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SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ

10-24-2013 , 12:34 AM
First off i like to mention that i been betting for many years already and been doing it recreationally. I mostly played online poker as my primarily profit. I was a 200-300 per game player and most likely going to be betting 400-500 a game since i relocated to canada so i have more options such as pinnacle and other books and can move money easier than in the usa.


I also have read the FAQ as well.


Back then i had a few months where i would be up between 600-1500 per month while betting 200 a unit. There was one month where i was up 3200 betting flat 200 a game. Note i mostly bet underdogs so thats another reason and the other thing is i averaged around 70-90 plays a month. I also had losing months as well but those losing months were not bad at all since i only bet 200 game. The other thing is im very picky with my picks. Of course i thought hey if i could bet more, then i would be able to make more. Reason i didnt bet more was b/c in the usa... its hard to get money into sportsbooks and i didnt want to keep a good amount offshore after all that has happened.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 12:35 AM
1. I read that a good roi for sports wagers is 3% And most pros are happy with 2%. This is where im somewhat a bit confused. I had thought it was possible to make a living betting sports when betting 500/game. But then when i read that 2% roi on every bet is good... that means each $500 wager means $10 profit. So that means if someone just wagers 100 games a month... with a 2% ROI... that means profit is only $1000 a month... obviously not enough to make a living.


So are there ppl that bet sports for a living when only wagering $500 a game? I always thought $500 was a decent size for a wager and if you bet that amount per game, that is enough for your sole source of income. I had thought someone who bets that much per game could make 40k a year which would be 80 units a year... which i found out is very very hard. But are there ppl that do it for a living with $500 units only? I look at bet sizes and volume. So if someone bets $500 a game but makes 400 wagers per month with a 2% ROI... that would $4000 a month... certainly what is called a living as that would be around 50k a year. But the problem is finding 400 wagers a month as that would average a bit over 13 games a day. Are there guys that do this and find that much wagers a day?



2. I always thought people who bet huge amounts such as 5k a game if they were pros and winners... these guys had to be making mid 6 digits. Of course little did i know... a 2% roi would be $100 profit. And say this person only wagers 30 games a month and thus very selective... thats only $3000 a month. that sounds pretty scary that a 5k player when betting 30 games at the end of the month with a good 2% roi would only make 3k a month. Is it bad that i look at it this way?


But if they wager 100 games a month, that would be 10k a month. But thing is always thought those big bettors would be making much mroe than that assuming they are very good.



3. How much would you say the pro sportsbettor averages per bet? Of course there are big timers like Billy Walters etc but then theres the joe sharp but he isn't a big timer. Would you say its probably 500-2000 most likely with 1k being the average amount? It definitely seems strange to me that a 1k a game bettor... if he was up 30 units for the year... which is very good for sportbetting... he would be only up 30k a year... and thus thats less than average salary for a person. I can see why ppl say betting sports for a living is very hard. But what about guys like Teddy Covers etc. I know he's a tout and sell picks but guys like him who don't sell picks, how much do guys like him bet per game and make a year? I watched a vegas video on youtube and he was at the M resort i think doing live betting and they were interviewing him and then he mentioned he made 200 dollars in 8 hours of work and said thats not bad. Because thats 25/hr and for a guy like him... i always thought those guys made a ton more than that.



4. Bankroll Question. I always been a bankroll nit. With 20k bankroll, i would never bet more than 200 a game. If i had a 5k bankroll, i would never bet more than 50 a game. Of course i dont bet that small anymore but i read 1% is the proper amount that should be bet for pros. For recreationally players, they can bet 3-5% but those who are serious but not pros, they should never go higher than 2%. But for pros... most be 1-2%? Would you say that is accurate?



5. Bankroll Question. I know why a bankroll is needed. If you have a 20k bankroll and bet 2k a game, you can bust your bankroll pretty quickly after going 0-7. Thus you shouldn't bet more than 400 a game max usually with a 20k roll. What i want to know is what is the highest percentage of your bankroll that should be risked per day? I use to bet lot of games for $300 each with a 25k bankroll but i think the most i ever had risked at one day was $2100 or so. By let say bankroll is 20k... if you are betting 400 per game and risking 2 percent per game... is there a set amount of games you should not bet more than? Of course if you find an edge in a game, you have to bet it but what percentage of your bankroll should you risk max in a day?


The other thing that i wanted to know is this. When i was betting $200-$300 a game, my sportsbook bankroll was always 20k-30k. It usually was in the 25k-30k area. The thing is a bad day would be -1000 and thus it would go down fro 26000 to 25000. But the thing is isn't keeping a huge bankroll for sports a lot different from online poker? Because if you play online poker, you can have downswings and you can lose a lot of them whether mtt, sng or cash. But for sportsbetting... i always felt like my money in the sportsbook was idle. I always thought... whats the point of keeping 25k-30k online when im betting 300 game. I didnt have any huge downswings b/c im very picky with my picks and rarely bet more than 400 per game but i felt like for sportsbetting, you basically keeping like 90% of your bankroll idle in the sportsbook and it not earning any interest. Im sure some of you guys know what i mean by this
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 12:51 AM
what is your screen name on stars ?
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 03:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Drewphish2
I mostly played online poker as my primarily profit.
i believe it.

SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 09:41 AM
Those posts were unnecessarily long with lots of details that don't matter. Anyway from skimming it.

Idea #1: Learn about Kelly. Probably start with Ganchrow's posts
- A quantitative introduction to the Kelly criterion by Ganchrow Part 1
- Part 2 of the above
- Google search some more posts of his on topic

Idea #2 Small market sports + bonuses. At $200 bet sizing there a lot of bets available where the edge is much larger than 2-3%. There are also many bonuses and promotions available to whore too.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 03:51 PM
how long did that take to type, OP?
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 06:12 PM
I think for one that the major pros are the only ones making a pure living, you have to in my opion bet as much as possible , the nfl max is 50 g plus etc. Grinding is much harder, you got to bet live not internet for just this reason, to get your money working, even a.phone bet to ladbrokes or william hill is worth up to one mil a day were az online verymuch smaller. Also find individuals to bet straight up outside of the casino, you can make your own line and pay nothing fortheright. Making a living sports betting alone is very elite,
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 08:47 PM
39 posts all equally hilarious.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-24-2013 , 09:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkson
39 posts all equally hilarious.
x100. Guy has been spamming multiple forums with the same ridiculous questions for several years.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-28-2013 , 09:19 PM
Realistically, there's no set in stone formulas when it comes to how you choose to manage your money. If you have 20k and don't want to bet 500 because you aren't comfortable, then a "formula" or what it is you're looking for won't work for you. I can see tilt happening.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-29-2013 , 12:29 AM
Relocate to Thailand?
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-29-2013 , 04:05 AM
This op is the epitome of TLDR
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
10-29-2013 , 02:34 PM
tough crowd
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-02-2013 , 02:42 AM
I think op has a lot of good questions that im intrested in learning the answers too.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-02-2013 , 06:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by crabbyface
I think op has a lot of good questions that im intrested in learning the answers too.
anyone else find it funny that this guy talks **** in the lc thread but in here he's begging for basic scraps that a high school student should be able to figure out?
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-02-2013 , 07:00 PM
oh yeah hillarious..... what I CAN'T TALK A LITTLE CRAP IN A LC THREAD? didn't know you had to be a "pro" too talk a little trash around here.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-03-2013 , 02:07 PM
its sort of like the fat slob nfl fan who makes fun of a guy like scott zolak for "only" making it so far as a backup QB
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-04-2013 , 04:51 PM
Can someone here offer any real insight? I had this question to someone in another forum who does bet sports but mostly college football and basketball and asked me to post this question on this forum to get answers. Hes known as a sharp in college football/basketball but hes a primarly live limit and mix game player.


He told me 7 percent is what he wants to achieve every year and make 30 units during the college football/basketball season and told me his units were 770 a game. He also told me there was no way he could do it for his sole income as it would be very hard betting 770/game. Again like my original post said... i had thought someone betting that kind of amount could do it for a living though im shocked someone like that couldn't make an average salary.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-04-2013 , 04:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Drewphish2
Can someone here offer any real insight?
This below wasn't real insight?

Quote:
Originally Posted by PropPlayer
Idea #1: Learn about Kelly. Probably start with Ganchrow's posts
- A quantitative introduction to the Kelly criterion by Ganchrow Part 1
- Part 2 of the above
- Google search some more posts of his on topic

Idea #2 Small market sports + bonuses. At $200 bet sizing there a lot of bets available where the edge is much larger than 2-3%. There are also many bonuses and promotions available to whore too.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-04-2013 , 08:05 PM
Just make 100,000 $550 bets at .07 you should do alright.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
11-05-2013 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Drewphish2
Can someone here offer any real insight?
Make love not war. Then eat Chinese food.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
03-15-2014 , 10:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Drewphish2
1. I read that a good roi for sports wagers is 3% And most pros are happy with 2%. This is where im somewhat a bit confused. I had thought it was possible to make a living betting sports when betting 500/game. But then when i read that 2% roi on every bet is good... that means each $500 wager means $10 profit. So that means if someone just wagers 100 games a month... with a 2% ROI... that means profit is only $1000 a month... obviously not enough to make a living.


So are there ppl that bet sports for a living when only wagering $500 a game? I always thought $500 was a decent size for a wager and if you bet that amount per game, that is enough for your sole source of income. I had thought someone who bets that much per game could make 40k a year which would be 80 units a year... which i found out is very very hard. But are there ppl that do it for a living with $500 units only? I look at bet sizes and volume. So if someone bets $500 a game but makes 400 wagers per month with a 2% ROI... that would $4000 a month... certainly what is called a living as that would be around 50k a year. But the problem is finding 400 wagers a month as that would average a bit over 13 games a day. Are there guys that do this and find that much wagers a day?



2. I always thought people who bet huge amounts such as 5k a game if they were pros and winners... these guys had to be making mid 6 digits. Of course little did i know... a 2% roi would be $100 profit. And say this person only wagers 30 games a month and thus very selective... thats only $3000 a month. that sounds pretty scary that a 5k player when betting 30 games at the end of the month with a good 2% roi would only make 3k a month. Is it bad that i look at it this way?


But if they wager 100 games a month, that would be 10k a month. But thing is always thought those big bettors would be making much mroe than that assuming they are very good.



3. How much would you say the pro sportsbettor averages per bet? Of course there are big timers like Billy Walters etc but then theres the joe sharp but he isn't a big timer. Would you say its probably 500-2000 most likely with 1k being the average amount? It definitely seems strange to me that a 1k a game bettor... if he was up 30 units for the year... which is very good for sportbetting... he would be only up 30k a year... and thus thats less than average salary for a person. I can see why ppl say betting sports for a living is very hard. But what about guys like Teddy Covers etc. I know he's a tout and sell picks but guys like him who don't sell picks, how much do guys like him bet per game and make a year? I watched a vegas video on youtube and he was at the M resort i think doing live betting and they were interviewing him and then he mentioned he made 200 dollars in 8 hours of work and said thats not bad. Because thats 25/hr and for a guy like him... i always thought those guys made a ton more than that.



4. Bankroll Question. I always been a bankroll nit. With 20k bankroll, i would never bet more than 200 a game. If i had a 5k bankroll, i would never bet more than 50 a game. Of course i dont bet that small anymore but i read 1% is the proper amount that should be bet for pros. For recreationally players, they can bet 3-5% but those who are serious but not pros, they should never go higher than 2%. But for pros... most be 1-2%? Would you say that is accurate?



5. Bankroll Question. I know why a bankroll is needed. If you have a 20k bankroll and bet 2k a game, you can bust your bankroll pretty quickly after going 0-7. Thus you shouldn't bet more than 400 a game max usually with a 20k roll. What i want to know is what is the highest percentage of your bankroll that should be risked per day? I use to bet lot of games for $300 each with a 25k bankroll but i think the most i ever had risked at one day was $2100 or so. By let say bankroll is 20k... if you are betting 400 per game and risking 2 percent per game... is there a set amount of games you should not bet more than? Of course if you find an edge in a game, you have to bet it but what percentage of your bankroll should you risk max in a day?


The other thing that i wanted to know is this. When i was betting $200-$300 a game, my sportsbook bankroll was always 20k-30k. It usually was in the 25k-30k area. The thing is a bad day would be -1000 and thus it would go down fro 26000 to 25000. But the thing is isn't keeping a huge bankroll for sports a lot different from online poker? Because if you play online poker, you can have downswings and you can lose a lot of them whether mtt, sng or cash. But for sportsbetting... i always felt like my money in the sportsbook was idle. I always thought... whats the point of keeping 25k-30k online when im betting 300 game. I didnt have any huge downswings b/c im very picky with my picks and rarely bet more than 400 per game but i felt like for sportsbetting, you basically keeping like 90% of your bankroll idle in the sportsbook and it not earning any interest. Im sure some of you guys know what i mean by this

This is an old thread but an interesting one. YOU HAVE ME MIFFED. 500 a game to make a living? It depends on what standard of living you want. I used to earn 15k per annum as a cook. As soon as I was able to match that with sports betting I quit full time work and only work part time to continue paying my tax stamp.

The golden rule of thumb for wagers in relation to overall bankroll is 1-5%. At least for me. So lets say you have a 5k bankroll. The largest bet you want to be making is 250 units per bet and so forth.

Now we all know that the average gambler will never be able to stick to this golden rule. Little wonder why 98% of sports bettors fail.

Money management is the single most important deciding factor as to whether you finish a betting season in the red or black. MAKE NO MISTAKE ABOUT THAT.

It's even more important than your win rate. Example it's said that a sports bettor who plays the spread on say the NBA must win at least 52.4% of their bets just to break even.


I've had seasons where I only won 40---45% of my bets at an average of 1.80 per bet and still made a profit. When I go above 55% I really go clear.

The reason? MONEY MANAGEMENT.

The number one mistake made by all gamblers is trying to run before you can walk. The fools who risk 10,20,30 or more percent of their bankroll on a single bet are doomed LONGTERM.

If you even win three times in a row. Understand you have done extremely well and at least half your bets until you lose. The secret of success in this game is to win more than you lose. And that doesn't have to mean in terms of individual bets.

But more how much you win in relation to how much you lose on any given bet.

Example I win only 40 bets out of a 100 at an average of 1.80 return to every 1 unit bet. But over 50% of my losing bets were less that 50% the size of my winning bets. Did I make a profit or loss?

If more gamblers both understood and executed this kind of money management. That elite 2% of winning sports bettors would grow to over 10%.

But the statistic will never change. Most lack the discipline to ever stick to anything.

Last edited by sentinel2015; 03-15-2014 at 10:53 AM.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
06-04-2014 , 03:14 PM
It is entirely possible to double your bankroll in a given regular season event. If you look at some popular free pick contests like covers and wagerminds, roughly 10 percent of the handicappers exceed +10 betting units (half a 20 unit bankroll) and roughly 1 percent do better than +20 bets. The winners are 2-3x bankroll.

Keep in mind these are not individuals that just double up 2 or 3 times and get lucky.

So if you are good, you can get a positive roi of 50 percent or more in the regular season.

I personally double a bankroll in the nfl yearly, and that is my goal and what I consider as roi.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
06-09-2014 , 04:53 PM
wow how did I miss that sentinel post??

Also citing the performance of 10% of some made up free pick contest is not evidence for anything.
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote
06-09-2014 , 05:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sentinel2015
I've had seasons where I only won 40---45% of my bets at an average of 1.80 per bet and still made a profit. When I go above 55% I really go clear.

The reason? Unintentional MARTINGALE!.
FYP
SportsBetting ROI and Bankroll Questions, Already Read FAQ Quote

      
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