NFL Survivor Picks - Page 197 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

"Them" was the Pats. Turns out 40% of the .06 pool took them.

My original plan was Pittsburgh. 0% picked.

FML.

Silver lining: I have a bingo with both entries in the .02 pool. Only one on Chicago AND only one on Pittsburgh. That's wild.

Last edited by Gallagher_; 10-28-2018 at 01:18 PM.

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10-28-2018 , 05:43 PM

#4903

Henry_Sugar

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 485

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

Loading up on Bears this week. I think it's the best play this week. They have a great play next week @ Buffalo, but that'll likely be a FADE spot anyway. They are a top 3 favorite along with Kansas City & New England.

Pittsburgh is a good FADE spot this week. Having them for 14 will be very useful too.

Have 8 entries left in my rebuy pools (that you can't rebuy anymore in). Double picks in 10. I'm taking 3 Pittsburgh, 3 Indianapolis & 2 Cincinnati in those.

Taking Pittsburgh in 1 other pool as well that is a standard pool.

Best picks this week are Chicago & Houston (I didn't have any open slots for them)

IF YOU HAVE CHICAGO, USE THEM THIS WEEK, NOT NEXT WEEK. I'm eyeing Carolina next week as my separation pick.

Week 9 looks like there won't be any massive favorites. Kansas City@Clev , Chicago@Buff, and Minnesota vs Detroit should be the popular picks. You're probably right on Carolina. What will the money line be on that? Open Carolina-220? Also, SF at home vs Oakland. There'll be some losses next week. Picks will be spread out.

I like Minnesota but would prefer to save them for week 15 (Miami at home) as mine is a second chance pool that will likely go the distance (I'll get cute one week and lose long before then, like I did with Philadelphia last week in another pool). I used Chicago this week and there are better weeks to use KC.

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10-29-2018 , 12:54 PM

#4904

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

Getting kind of tired of seeing no knockouts.

A NE loss here would be a huge win for my equity, but I'm not holding my breath obviously.

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10-29-2018 , 02:37 PM

#4905

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,690

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gallagher_

Getting kind of tired of seeing no knockouts.

A NE loss here would be a huge win for my equity, but I'm not holding my breath obviously.

Knockouts were fast to start the season, now we're in a lull. Week 9 should be interesting.

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10-29-2018 , 02:59 PM

#4906

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Eyeing Carolina & Dallas this week. I used up my remaining Chicago slots in 8 hoping that they'd be decently picked in 9.

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10-29-2018 , 03:08 PM

#4907

D_goat

banned

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 410

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

Eyeing Carolina & Dallas this week. I used up my remaining Chicago slots in 8 hoping that they'd be decently picked in 9.

I was thinking Washington but that line is only 1

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10-29-2018 , 03:20 PM

#4908

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Like Minnesota too. Sure they have a great spot in 15, but there's currently lots of choices for that week.

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10-29-2018 , 03:53 PM

#4909

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

My double picks start week 13 -17, so have to plan for that. I was leaning Dallas, but seeing as how they are going to be a decent favorite I could see them being the most popular this week.

Might go all in on SF this week, and once again hope for some upsets.

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10-29-2018 , 06:49 PM

#4910

Bagliani

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2017 Posts: 93

Double picks start week 10 for me. Dallas and Carolina gotta be the best options. Carolina probably is the best option, Dallas will be heavily picked I think. As long as Fitzpatrick is named the starter Carolina should put a beating on them. If Winston’s the starter and gets benched and then Fitzpatrick comes in as backup then it’s trouble lol, for some reason Fitzpatrick is only good when he’s the back up.

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10-30-2018 , 12:10 PM

#4911

Zimmer4141

Wet

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,667

Tough to see not unloading on Chicago if Peterman starts.

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10-30-2018 , 01:04 PM

#4912

Kurn, son of Mogh

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 16,231

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zimmer4141

Tough to see not unloading on Chicago if Peterman starts.

What's the difference? Anderson hasn't been any better. 2 starts 42-70 466 0 TD 4 picks.

At least Peterman threw a TD pass.

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10-30-2018 , 01:49 PM

#4913

D_goat

banned

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 410

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kurn, son of Mogh

What's the difference? Anderson hasn't been any better. 2 starts 42-70 466 0 TD 4 picks.

At least Peterman threw a TD pass.

To what team did he throw that TD PASS THO

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10-30-2018 , 02:34 PM

#4914

Kurn, son of Mogh

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 16,231

Quote:

Originally Posted by D_goat

To what team did he throw that TD PASS THO

He actually did throw one to his own team before he threw the pick 6.

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11-01-2018 , 09:18 PM

#4915

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Took Oakland tonight. LOL me. Oh well.

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11-01-2018 , 09:18 PM

#4916

D_goat

banned

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 410

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

Took Oakland tonight. LOL me. Oh well.

That’s one way for us to lose people

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11-02-2018 , 11:48 AM

#4917

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Raiders in full out tank mode. What an abomination that was last night. Yuck

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11-02-2018 , 01:46 PM

#4918

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

Raiders in full out tank mode. What an abomination that was last night. Yuck

My partner and I settled on taking whoever the favorite was at kickoff for the TNF game this week because we thought Sunday could be a bloodbath. ****ing line moved to Oakland being the favorite. We still have an entry left, but pretty devastated about that pick last night. Gonna be hard to overcome.

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11-02-2018 , 05:57 PM

#4919

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,690

I was planning to yolo SF on my low value nitrogen pool, but looking at the line move on Thursday it became less and less appealing. Should've went with my gut, but oh well.

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11-04-2018 , 05:08 AM

#4920

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

40% CHI
31% CAR
13% KC
13% MIN
2% DAL

Last edited by Gallagher_; 11-04-2018 at 05:14 AM.

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11-04-2018 , 10:17 AM

#4921

fortisque

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 217

Going with CHI in both pools i think

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11-04-2018 , 10:55 AM

#4922

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Taking 1 Carolina & 1 Minnesota in my biggest 2 pools remaining. More Carolina than anything else in my other pools. Some Miami and 1 entry on Washington (in rebuy pools that you can no longer rebuy)

Chicago in Midseason pool that starts this week (rebuy pool)

Boxed Chicago with Miami, Minnesota & Washington in a midseason double picks every week pool that starts this week.

Full FADE on Dallas this week. Saving Kansas City for next week in pools I have them remaining in. Used up all my remaining Chicago last week to FADE them this week

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11-04-2018 , 11:43 AM

#4923

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,690

Locked in Panthers in a big pool, and Chicago/Dallas in smaller ones. I hope the latter two lose.

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11-04-2018 , 01:52 PM

#4924

PropPlayer

Sports Betting Mod

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,798

I have 2 entries remaining in a bunch of different pools.

Highest Value: Bears/Vikings
Next Highest: Bears/Chiefs
Third Highest: Bears/Panthers
Fourth Highest: Bears/Bears (My entries are VERY strong compared to others and is 10 left in this one)

In the ones I have several entries remaining I'm about 50% Bears and the rest divided. I do have a little Cowboys in those.

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11-04-2018 , 02:57 PM

#4925

Gallagher_

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 176

Out of 25 entries in the 0.02 and 0.06 pools only one person took Carolina (me). Wasn't expecting that.

11 out of 15 on Chicago in the 0.02. I think that's literally every person who was still able to pick them. One guy didn't enter, maybe because he didn't see the point when he didn't have Chicago available? Lol.

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