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Old 03-05-2012, 02:02 AM   #101
"F-POKER"
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Billy Walters approves....
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Old 03-05-2012, 03:40 AM   #102
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

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Old 03-05-2012, 04:18 AM   #103
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

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Old 03-05-2012, 04:33 AM   #104
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Hey Luke your on a great Hot streak 9-0 but please only refer to posted picks as we have no way to verify if you have won for 20 days straight. I would love if you could extend your winning streak to 20 games. Gl to you.
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Old 03-05-2012, 05:20 AM   #105
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Interesting thread I have no idea what to make of it, but keep posting please will be interesting to see what happens once you hit a reasonable sample size if you're around that long
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Old 03-05-2012, 09:28 AM   #106
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

About 3 weeks ago I started taking moneyline favorites with mostly home favorites in college bball. Usually most home teams with spreads between 6 and 9 win outright even if they dont cover. I started doing parlays and action reverses with the moneylines which can payout big amounts but obviously the risk with the action reverse can wipe out everything. The swings are big and on days I lost it would usually clear my winnings from the past two days (thank you Louisville losing to South Florida) but over the three week period I have yet to lose for an entire week.
College winners are much easier to predict than NBA cuz every win means a lot more for a college team. Again small sample size but it seems that going with moneyline favorites is more profitable than trying to pick spreads.
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Old 03-05-2012, 01:16 PM   #107
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DMMx69 View Post
Well my bookie voided the Wisky bet because I can't wager prime numbers. The Arizona win was pretty sweet though. I only bet 1/4 unit because I knew this one would be a close win, even though Arizona is dominate.


So, 1-0 tonight, +0.058824 units

Overall: 5-0, +105.971824 units

Bookie says he has never seen anything like this. Up over 105.971823 units in 3 days!

I'll be back tomorrow with some more plays I hope. Need to do some in-depth analysis to bring you more goodness.
Hate to rain on your parade cause your on a roll but az lost yesterday, you need to adjust your record to 4-1 and subtract your units with that massive bet you placed on them
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Old 03-05-2012, 01:34 PM   #108
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Lol r u serious
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Old 03-05-2012, 02:37 PM   #109
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

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Hate to rain on your parade cause your on a roll but az lost yesterday, you need to adjust your record to 4-1 and subtract your units with that massive bet you placed on them
What? Arizona St. won? I never even checked the box score - I guess my bookie didn't either. I don't typically check the box scores because I know all my plays are Ws (except for the losses). My bookie must be in the same boat.

Well, I'm up 105.971824, but I suppose if you are betting somewhere else, they may have graded the Arizona St. game a loss (though I can't see why they would even check on a huge ML favorite like this.) So, I'll post the worst case scenario for you guys who don't know what you're doing:

4-1, +105.663.

Still pretty good for 3 days worth of work: Up nearly 32 units per day! (And, much better than Luke's alter-ego/immortal FMITA buddy and his measly 30 units or whatever over what seems like an eternity: 30u/eternity = 0, no?) Not as good as +105.971824 units, but we'll take it.

Obviously this is where money management comes into play. And roulette skillz. Bet 4000 units on sure things and only bet 1/4 unit on teams playing in-state rivalry games on the opponent's senior night where the opponent plans on shooting 58% from 3p, 55% from 2p, and 92% from the foul line.

I'll be back later for more cash.

Last edited by DMMx69; 03-05-2012 at 02:38 PM. Reason: ML
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Old 03-05-2012, 03:18 PM   #110
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Looks like we found jdocks' other account.

Have no problem making fun of people yet at the same time have no shame in being a bottomfeeder in every other thread.

Last edited by B00T; 03-05-2012 at 03:23 PM.
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Old 03-05-2012, 09:37 PM   #111
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

And on the 22nd day God rested.
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Old 03-05-2012, 10:09 PM   #112
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

With march madness coming up it is going to be much more difficult because there are always tough upsets that no one really predicts and all the games are on neutral courts. UMass Dayton St Joe's and La Salle should be good games to look at for tomorrow if you are looking at moneylines. Uconn plays much better with Jim Calhoun back on their bench and Seton Hall needs to beat Providence to have a chance at making the tournament.
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Old 03-05-2012, 10:30 PM   #113
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Scratch that, he found some good value.

risking 13.2 units to win 3, Denver ML -440
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Old 03-05-2012, 10:59 PM   #114
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Not South Dakota St? The real value already past tonight as Toledo and North Texas were both undervalued by the odds makers.
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Old 03-05-2012, 11:41 PM   #115
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

3/01/12 Due to an obvious line error, wagers on 2H Texas were deleted. If you have any questions please feel free to contact customer service. We apologize for any inconvenience.

Wagering rules: NO OPEN PARLAYS OR TEASERS... MAX WAGER FOR ANY PARLAY OVER 4 TEAMS IS $100....MAX 2 TOTALS IN 4 TEAM TEASER ... MAX 2 MONEY LINE DOGS IN PARLAYS ... MAX $500 ACTION REVERSES***NO CORRELATED HOOKUPS*** NO MLB 1st 5 INNINGS IN PARLAYS***MAX 1 MONEYLINE ON ACTION REVERSES AND PARLAYS!

So I was betting online with a local bookie for about 6 months. I was down a little bit till i started doing moneyline ARs and parlays. After running well for 3 weeks this pops up on my screen. Read the last of the wagering rules. Has anyone ever seen a bookie do this? I dont recall him having a problem when i was losing hockey parlays but when i hit on NCAA parlays and ARs he shuts it off mid week? Just wondering if this is ever common.
Oh and the halftime Texas line when they played Oklahoma that i bet which they screwed up was deleted off my account. They posted it +400 when it should have been -400.
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:35 AM   #116
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Quote:
Originally Posted by LukeTheSharp View Post
Scratch that, he found some good value.

risking 13.2 units to win 3, Denver ML -440
The win every day run is officially over.
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:37 AM   #117
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Quote:
Originally Posted by LukeTheSharp View Post
Scratch that, he found some good value.

risking 13.2 units to win 3, Denver ML -440
ruh roh

Clearly this was a hugely +EV bet.

Last edited by just_mo; 03-06-2012 at 12:56 AM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 01:15 AM   #118
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Even the great ones can't win every day. The run is over but he told me he'll be pounding the #1 and #2 seeds in some of these conference tournaments to quickly recoup his loss today. He's still up money and super confident. At the end of the day its basically just 13 units lost. He can definitely win that back in 2-3 days and get back to the greatness he showed for 21 days.
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Old 03-06-2012, 04:17 AM   #119
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

9-1 posted record. Won 17 units by risking 92.55. 2-3 upsets and it's in the negative. Just sayin'.
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Old 03-06-2012, 05:23 AM   #120
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Damn , I was about to suggest thread title be changed to sharp's friend's LOCKS or something, thats how sharky got big
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Old 03-06-2012, 08:34 AM   #121
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Why all the hate itt, is'nt any winner better than a loser. All these knockers hating on ML favs, probably breaking Ev, marginally winning/losing at best on spreads and the like, fark jealousies a curse. If anyone had the roll to double, triple, quad up and recoup those occasional big ML favs losses and a bookie to keep taking them, would'nt this be easy game rather than looking for marginal edges in spread and props?
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:10 AM   #122
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

Quote:
Originally Posted by CHRONICFEVER View Post
Damn , I was about to suggest thread title be changed to sharp's friend's LOCKS or something, thats how sharky got big
+1. Just don't go tout on us, Luke. I'm paying off my student loans with all these winners!!!
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:13 AM   #123
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Even the great ones can't win every day. The run is over but he told me he'll be pounding the #1 and #2 seeds in some of these conference tournaments to quickly recoup his loss today. He's still up money and super confident. At the end of the day its basically just 13 units lost. He can definitely win that back in 2-3 days and get back to the greatness he showed for 21 days.


I'll be jumping on the #1/#2 seeds as well.

Can't wait to take advantage of all the great value when they are -5000 in the first two rounds.....'
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:14 AM   #124
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

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+1. Just don't go tout on us, Luke. I'm paying off my student loans with all these winners!!!
this is why threads like this these are bad
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:27 AM   #125
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Re: Playing Favorites on the Money line?

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Originally Posted by RightbutmadeWrong View Post
Why all the hate itt, is'nt any winner better than a loser. All these knockers hating on ML favs, probably breaking Ev, marginally winning/losing at best on spreads and the like, fark jealousies a curse. If anyone had the roll to double, triple, quad up and recoup those occasional big ML favs losses and a bookie to keep taking them, would'nt this be easy game rather than looking for marginal edges in spread and props?

Plenty of people have the roll, this would be a good way to go about losing it. I would wager that the troll could have got better prices and much higher limits on ever bet at pinnacle without worry of being kicked out. You think they just hand out money there?
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