I simply took the variables I look at and ran them through historical data for the last 5 years. This showed a win rate of just under 55%.
Saying this I have found that this is no guarantee that this win rate will repeat over the next 5 years. But it most likely the best you can do do predict the success of a system
Last time Rick picked 3 "favorites" in a day (albeit run-line "favorites") = pretty much never. I barely even recognized those negative-sign thingees in a riccja post.