Alabama Special Election (Roy Moore diddles, GOP thumbs up, Mr. Jones goes to Washington) - Page 40 - Politics and Economics

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Alabama Special Election (Roy Moore diddles, GOP thumbs up, Mr. Jones goes to Washington)

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11-22-2017 , 01:17 AM

#976

DeuceKicker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 5,359

Which is only slightly less risky than "yes I did it, vote for me anyway"

11-22-2017 , 01:58 PM

#977

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,257

11-22-2017 , 02:03 PM

#978

micro dong

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 588

Oops, looks like some people are going to have to apologise to Roy Moore.

Alabama election odds go from 5/4 to 1/2 for the GOP.

Well form an orderly queue, lads.

11-22-2017 , 07:51 PM

#979

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

yootoobz itt

11-22-2017 , 09:44 PM

#980

rugby

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 4,672

That clip is 20 minutes long. Cliffs? Any reason we should watch? Anything particular if note?

11-22-2017 , 10:00 PM

#981

fatkid

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 8,860

Communications director for Roy Moore campaign resigns

http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3...mpaign-resigns

I wonder if he can troll the mall for a new director? Weird timing. Is there some new allegations? A paid for abortion? Pics? I like it especially this close to the election.

11-23-2017 , 03:11 AM

#982

DeuceKicker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 5,359

Moore will be the next Senator from AL and nobody's going to try to remove him.

11-23-2017 , 03:21 AM

#983

micro dong

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 588

Quote:

Originally Posted by rugby

That clip is 20 minutes long. Cliffs? Any reason we should watch? Anything particular if note?

First 14 minutes his team are offering detailed rebuttals to specific allegations.

Either that all interests you or none of it does.

Last 9 minutes is GOP shilling.

11-23-2017 , 12:49 PM

#984

Loki

binary duo

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 12,772

First detailed rebuttal seemed to be that one accuser was going through a custody battle at the time.

Uh... okay?

11-24-2017 , 03:05 AM

#985

Former DJ

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,394

Five Thirty Eight: Is Roy Moore Losing?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-moore-losing/

This election will be an acid test for the notorious "Bradley Effect"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect

although, if Roy Moore manages to win, political scientists may have to create a sub category of the Bradley Effect, namely: "The Moore Effect". This new category would apply to voters who intentionally lie to pollsters out of a fear that declaring their support for an accused pedophile is politically incorrect. (In the current context, I suppose the real question is whether or not pollsters have figured out how to filter for such a bias - or if it's even possible to filter for such a bias?)

11-24-2017 , 09:30 AM

#986

RainierWolfcastle

adept

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,151

I like how they say that the Old Hickory House had a policy of not employing anyone under 16 but never say anything about the accuser not having worked there.

11-24-2017 , 09:33 PM

#987

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 58,677

Ugh.

African American voters not energized by Alabama’s Senate race

11-25-2017 , 02:33 PM

#988

Biesterfield

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 8,042

havent checked in with PredictIt recently. pretty surprised to see Moore now at .60

11-25-2017 , 03:11 PM

#989

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

Quote:

Originally Posted by Biesterfield

havent checked in with PredictIt recently. pretty surprised to see Moore now at .60

Yeah, he should be at at least .80.

11-25-2017 , 03:29 PM

#990

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,257

MSNBC poll had Moore up 2 points in the polls

Last edited by Huehuecoyotl; 11-25-2017 at 03:38 PM.

11-25-2017 , 07:27 PM

#991

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Holy crap

11-25-2017 , 07:53 PM

#992

AllTheCheese

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 11,898

From the latest round of Dem spam in my inbox, I would guess that Dem internal polling is also bad in this race: tone was basically "Isn't it great that we're competitive in this race? That's an accomplishment all by itself." A confirmed pedophile in the United States Senate, mmm, everyday a new adventure.

11-25-2017 , 09:25 PM

#993

iron81

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 17,729

Polling for low turnout special elections is inaccurate, I would expect a 10 point swing either way.

11-25-2017 , 10:06 PM

#994

Trolly McTrollson

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 36,690

Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

Ugh.

African American voters not energized by Alabama’s Senate race

Oh hey, maybe instead if reminding everyone over and over how the other guy is a sexual predator, maybe we should give people positive reasons to vote for our guy? Feel like this is a lesson the Dems should have learned already.

11-26-2017 , 05:10 AM

#995

estefaniocurry

adept

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 1,165

Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

Ugh.

African American voters not energized by Alabama’s Senate race

This is what Democrats apparently still don't get about the Trump election. It's not enough to be the guy who isn't a monumental ****bag if you still look like you could be one that just hasn't been uncovered yet.

11-26-2017 , 05:40 AM

#996

Michael Davis

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 10,009

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson

I agree with this, but I am amazed that "Remind everyone the other guy is a sexual predator" is not an effective strategy.

11-26-2017 , 07:38 AM

#997

AllTheCheese

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 11,898

It is an effective strategy, but primarily in driving down the other guy's turnout, not motivating your own voters.

Probably most poker players don't think this way, but ime a generic eligible voter who sits out the election doesn't feel any guilt about a pedophile joining the US Senate, because they "didn't vote for the guy."

Last edited by AllTheCheese; 11-26-2017 at 07:43 AM.

11-26-2017 , 07:50 AM

#998

+rep_lol

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 14,900

LOL i dont watch football but i just saw #1 ranked alabama lost to auburn in some playoff game or something, and everybody knows that college football (how pathetic) is the one thing thats almost as important as discriminating against minorities in that ****hole state

EAD you ****ing scumbags