Tennis Betting Thread

[BrianLaverty]

Since his re emergence last fall... Baker has played two top 100 opponents and lost both of them. His best win is over #103 Michael Russell. To put it in perspective, Stakhosky has beaten two top 100 opponents on clay in the last month..... huge difference in talent levels.

[dangerfish]

Originally Posted by BrianLaverty

Since his re emergence last fall... Baker has played two top 100 opponents and lost both of them. His best win is over #103 Michael Russell. To put it in perspective, Stakhosky has beaten two top 100 opponents on clay in the last month..... huge difference in talent levels.

Well then you have a great bet on your hands don't you? Stark opened as a dog and the line is def going to move your way.

[BrianLaverty]

I'm definitely on that, and Falla -155 for Nice tomorrow. Was going to take Volandri, but hate to see the line move so much against me... From -133 to +133.... lots of movement and don't like it all when Volandri has been known to lay down in matches on occasion.

In WTA, I like Pavlyuchenkova over Scheepers at -140ish.

[wamplerr]

Originally Posted by dangerfish

few things: The comment about Ebden's first time not qualifying for the French is pointless, this is the first year he will not have had to qualify for any slam. He just broke through last year. His results have not been good but neither has Davydenko's. Davy is 1-3 this year on clay with losses to Lorenzi and Farah and of course Nadal. Davy also plays pretty flat which is good for Ebden. Additionally Davy has the yips on his serve when he is struggling it can be ugly. When you start getting close to 5-1 on dogs your usually not going to have a ton of glowing evidence that they are going win it is more a question of how live are they as a dog and imo anyone right now is live vs Davy esp in a small lead up event.

In 2010 he went to Paris to qualify, and played challengers on Clay to prepare. In 2011, he didn't even try to qualify, and didn't play a single match on Clay. This year, he entered the main draws of the ATP 250's and lost horribly, and tried to qualify in Madrid and Rome since he was already in Europe.

I don't see anything that says he is dedicating himself to playing better on clay, I just see a guy entering the Main Draws he can and picking up some checks and points for losing in the first round. If he wasn't qualified for the Main Draw of the French, he wouldn't be playing any of these tournaments.

[wamplerr]

Originally Posted by BrianLaverty

Since his re emergence last fall... Baker has played two top 100 opponents and lost both of them. His best win is over #103 Michael Russell. To put it in perspective, Stakhosky has beaten two top 100 opponents on clay in the last month..... huge difference in talent levels.

I'm on Baker too, Russell and Querrey are the only two to take a set off him on Clay this year. He's played plenty of stiffs too, but wins over Sweeting, Russell, Ginepri, Gensse are comparable to Stebe and Vasselin.

It might be too big a jump, but Baker was a top junior back in the day so I'm hoping he can handle it.

[BrianLaverty]

Stakhosky pretty much handed that match to Baker... frustrating. Up a break, 4-3 in 2nd set... and then up a break at 1-0 and 2-1 in the 2nd set... Horrible.

[dangerfish]

Originally Posted by BrianLaverty

Stakhosky pretty much handed that match to Baker... frustrating. Up a break, 4-3 in 2nd set... and then up a break at 1-0 and 2-1 in the 2nd set... Horrible.

Starkhovsky def had chances , not sure I agree that he gave the match away but tough beat. Did not expect it to be that close.

[BrianLaverty]

Baker +550 tomorrow?

[dangerfish]

Originally Posted by BrianLaverty

Baker +550 tomorrow?

Took him +5 games already. I think he is live as well to win, small bet there. Monfils is obviously a totally different level of player but he has been not his best lately and lead up events are always good for dogs.

[dangerfish]

Baker in str8s, impressive win.

[wamplerr]

Originally Posted by dangerfish

Baker in str8s, impressive win.

Great story, for those not following it: http://espn.go.com/tennis/story/_/id...aker-never-out

[BrianLaverty]

Great story.... definitely the kind of guy you love cheering for.... it wad hard for me to cheer against him vs stahkovsky but I thought he was in a little over his head.... he handled it well and it was nice cheering for him while he was making me $$ today.

[dangerfish]

Originally Posted by BrianLaverty

Great story.... definitely the kind of guy you love cheering for.... it wad hard for me to cheer against him vs stahkovsky but I thought he was in a little over his head.... he handled it well and it was nice cheering for him while he was making me $$ today.

Yep, good few days. Probably closing up shop for the week. The line on Baker vs Kuhn is ugly if your Baker fan and hard to bet against him although prob the smart bet if you had to take a side.

[RosieTheGreat]

Deff closing up shop. this is the point where anybody good stops trying so they can rest for RG.

It really surprised me that A.rads even stepped on court, not that it took much work to clean up.

[wamplerr]

Originally Posted by RosieTheGreat

Deff closing up shop. this is the point where anybody good stops trying so they can rest for RG.

Simple, just bet on the bad players.