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10-18-2016 , 12:18 PM

Crazy Joe Davola

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Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

I like the Browns getting 10 points in Cincinnati and I'm thinking they may pull off the upset.

Also dig the Vikings -2.5 in Philadelphia, even though that really feels like a square play.

Also:

Dolphins +2.5 vs. BUF
Redskins +1 @ DET
Falcons -6.5 vs. SD
Saints +6.5 @ KC
Bucs -2 @ SF
Seahawks +1 @ ARI

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10-18-2016 , 12:53 PM

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Lions dolphins and patriots look good.

Vikings line looks so weird.

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10-18-2016 , 03:25 PM

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Gonna start putting all my plays in these threads and tracking them. I'm having a decent year, but not great. Hopefully I get it in motion for some follows.

NYG -2.5 -120
-130: CIN -2.5/GB -2

I know better than to be booking Wong style teasers this far in advance, but I wanted to lock in Cincy before it went to 10 and GB was the only thing that really made sense to me at the time. That Packers side of the bet already looks bad. Hopefully it closes a little higher so I don't feel quite as square.

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10-18-2016 , 03:40 PM

TheStuntman

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Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 5,390

Really like the Falcons if it stays under 7.

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10-18-2016 , 08:47 PM

Crazy Joe Davola

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Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

My OP said Falcons but I like the Chargers the more that I think about it

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10-18-2016 , 09:16 PM

pexw

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Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 210

Anyone know when moneylines become available on sites like Bookmaker and Bovada?

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10-18-2016 , 10:09 PM

pexw

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Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 210

Nevermind, found it. Thursday 730am PST.

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10-19-2016 , 12:33 PM

hfrog355

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Titans -2.5 -115

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10-19-2016 , 01:19 PM

rainmaker1855

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Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

Titans -2.5 -115

that one might be play of the week

I also like a teaser play GB -1.5 and NE -1

Still checking out the rest of the lines but those jump out right now

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10-19-2016 , 07:53 PM

#10

pexw

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Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 210

Quote:

Originally Posted by rainmaker1855

that one might be play of the week

What makes you so sure about Tennessee? I'm not betting on this game but if I had to I think I'd take Colts +3.

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10-19-2016 , 08:34 PM

#11

hfrog355

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I keep looking at the Oakland line and thinking it should be such an easy win. Oakland has looked shaky, even before the KC beatdown, but to call them a coinflip (even cross country at Jacksonville) smacks of recency bias.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pexw

What makes you so sure about Tennessee? I'm not betting on this game but if I had to I think I'd take Colts +3.

Because the Colts are terrible. They aren't good on offense and the defense is going to be a serious contender for worst in the league. In a division game the Titans need to win, I don't think this one is close. I don't even like teasing Indy in this one.

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10-19-2016 , 08:39 PM

#12

TheStuntman

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Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 5,390

I have to agree. Colts have looked awful recently. I like Tennessee on this one.

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10-19-2016 , 10:22 PM

#13

pexw

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 210

Fair enough, I'm still staying away from it. I think Tennessee is being a little overrated right now after having a few good games against Miami and Cleveland. They lost to Houston by 7, who Indy took to OT. I'm thinking it's more like Indy 23 - Ten 24.

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10-20-2016 , 09:18 AM

#14

MacGuyV

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Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 22,298

Caring about transitive properties in the nfl is not wise.

I don't like that game tho 'cause I'm done losing $ on the Colts. I know the roster stinks but I thought the roster stunk when they were going 11-5 in Luck's first 3yrs; when I was of course always betting against. I still want to buy Team Luck stock when it's cheap but wtf. Maybe next year it'll pay.

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10-20-2016 , 01:14 PM

#15

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

Quote:

Originally Posted by pexw

What makes you so sure about Tennessee? I'm not betting on this game but if I had to I think I'd take Colts +3.

With their defense and running game, Titans have a real chance to shorten the game; you have a better chance beating a top tier QB (some would argue not with Luck, but just for arguments sake) by limiting the number of times they touch the ball. home field outdoors (vs home indoors team) small home favorite in the division play, I'll take it every day of the week.

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10-20-2016 , 08:10 PM

#16

fansrajoke

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Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 1,182

Bears@Packers under 46.5

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10-21-2016 , 12:30 PM

#17

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

Quote:

Originally Posted by fansrajoke

Bears@Packers under 46.5

nice call - pretty much an arm chair wire to wire

Also leaning:

KC -6: against the Saints coming off a big win for the classic letdown game in a tough stadium for road. NO limited turnovers and still almost lost at home against a weak CAR team - think they keep that up at Arrowhead?

WAS + 1.5: I'll probably play the ML here just to get a little sweetener on top

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10-21-2016 , 01:51 PM

#18

TheStuntman

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Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 5,390

Quote:

Originally Posted by rainmaker1855

I'm leaning strongly on KC too. Drew Brees has a noted history of poor home/road splits and since his move to NO has had poor performances in outdoor stadiums.

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10-21-2016 , 06:46 PM

#19

fansrajoke

adept

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 1,182

Redskins game is hard to pick. It looks Lions to me though.

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10-21-2016 , 10:15 PM

#20

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Here's the rest of what I've got. Will WONG some on Sunday morning.

MIA ML +125
TB -1 -110
MIN -3 -110
WAS ML EV
OAK ML EV
CLE +10 -110
SEA/ARI u43.5 -110

Quote:

Originally Posted by rainmaker1855

WAS + 1.5: I'll probably play the ML here just to get a little sweetener on top

IIRC ML is almost always the more valuable play for +1 and +1.5 lines. Might be wrong but that's how I remember it.

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10-21-2016 , 10:32 PM

#21

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by fansrajoke

Redskins game is hard to pick. It looks Lions to me though.

I'd go lions or skip here.

I feel the same way with Vikings game. Either take the eagles or skip it. Taking the Vikings just doesn't feel right at all.

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10-21-2016 , 11:47 PM

#22

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

I'd go lions or skip here.

I feel the same way with Vikings game. Either take the eagles or skip it. Taking the Vikings just doesn't feel right at all.

In what way does taking the Vikings not feel right? They're almost the consensus #2 team in the league coming off the bye playing a Philly team who has really come down to earth.

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10-22-2016 , 12:10 AM

#23

fansrajoke

adept

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 1,182

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

In what way does taking the Vikings not feel right? They're almost the consensus #2 team in the league coming off the bye playing a Philly team who has really come down to earth.

Vikings is a 5 Ws team. They're about to lose at least to cover the spread but to me it's all the same. If you bet against them this week and lose, next week double or nothing against them. Almost like guaranteed money.

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10-22-2016 , 01:44 AM

#24

frommagio

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Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 4,453

NE-7 ... Ben is out and Pitt doesn't have an NFL caliber backup QB, and their D is truly soft. Belichik always owns Tomlin.

Pats love to roll up the score to make a statement, and with this matchup, it should be easy. Brady will be on fire.

Should be a blowout, no cheating required.

Last edited by frommagio; 10-22-2016 at 01:49 AM.

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10-22-2016 , 03:22 AM

#25

la2sb91

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 334

Quote:

Originally Posted by la2sb91

YTD: 20-25 -10.6
MIN -3 -105

Teasers:
NE -1.5/KC -1
NE -1.5/DEN -1.5

Mike Evans Over 80.5 Receiving yds -115

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