I like $$$, i like the under

glgl

Will you bet betting over $7 on this one?

Got a big sweat on my Atlanta superbowl futures to win about 4k from a while ago and a hedge on the Pats to break even if it bricks.

Honorary Falcons fan for this one. Good luck all!

No plays on the actual game itself yet.

can we get a write up?

Ok, i'll go back to not posting outside the MMA thread due to the toxic atmosphere then.

I plan on taking the under on all Matt Ryan and Julio Jones props, esp Julio. Belichick, the man who stymied the Greatest Show on Turf, is not going to let Jones be the guy who beats them.

Shocked that you aren't a man of your word. I guess this is what we should expect based on your previous behavior.

It will be interesting to see if pats can slow Atlanta down

Smashing the under. Could only get pats -3 at -115. So hard to be there when the line first comes out.

Bet a bunch of silly props too. Julio unders and let's go under on national anthem!

Opening line from Westgate, per LVRJ:

Last season, Gostkowski knocked 69.7% of his kickoffs for TB's. -220 sounds about right...

...but THIS season, they changed the TB rule, spotting the ball on the 25 yard line. Belichick has made a big point to NOT kick TB's. "Make 'em run it out!", he has been heard on mic telling his kicker, as his kick return team *constantly* brings down the return man inside the 25, often inside the 20. Gostkoski's % this year is a paltry 55.9%--and it's only that high because once the team has a comfortable lead, only THEN does he start booming them through the end zone, giving up a little EV to reduce the variance that a KR would threaten.

My guy finally put up his SB props this week, and this prop didn't make the cut.

If any of you bet this and it wins, you owe me a drink.

If anyone can see a current line on this, I'm curious if/how it moved. TIA.

Stephen Gostkowski - Will his FIRST Kickoff Result in a Touchback
Feb 05 98137 S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) YES T-BACK -225
6:25 PM 98138 S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) NO T-BACK +175

So what do i have to bet yes or no? i don't understand football that much

Bet no.

I say No.

This is from Week 3. Pay attention to 1:25



EDIT: Grr, link won't embed. Here's the part I'm citing:

BILL BELICHICK: What are you thinking?

ASST COACH: This next kickoff? Want to just bang this through--?

BILL BELICHICK: (emphatically) Nope! Make 'em run it!

ASST COACH: (confident) Good!

(cut to kickoff being fielded at the 1-yard line.)


I watch every Patriots game. This was a trend all season.

Thanks for the line update.

LAST EDIT: This isn't a lock. Sometimes Gostkowski is trying to drop these kicks inside the five and hits them a little too far. And we're fading the early-game adrenaline that might send this ball a little too far. But I don't see any reason why this line should be nearly this high. Of course, I don't know anything about ATL, they might have the World's Greatest KR guy back there, and I wouldn't know.

No it is

WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET Feb 05 MU [98138] S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) NO T-BACK +175 (S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) YES T-BACK vrs S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) NO T-BACK) 4.00 USD / 7.00 USD

Thanks guys

glgl!

What's my cut of that?

Bet the pats. Atlanta's nothing but the Cincinnati Bengals on a heater

Special teams super-coach Mike Westhoff (the funny one from the Jets' Hard Knocks season) was on the radio today, predicting nothing but touchbacks from both kickers. He loves kicking in this stadium, calls it the best stadium in the league for kickers (loves the surface, and it's indoors).

I love that guy. I hate to go against him.

(still going against him)

I like the Pats here (depending on line movement), but this is most def not why.

LOL at anyone underestimating either side. GL all.

I already mushed the Pats with my $5

''I plan on taking the under on all Matt Ryan and Julio Jones props, esp Julio''
>>> check it


STRAIGHT BET
[98390] TOTAL u6½+120
(J JONES (ATL) RECPT vrs J JONES (ATL) RECPT) (Julio Jones - Total Receptions)

5 / 6

glgl

how can you not bet patriots

Easy. Bet on the Falcons. They've got a pretty elite offense while the Pats are only good on D.

Top 3 in pts / ppg
Top 4 total yards

Pats no good on offence, right.


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Bet it all, baby!!!

Falcons +0.5 in 1Q seems like free-est money ever given how fast the Falcons start and the fact that the Patriots have scored a combined 0 points in the first quarter of their past 6 Super Bowls.

how many have they allowed? was thinking under, and no score in first 7.5 mins