Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
NFL Week 11 NFL Week 11

11-17-2015 , 09:38 AM
I make lazy threads without the lines. Sorry, not sorry.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-17-2015 , 09:43 AM
Looks like this will be a very active week for WONG.

YTD: 46-38-2 +6.16 units

Here's some early stuff I fired. Did it without coffee this morning though, so who knows if this even makes any sense.

JAC -2.5
BUF +7.5
OAK -1.5

My hope is to be able to bet TEN +3.5 at some point and shoot for a middle on that game, but I'm happy with getting the Glitter Kitties for less than a TD at home if I can't.

Definitely feel dirty taking Rex for a TD and a hook on the road, but when I looked this morning it was 7 everywhere and a little 6.5 peeking out, so when my guy had it at 7.5 I felt obliged to take it. I've made worse bets in my life, that's for sure.

Feel like I'm chasing already on Oakland, but I happen to like that side too. Would be awesome if that line ran up and I got Minny +3 or better, but I'm not holding my breath.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 12:13 PM
Favorite Line Underdog Total
At Jacksonville -3 Tennessee 43
At Carolina -7 Washington 45.5
Oakland -2 At Detroit 48
At Miami PK Dallas 47
At Atlanta -6 Indianapolis 47.5
At Baltimore -2 St. Louis 42
NY Jets -2 At Houston 41.5
At Minnesota PK Green Bay 45
At Philadelphia -5.5 Tampa Bay 45
At Chicago -1 Denver 41.5
At Arizona -4 Cincinnati 47.5
At Seattle -12.5 San Francisco 40.5
Kansas City -3 At San Diego 44.5

Monday Night Football Line
At New England -7 Buffalo 48.5


Some great POTW candidates here - Oakland, Chicago and Jets all jumping off the page. The PK line for GB/MIN has to change at some point so I'd like that too if it can get to ~ 3+
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 02:55 PM
Cards -4 at home is easy money IMO
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 05:56 PM
Oakland, Carolina, NYJ all look great this week.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by durango155
Cards -4 at home is easy money IMO
Strongly disagree
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 07:11 PM
Green Bay don't lose 4 in a row.

Also jumping at me are Kansas and Atlanta.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 09:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crazy Joe Davola
Strongly disagree
You want action? I can do chase quick pay or Paypal....I will take cards -3 and put $50 on it...pm me
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 09:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westswindon
Green Bay don't lose 4 in a row.
they can't lose their 3rd in a row at home to detroit either
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-18-2015 , 09:58 PM
Fake 3+1 Continued
Last week 2-2 +200
YTD 24-12 +2600

400 TENN +3
300 OAK/DET under 48.5
200 PATS -7
100 BEARS -1.5
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 01:24 AM
Here are some teasers I'm not real excited about:
-110:
DET +7.5/DEN +7.5 (2u)
SD +9/NE -1
+170:
DET +7.5/STL +8.5/DEN +7.5

Basically shooting for a middle with a bunch of my teasers vs the bets I made. It looks a lot like the smart money loves Detroit. I don't really get that which is why I bet Oakland to begin with, but it's hard to not take the Detroit home dog WONG when available. Seems to me like people are for some reason way overreacting to PeyPey getting benched, so I'm pretty happy to WONG that too.

Kind of an odd week for me as I usually just ID some WONGable games and then RR all of them, but I really don't like Tennessee tomorrow (though I will bet TEN +3.5 -110 if I ever see it), so I'm passing on blindly WONGing.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 09:26 AM
Detroit +7.5 Chicago +8 -110 6 point teaser put in on Monday.

I feel like every time Oakland is in this type of spot they lose. Kinda reminds me of when they were road favorites against Chicago earlier in the year
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 04:50 PM
tenn +135
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 06:53 PM
Thinking on taking a shot at TEN +2.5 @ 2.00...
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 07:37 PM
53-47 -1.93u YTD

Jac-2.5 1u @ 1.82 (Crownbet)
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 08:16 PM
Like the under and Tenn ml
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 10:40 PM
Jags -1.5 +119 1/5u
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 11:24 PM
posted these earlier today but accidentally posted in the week 10 thread feel free to check for verification

Tenn+120 2 units
Tenn u42-113 2.65 units
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 11:25 PM
will update ytd later. well i guess i'll twiddle my thunbs for 25 secs
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-19-2015 , 11:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lel
Thinking on taking a shot at TEN +2.5 @ 2.00...
Ended up betting 3 units on +3 @ 1.7x, and I unit at ml at 2.25


Is there any good or bad on doing this type of bets or should I go with only one?
I'm new at this obv
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-20-2015 , 01:02 AM
Looked good till the 4th
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-20-2015 , 03:19 PM
classic Titans move - inside their own 20 late in the game and literally the only thing they cant afford to do is turn the ball over.... so they in fact throw to a TE in the flat and he puts it on the ground. +3.5 was solid all the way to the very end.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-20-2015 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rainmaker1855
classic Titans move - inside their own 20 late in the game and literally the only thing they cant afford to do is turn the ball over.... so they in fact throw to a TE in the flat and he puts it on the ground. +3.5 was solid all the way to the very end.
I was a fan of Supernaw when he was with Houston. I felt bad for the guy after that play. As a player who I assume is just barely on the roster, mistakes like that can be the death of a career and he seemed pretty upset with himself afterwards.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-20-2015 , 06:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355
W JAC -2.5
Live betting:
W Jags -1.5 +119 1/5u
TNF: 2-0 +1.24 units
YTD: 48-38-2 +7.4 units

Here's what else is already in the thread of my picks:
BUF +7.5
OAK -1.5
-110:
DET +7.5/DEN +7.5 (2u)
SD +9/NE -1
+170:
DET +7.5/STL +8.5/DEN +7.5

Here are some new picks that'll finish out my card, unless I live bet some stuff on Sunday:
MIN -1 2u
CIN +5
SD +3.5
CIN/ARI Over 48.5
IND/ATL Under 47.5

I could have a pretty big week if I hit middles on NE/BUF and OAK/DET, but I'm pretty much the worst middle hitter in the history of time, so I'm probably just going to be spinning my wheels this week.
NFL Week 11 Quote
11-20-2015 , 06:41 PM
Gonna bet on denver and the over on ar-cinci, 1u each
NFL Week 11 Quote

      
m