A stranger is being shown around a village that he has just become part of. He is shown a well and his guide says "On any day except Wednesday, you can shout any question down that well, and you'll be told the answer" .
The stranger shouts down several questions, and all are answered. The stranger is impressed, and after thinking a minute he shouts down: "Why not on Wednesday?" and the voice from in the well shouts back "Because on Wednesday, it’s your day in the well".
Hi Folks, I've read all the past "The Well" threads and I'm honored to host my own. However, this thread will be a little different than the previous ones. Although my goal is to one day become a full-time professional sports gambler, I admit that I'm not there quite yet. I'm not as experienced at this as other hosts such as B00T, Thremp, and NajdorfDefense. There may be some questions that I simply don't know the answer. In those cases, I encourage others to join in and answer. Hopefully this will generate some good discussion and we can all improve at sports betting.
How did you become such a stunning specimen of male fitness?
Hard physical exercise helps take my mind off a bad day of gambling. Also, light cardio (especially in a nature setting) is a good way to think about things. Some of my best sports insights have come during a hike or mountain bike ride.
It didn't work very well. Baseball sabermetricians are experts at baseball and are good at writing interesting articles for baseball publications. But that doesn't necessarily mean Clay Davenport could become a successful MLB handicapper. That's why you often see academic papers about sports modeling that sound good but are never made into successful gambling models. On the other hand, there's a guy like RickJ who doesn't know that much about sports modeling (he paid a team of programmers to create his model for him) but he is an expert at gambling.
Baseball right now. Occasionally I'll take a horse match-up, a MMA fight, or an event prop bet such as Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Mostly, though, just bases. That's summertime for ya.
Two Plus Two
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