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Old 05-23-2017, 10:34 AM   #1
MisterRodriguez
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Openers Vs Closers

Hello guys,assuming a soccer league with high liquidity market is GENERALLY efficient if i find a subset of games where the Openers in Pinnacle beat the Closers in the last couple of seasons(1k sample size,BTCL 67%)means Pinnacle openears have been soft that even a basic analysys can make a profit ?
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Old 05-23-2017, 11:40 AM   #2
Mihkel05
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

Enjoy the rat race.
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Old 05-23-2017, 12:28 PM   #3
MisterRodriguez
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

Even if my OP sounds dumb to you I m here to learn ,so i would appreciate if you could give me a valid opinion.
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Old 05-23-2017, 01:32 PM   #4
Mihkel05
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

Have you checked where the lines are a minute after opening?
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Old 05-23-2017, 02:20 PM   #5
MisterRodriguez
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

Why do you ask?I have a Pinnacle opener alert and usually this season in the league i found this deviation after i bet seconds after opening the odds start drifiting even further but rarely after 1 minute(1-2 hours maybe)
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Old 05-23-2017, 04:57 PM   #6
Mihkel05
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

I'd stop posting about this.
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Old 05-25-2017, 08:49 AM   #7
cboevey
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterRodriguez View Post
Hello guys,assuming a soccer league with high liquidity market is GENERALLY efficient if i find a subset of games where the Openers in Pinnacle beat the Closers in the last couple of seasons(1k sample size,BTCL 67%)means Pinnacle openears have been soft that even a basic analysys can make a profit ?
With a sample size of 1000, you won't find any subsets with any degree of certainty. Statistics are more random then you think. Also, previous performance for teams against each other are extremely weak predictors due to the number of variables changing, the most important one are key players.
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Old 05-25-2017, 10:50 AM   #8
Mihkel05
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

i lolled.
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Old 05-31-2017, 12:56 PM   #9
PaiDaMorte
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Re: Openers Vs Closers

The openers vs closers is a very broad discussion.

Some places open early than others.
Some very liquid leagues open with one month in advance and alot isnt known at that time.

If you want to beat openers is one big subject
If you want to beat closers is another distinct and big subject
If you want to trade between openers and closers is another distinct and big subject
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