Quote:
Originally Posted by imjosh
My pool gives points as a results of how many points your winning team scores, so I'm trying to pick winners but at the same time winners that will score a lot of points. I'm basically out of the hunt for 1st (-80pts) but I'm only 30pts out of 2nd, in 5th place, so there's still some hope there.
Here is what I'm thinking for rest of the season:
Week 13: Dallas | Buffalo | New England
- Dallas playing a hurt Eagles team, with a much longer rest than Philly has
Week 14: Colts | Buccaneers | Seahawks
- Tampa Bay has scored the 4th most points of any team in league, and are playing a hurt Eagles team
Week 15: Dolphins | Seahawks | Redskins
- This is my big shot in the dark week. I think Dolphins have a higher chance of winning that the Redskins, but looking at the points the Dolphins have put up in the games they have won vs. the amount of points the Redskins have put up, I think Redskins may be +EV here. They have actually scored the 7th most points in the league.
Week 16: New England
Week 17: San Francisco | Seahawks
Thoughts?
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
Maybe saints vs tb for week 15. that should be a shoot-out if you haven't used them yet.
rest look good. hard to make suggestions though when we don't know what teams you've used.
what do the standings of your pool look like? are you trying to make up ground, or just hold firm? if you're trying to make ground, you have to a) deduce what the leaders will likely pick, and b) pick someone different from them.
I've taken
HOU,NYG,NO,DEN,MIN,PIT,CHI,GB,SD,BAL,ATL,CIN,DAL(W k13)
Looking at this week, 4 places pay, standings are as follows.
1st - 431pts
2nd - 385 pts
3rd - 364 pts
4th(me) - 356pts
5th - 347pts
1st, 2nd, and 3rd place all have SEA open for this week, and 2nd has SF open (as do I). I'm counting on 2nd taking SF this week so I can take them in Week 17 and hopefully gain some ground that way, if he doesn't take them this week, then I have to assume he will take them in Wk 17 so that's another reason why I'm not taking SEA this week (they play vs. Rams in Wk 17)
3rd place person has already taken TB, and has GB open as well.
Looking at the lines for the games and the points scored / points allowed stats for the favorable match-ups, I'm still thinking my best play here is Tampa Bay.
Best case scenario for me would be all of them taking a team thats not TB and the guy in 2nd taking SF so I can take them in Wk 17.
Although now looking at other's picks, it seems 1st and 2nd place have already taken Indy, so maybe Indy could be a solid pick this week... (although last time they played the game ended 19-13 in OT... not many points scored)
Last edited by beansroast01; 12-05-2012 at 12:47 AM.