I cant imagine anyway that you shouldn't take Baltimore unless of course you already used them.

I think I prefer Houston this week as a back up vs Jacksonville at home, but as stated before, its a really bad week to not have Baltimore available.

Analysis plz. I agree that PHI should take down KC pretty easily, but the Giants D is nasty, and I think Jacobs is going to run straight over the Bucs' D. DAL trying to avenge last week against the struggling Panthers should be a a no-brainer... must be some goot stuff you're smoking.

I would rank them:
1. BAL
2. PHI
3. MIN
4. WAS

MIN is a god awful pick this week. SF is easily the most undervalued team in the league this year. Singletary has this team finely tuned...they're 2-0 this year, and 7 of their last 9. Their coach is one of the best linebackers ever and he has a defense that resembles his hard nose style of play led by one of the best linebackers in the game in Patrick Willis. Offensively, Shaun Hill is one of those guys that is under the radar but just has that knack for winning (they are 9-3 since he took over at qb) and we all know what Frank Gore is capable of. The fact that they are a 6.5 point dog is a joke. I would put them no worse than +3.5 with a legitimate shot to pull off the upset on the road.

Agree with the top 2 but significant drop off after that. SF isn't afraid to put 8 in the box and finally make Favre throw a ball farther than 10 yards. The Vikes have played crap teams thus far, wouldn't be surprised at all if they lose to SF. I picked Wash last week and after seeing how they squeaked by St. Louis I wouldn't even pick them vs. Detroit. They needed a late fumble by StL deep in Wash territory to win at home.

I would put NYG 3rd. After seeing Eli shred the Cowboy's D and the complete dysfunction with the TB secondary I think Eli has another big week and continues to roll with Smith and Manningham. The fact that they have to go on the road all the way down to TB puts them at 3rd for me.

Another comment on above.... wouldn't take Dallas at all either. I think a 9 pt favorite is a joke. Already jumped on Carolina +9.5 when it opened.

with everyone picking baltimore, wouldn't it be a good chance to diverge and try to win your league?

i'm really, really thinking about taking dallas or GB in my league with 9 guys left, all of them probably taking balt

Yes but probably not with those teams.
Why would you take GB on the road?
Are you just looking at the spread in considering Dallas?
If Balt isn't an option I really can't see how you can be comfortable taking someone other than Philly or NYG.

The more I think about this, the more I like Dallas on MNF. I have 700+ people in my league and 400+ left without a loss. The tiebreaker is the least amount of wins between the teams you choose. So while I'd like to take lock's early - I still have to think about this tiebreaker as it came into affect last year and forced ridiculous decisions in the last 3-4 weeks (incluidng people rightfully taking Detroit). Avoiding Balt. could be +EV for now and Dallas is still 9 point fav's at home in an emotional MNF game. My main concern, though, is that if Carolina falls to 0-3, they are out of the playoff hunt considering their division so they should be ready to play also.

NYG are on the road too. Plus it shouldn't really matter since homefield is already factored into the spread. Why wouldn't you look at the spread? NFL is considered one of the most efficient markets. IMO the DAL spread being off by 2.5-3 points is very unlikely. It seems far more likely that the professional expert linesmakers are better at handicapping than casual NFL fans (me, and I assume you).

Judging by the money lines it's:
BAL -800
DAL -375
PHI -375
WAS -285
NYG -275
MIN -270

I don't feel like taking BAL this week. Right now I'm on DAL. Is the monday night game vs. carolina really a huge game? I looked at the schedule and there's pretty much no other good time to take DAL when there aren't better options available. With a 9 point line, that lots of people are saying is probably too high, I still think it's a good option.

I really try to avoid road teams in Survivor. The only other team I was looking at was Houston. I can't really see that as a better pick than DAL though.

I don't know much about football but I enjoy these survivor pools. Hell, I picked Denver last week. I assume 75% of my pool while be on BAL, and I also like separation if it's prudent.

Agree with you about the road teams. But if not Baltimore then Philly or Dallas over Houston I think.

Who cares about being prudent, just take Cleveland...

Browns and the Rams are far and away the worst two teams in the league this year. The only way that changes is if James Davis turns out to be the next Adrian Peterson which is very highly unlikely.

[ ] Barber worth 3 points

[x] 1st half line