Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > General Gambling > Sports Betting

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 04-17-2009, 01:17 PM   #1
veteran
 
TomG's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: props manager, nolan syndicate
Posts: 2,605
Texas Rangers 2½ System

The Texas Rangers are 4-5 so far this season. However, I noticed something about their wins/losses. Of their 4 victories, all were by 2 or more runs. They are a powerhouse team built for scoring a lot of runs. They may not be a 0.500 ball club this year, but with my system they don't need to be.

Friday (1 Play)
Texas Rangers -2½ +240 (5Dimes)

YTD: 0-0, 0% ROI
TomG is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 01:18 PM   #2
old hand
 
dudeimstoked's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,295
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

is the system just to bet every tex game -2.5?
dudeimstoked is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 01:21 PM   #3
banned
 
Thremp's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: I lurve bewbs
Posts: 36,495
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

LDO
Thremp is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 01:25 PM   #4
old hand
 
dudeimstoked's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,295
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

just making sure there wasnt something more to it that i missed
dudeimstoked is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 01:46 PM   #5
banned
 
calm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 2,088
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

Quote:
Originally Posted by dudeimstoked View Post
just making sure there wasnt something more to it that i missed
G is a simple man.
calm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 04:04 PM   #6
veteran
 
TomG's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: props manager, nolan syndicate
Posts: 2,605
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

I can't give out too many details. There are times when the system calls for a bet on the other team minus two and a half runs. For those times, we'll also bet the Rangers minus two and a half runs to setup a big plus juice polish middle attempt.
TomG is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 04:29 PM   #7
journeyman
 
PICKAPEPPA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: San Diego
Posts: 390
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

If they were all 2+ run victories why wouldn't you play the -1.5?
PICKAPEPPA is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 04:39 PM   #8
Pooh-Bah
 
MegaFossil's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Blog updated 4/21, link in profile
Posts: 4,608
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

25% of their wins are by 13 runs or more, bet you could get pretty sweet odds laying 12.5 runs.
MegaFossil is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 04:45 PM   #9
Drug Free MVP
 
MyTurn2Raise's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Descalso, Jay, and the pitcher
Posts: 40,078
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

i recall reading about the Weibull distribution of runs and the outliers being due to "feast or famine" offenses
MyTurn2Raise is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 05:09 PM   #10
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
kyleb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Seattle
Posts: 37,922
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

get out of g's thread you sorcerer
kyleb is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 07:39 PM   #11
veteran
 
johnnylovescandy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: thinking "outside the closet"
Posts: 2,051
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

awesome, line just moved to -2.25/+240
johnnylovescandy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-17-2009, 10:50 PM   #12
adept
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: just bet steam man
Posts: 1,076
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

nice system


lmao
kaboshedx is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-2009, 12:17 PM   #13
veteran
 
TomG's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: props manager, nolan syndicate
Posts: 2,605
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

On Friday the Rangers lost in a blowout to the Royals. Had we also bet the Royals -2.5 we would have made a profit on the game. However, as I said in the introduction, the Rangers are probably not a 0.500 ball club. They won't win most games. But when they do win, they will win big.

Saturday (1 Play)
Texas Rangers -2½ +250 (TheGreek)

YTD: 0-1, -1 unit, 1 unit wagered, -100% ROI
TomG is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-2009, 03:30 PM   #14
journeyman
 
PICKAPEPPA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: San Diego
Posts: 390
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

I like this today. +240 for Meche vs. Harrison then +250 for Greinke vs. Millwood is a joke.
PICKAPEPPA is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-18-2009, 04:59 PM   #15
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
NajdorfDefense's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Looking forward to AA
Posts: 15,290
Re: Texas Rangers 2½ System

The good thing about this system is the way it takes advantage of the kurtosis in gambling lines. Black Swans ftmfw.
NajdorfDefense is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:24 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive