Originally Posted by Sabaneta
I donīt like bal -7, limited data, but lots of pushes on 1.
Are there generally more wins by 1 in preseason than the regular season? I've heard a hypothesis that near the end of the game, after touchdown (and team down by 1), a team is much more likely to gamble and go for 2 than just kick the extra point for the tie. Any merit to this claim?
Even with this possibility, Baltimore is still about -280 to win so I'm still teasing it to -1.