is laying those odds, no matter what they are spouting off IRT Hillary sure thing nomination.
You said "deal."

Don't weasel out of it like you did your Congressional testimony, Roger.
05-28-2016 , 03:04 PM
#863
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I realize this is the wrong time in the cycle, but I'm ready to make my annual reverse-jinx bet against the Dems. Hopefully it will be another Politard poster whose work I enjoy that accepts the donation (in the past cycles I believe it was DVaut1 and Wynton who enjoyed dinner on me).

If DEM wins the presidency, I pay you $80
If REP wins, you pay me $140

Again, I know it's the wrong time to offer this, but I also believe that many of you think those are basically the true odds, so... anyway, let me know!
05-28-2016 , 03:28 PM
#864
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zorkman
I offer to bet that Hillary Clinton will not be the Democratic presidential nominee as of 5pm ET on July 31, 2016. Whoever accepts this offer will pay me $250 if I am correct and will win $10 if I am not. This offer is good only until four posters have accepted it or until 5pm ET on June 3, 2016 or until revoked, whichever of those happens first. Acceptances from posters with a join date after Feb 2016 are not valid.
Wow, a whole $10? Very enticing. Will make a massive difference in the life of someone if they win
05-28-2016 , 08:23 PM
#865
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2OutsNoProb
Wow, a whole $10? Very enticing. Will make a massive difference in the life of someone if they win
Anything to help a brother down with the struggle
Last edited by Zorkman; 05-28-2016 at 08:26 PM. Reason: for you, $11
05-28-2016 , 08:25 PM
#866
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vecernicek
I realize this is the wrong time in the cycle, but I'm ready to make my annual reverse-jinx bet against the Dems. Hopefully it will be another Politard poster whose work I enjoy that accepts the donation (in the past cycles I believe it was DVaut1 and Wynton who enjoyed dinner on me).

If DEM wins the presidency, I pay you $80
If REP wins, you pay me $140

Again, I know it's the wrong time to offer this, but I also believe that many of you think those are basically the true odds, so... anyway, let me know!
While I would be so busy celebrating a Trump win to be concerned about losing $140, I am too sure that the scandal of Clinton and the socialism of Sanders will prevent their election to waste it.
05-30-2016 , 04:04 PM
#867
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Romney running for Prez NOs are back down to the mid 80s. wow
05-30-2016 , 04:33 PM
#868
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It's based on this tweet:

Bill Kristol ✔ ‎@BillKristol
Just a heads up over this holiday weekend: There will be an independent candidate--an impressive one, with a strong team and a real chance.
4:00 PM - 29 May 2016
05-30-2016 , 04:51 PM
#869
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People take Bill Kristol seriously? Good lord.
05-30-2016 , 05:37 PM
#870
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I take Bill Kristol extremely seriously, the man's ability to be consistently wrong about everything is impressive.
05-30-2016 , 09:30 PM
#871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vecernicek
I realize this is the wrong time in the cycle, but I'm ready to make my annual reverse-jinx bet against the Dems. Hopefully it will be another Politard poster whose work I enjoy that accepts the donation (in the past cycles I believe it was DVaut1 and Wynton who enjoyed dinner on me).

If DEM wins the presidency, I pay you $80
If REP wins, you pay me $140

Again, I know it's the wrong time to offer this, but I also believe that many of you think those are basically the true odds, so... anyway, let me know!
I'll take it. Quote to book. Can only settle up via paypal.
06-01-2016 , 04:25 PM
#872
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maxtower
Romney running for Prez NOs are back down to the mid 80s. wow
Aaannnd he's already back to 97c! Thanks for the free money PI.
06-01-2016 , 05:00 PM
#873
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Months ago, I locked in Donald Trump, at evens, to NOT win the general election, for $200. Felt like free money then, and still does. ;-)
06-01-2016 , 07:44 PM
#874
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FRGCardinal
Months ago, I locked in Donald Trump, at evens, to NOT win the general election, for $200. Felt like free money then, and still does. ;-)

You suckered somebody.
06-01-2016 , 08:26 PM
#875
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FRGCardinal
Months ago, I locked in Donald Trump, at evens, to NOT win the general election, for $200. Felt like free money then, and still does. ;-)
What would you say to someone who locked in Donald Trump NOT to win the general election at 5 to 1 (pay 5 if Trump wins, win 1 if he doesn't)?
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