I have zero clue about strategy of sport betting. I only know the basics.

I have 1000 dollars that I am willing to risk. The strategy I came up with is insane but I feel it can yield me the best results as I do not care about the money.

The plan is to watch the NFL for weeks 1-6 to see where everybody is at. I then want to pick 6 games from weeks 7-17. The games will have to be separate weeks. I want to throw the full 1000 on the first game of my choosing and then keep moving everything over to the next game.

What is the likelihood of being able to get a 6 game streak like that?

You're asking what the odds are of winning six games in a row? 0.5 ^ 6, or 1.5625%

I want to hear more about this strategy

Said slightly differently, even if your strategy was 80% successful you're only 25% to get the 6 in a row assuming independence.

no you don't

So I am going to assume this is near impossible with good game selection?

When I said basics, I meant I understood what the lines meant... thats about it lol

It's essentially a 6 team parlay and yes it's generally difficult to turn $1,000 into ~$32,000

no its easy. everyones doing it. the books are just handing out money, its part of a stimulus package. you can thank obama

Yall naysayers must've missed the part where he was going to do six weeks of research to see where everyone's at.

... is my favorite post.

Vegas is the most exploitable the first 2-4 weeks of the season since no one really knows how a specific team is going to be for the year.

This year, I think that team is the Vikings. They're somehow underdogs at San Fran Week 1 (LOVED +3.5 and now prefer +125 ML since the line moved to +2.5). Then they play the Lions in Week 2, who I think have taken a step back. Eventually Vegas will catch on but there are some good spots. I also like Bills +3 vs the Colts Week 1. The public is going to pound Indy but if you look at their road game ATS record last year, it was not very good.

I'm sure you aren't the only Vikings fan from Minnesota who is convinced Vegas is underestimating them. Funny how that works.

Teddy went 7-9 last year with McKinnon/Asiata at RB, first year in Norv's offense, Zimmer's first year with the defense, they were missing Rudolph for half a season, Patterson was benched, Jennings/Johnson/Wright were their WR's, 2 starters on the offensive line got hurt, Barr missed the last quarter of the season (along with McKinnon), both Walsh and Locke struggled last year (first year outdoors at TCF Bank).

Barring a long or season ending injury or suspension to Teddy or AP, this team will win at least 9 games (and yes, I know their schedule is tougher this year).

Oh and watch out for a couple of the most underrated players in the league in Xavier Rhodes and Harrison Smith.

and why does this not apply to you?

Who said this didn't apply to me? It's all about make educated guesses based on your own projections. If it was that easy, I wouldn't be going to work tomorrow.

I'm just saying that if you do your due diligence preseason, you're better off betting the first 4 weeks instead of waiting until middle of the season.

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just do your due diligence in the preseason and bet weeks 1-4, troll.

:<

If your due diligence is higher than or equal to your expected value your roi will be as high as you can imagine

What about your undue diligence?